UV-RAY

I remain unconvinced of it's overall impact BB, the theory will be tested over the coming month.

Well another cracking set of model runs this morning, low heights to our North and big fat high over the Azores. No sign of the elusive Greenland high and once this pattern is locked in, I can't see an easy return to colder conditions anytime soon.

Well up until now the third worst winter for cold, frost and snow in the last forty years. Still time for winter to redeem itself however.

Roll on the Atlantic breakthrough, at least then I might be able to record a frost and sub zero temps. Current temps 2.4c.

Looks like I won't be recording another frost tonight, temp 1.2c. It wouldn't be so bad but I've only recorded six frosts all winter, I recorded seven in Autumn.

Lovely day today after enduring seven consecutive days of grey laden skies. Snow is still holding firm with just a slight thaw, temp 2.1c.

Why is it when comments on what the models are showing are looked upon in disdain, if the models only show mild then that's all we can comment on. It's been a sorry episode in the model thread this winter, where good posters get lambasted for daring to suggest the outlook is poor. Anyway, rant over and we have model consensus of a much milder pattern setting in from this weekend, this lasting at least 7-10 days out. All talk of Greenland heights and cold reloads are pie in the sky at this moment in time, off course that's not to say this time next week we could be looking at charts showing such delights.

Temperature got down to 0.4c last night rising to 1.0c an hour ago, it's currently 0.8c with a slight thaw evident.

+1 I've been trying to get a similar message across myself, but a few here seem to hang onto every forecast/person that suggests cold. Your right if its cold you seek then the models paint a very poor picture, similar to the output in December. Remember then when we had a piece of the PV lobe moving out of Canada and how some suggested it was coming, we all know the rest. Luckily things can and do change quickly in the model output, more so this winter.

I'm hoping for some from tomorrow night, but as of yet it's still grey laden, although temps are lower than they have been for a few evenings. Currently 0.6c, so some icy patches maybe possible later.

I would say he's only commenting on what is being shown, we can't comment on what isn't.

I would say they look likely going well into February going off the charts tonight.

It's been mostly like that here for days, so i won't notice much difference.

I think that's a fair assessment taking away December 2010 and January 2010, but I think that works both ways in terms of any warming. The last thirty years really hasn't produced many memorable hot spells. IMO it's all part and parcel of what we should expect in this part of the world.

Looking like we'll get some better weather from the weekend onwards, rather than the grey laden skies and temp of 1-3 by day and night. Hopefully the next cold spell will actually be cold.

Temp is now 1.6c, skies maybe darker but there is now zilch falling from them. Also the heavy snow symbol on the MetO site for here has been downgraded to light snow. I think that will be pushing it really. Another damp squib for these parts. Marks out of ten for winter so far, I would say 4.

Temp as now dropped to 1.9c and the skies have gone a lot darker.

Just saw a flake the size of five pence piece, if it carries on like this I'm going to call my own COBRA meeting.

Light fizzle here.

Temp on the march upwards again after a brief fall, now up at 2.4c. Still no sign of the elusive heavy snow.

Nearest towns to me are showing up as having heavy snow from 12 noon, guess what, that's right nothing. I shall remain cautiously pessimistic!

Temp still on a downward trend, now 2.0c.

Temp down here now to 2.3c, the old reverse psychology is working. Now 2.1c WTF!!!

Make another brew and relax as it it won't happen, if it does that means it will extend to here and there's no chance of that happening.

Looks like my estimated temp for the day may need revising, already at 2.8c so I think they will probably max out nearer to 4.0c. Not far from average if it does, cold spell what cold spell, Lol