Ladyofthestorm

Awww thankyou bacttrack!!! very much appreciated and yes dead easy! Your a star! Have a snow wish on me!

Help its the part I seem to be useless at, can anybody help me Anyway Id love this to be my avator but I cant get it to go smaller Many thanks

I get a feeling we will see lots of snow this winter. Last winter was really dry and very cold, we didnt see alot of snow at all, just really really hard frosts. So here is hoping this year I can ramp away till my little heart is content.

Ok your on! I do wish the regional forums would open up... Ok moderating them all isnt an option but at least open the scottish one, it is actually snowing here!

I wouldne dream o jinxin the snaw pet? I couldne live with maself if I didntne hae a sledge! But I get your drift CMD! lol

I will go and purchse the new sledge then!

My memory is really good when it comes to dates and things. I remember autumn 1993 really well because I was a student at Stirling Uni. I have had a look and according to the meto they bring up autumn 1993 as a very cold un. It might have been wet and mild in the south but it wasnt up here, we had regular snowfall, almost up until christmas. Freezing fog. The meto have brought up this phrase coldest autumn since 1993 in one of there tables, Im sure the CET was well down as well that year. Flooding happened because of freak rainfall events rather than unsettled weather patterns. My link

Is membership by invitiation or can anyone join in? I love my snowwwww!

Heavy sleet/ hail showers 30 knot gusts NEly winds Temp 4.6C and falling Windchill-1C Dew point 0.6C Shiver!

lol Paul, why do I get the feeling that the press has been fishing for information and then coming up with your name! Lets face it it could have been any one of us.. I predicted a cold winter last september on met monkey! lol:whistling:

I also agree with what Kevin has said. That bit about blizzards. I have only ever experienced one true Blizzard and that was in January 1984 where winds swept in at 60mph and it snowed continuously for 12 hours. Blizzards do not happen that often and certainly did not happen last year as there was no wind. Heavy snow with no wind is a white out and yes we have had dozens of those. Anyway, I still think The Net weather Forecast is right, it explains that lack of energy that seems to be evident in the atlantic. Cold cold cold, dry and settled.... look to the winter of 1993/94, if you want a comparison. That was very cold and dry and december was snowy.

It is funny, even with all the computer models in the world, satillites and other advanced technology that we have at our fingertips. I always seem to know instinctively when the weather is going to change. Maybe its the way the geese fly in a rather unsettled pattern as if disturbed by the colder weather. Perhaps it was the extreme of warm weather just one week ago, where temps soared to 23C with unbroken sunshine. Perhaps it was even the slight niggly ache I get in my wrists and ankle joints. But whatever it is I know it is coming. And this morning it arrived, no gentle introduction, no gradual transition from summer to autumn. No acclimatisation. 6C temp is dropping, windchill already in minus numbers, dew point the same. Wind nipping from the north and as I look out of our bedrom window to the north, the skye has changed mood. The gentle colours of summer have gone and now they are replaced with steely iron greys and pale blue where the clouds have dared to break apart. The sea now has white prominant crests resting on a dark turquoisey bed. The showers have turned wintry and while this brief Nly interlude is just what it is, a short visit. Part of me welcomes the prospect of winter and another part of me tells me it is going to be a long winter. And as I type these words another shower makes an paradoxal unwelcome entrance. The sleety ice that lands the neck, soaks through to the skin, and chills the core of your bones. We know winters are long and hard, dark and cold, wet and above all exciting. Indeed the promise of winter has arrived.

Good to see you on here too. Enjoy the possibilty of wintry stuff later on today, its already started here. Can I ask you a question TW? What is SACRA? And yes one part of the British Isles that is on my to see and do list. I want to ride a connemara pony along one of there golden beaches.

Nice storm clouds IS, is that whats happening right now?

Ive just been looking at the table of moderate La Nina events 1983-84 was one fo the biggest blizzards to ever hit the north, electricty of for days, 80mph Nly winds, winter started early December brief mild spell christmas and then came January and it was bloomin terriifying. So roll on the La Nina! Mt Data please take a look at the synopics week commencing the 1st of January 1984, and see what happened. It was the best blizzard I have ever lived through.

How come you were able to do that Essan I got an email from them saying to be fair on other peeps they were limiting the number of squares to one a day. I gave up after the dry spell we have had, I found that they would close all the squares down and exclude rainy days forecast. Its been really dry up here the past week and next week looks like snow so no point!

1999-2000 was quite chilly, I was pregnant with child number 1 so I remember it really well. It alos came off the back of a very wet and unsettled autumn and this is where the similarities end. This hasnt been an active atlantic season at all this year, whereas 1999 was very active. I suspect taking a peak at the synotics for 1999 will confirm this. January was very warm in 2000, got up to 20C in aboyne me thinks around the 17th. But the predominant wind direction was south and SW, that wont happen this time around... no energy in the atlantic. 1998-1999 was also stormy and wild. Snow fell early October, I was out in a feild getting sleet down my neck tending to a sick horse. It then got very active in terms of storms. It snowed again in December and then heavys snows fell in January and Feb. So it wasnt a particularly mild boring winter... in fact far from it. I wouldnt mind a winter like 1998-1999 again. In fact I think it is the kind of winter we will have this year.... except for one thing... it will be colder.. why? Well take a look at the cool water where the NAD used to be off of Greenland.... High pressure is more likely to readily form over Greenland and we all know what a Greenie High means. However I do think we need to take into account the lag time of a deep solar minimum, something I think forgotten about in many peoples minds. This isnt a normal La Nina, these are not normal conditions in the atlantic, or indeed over Siberia. I think your beast from the east will not materialise.. I think more Nly incursions of brief natures will suffice. Deep sustained cold is unlikely like last year, but remember that it can get too cols to snow. It did here last year and we ended up with ice rain instead.

Might see wet snow or sleet through the night on wednesday into thrursday morning away from the coasts

:whistling:We havent put the underfloor heating on yet, however we have a lovely wood burning stove that heats the whole house..... gets lovely toasty and warm

Ive heard of a toddy but not a totty! I see ukweathergeek has posted his doomsday scenario on U tube:whistling: what next!

I find living where I do that the weather can turn quite dramatically, from sunshine, mild and wet to windy and cold within 24hrs. It doesnt take long for a Nly to set chilld among bones.

I personally very rarely watch the forecast on TV now as I get everything I need to know from the internet. I personally would like to see a bit more technical depth in some of the forecasts. Maybe there should be two forecasts per hour on news 24, one in depth and another dumbed down and less detailed. In the detailed I would like to see Pressure thickness layer Cape and lift Height of the 0C isotherm and so forth. More talk about causes rather than effects etc. In the less detailed, to keep everything as it is.

Thank you weathership for that... interesting read. I saw the low confidence in the findings of the review suggesting gaps in the data/ and low significance tesing findings. I still think that a slow down is probably the most likely cause of changes in our weather over the past 18 months. This can be as suggested down to natural variability (the scientists get out of clause phrase!) . Qualitative and quantative evidence seems to support this, if those maps from the NAOO are to be believed. That 10% chance of complete shutdown is a very liberal figure.... I still think shut down is unlikely as it would take the entire north pole icecap to melt for that to happen. I think movement away from the present position is more likely. For something so important to fishery and transport, Im surprised there isnt more research done on this topic of interest.... hmmm wonder why?

Nope I think it will be northern scotland and the coastal areas this year, I dont think we will get a beast from the east, I think it will be a return of northerly blasts.

the core samples were for looking at radiocarbon dating, pollen and sediment analysis... it was a long time ago I graduated in 1996! Ive had four children since then and my brains are scrambled! eggs anyone...