Carrying on the discussion of the amazing disappearing CAPE and lift, the trend I've seen the past few days, is when I wake in the morning, Thurs shows a CAPE of between 700-1100 J/kg and lift of -4 for my area, and torrential rain forecast. By the time the afternoon models are run, Thursday has 0 CAPE and 9 lift, and Friday shows about 500 j/kg and -2 lift, whereas the morning showed nothing for friday.
This situation has been the same for three days on the trot now, showing end of week storms swapping and changing between tomorrow and friday. It can't make up its mind, I've never known such an unpredictable and poor storm season as this year. I'm still hopeful to have just 1 storm. I'd say the season is just past half way through... so frustrating though!