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Polar Maritime

Model Forum Host
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Everything posted by Polar Maritime

  1. Regarding rainfall, a quote from WeatherHistory regarding rainfall this winter. "Looks like we broke the record in the last few hours and recorded the wettest winter for England and Wales since at least 1766"
  2. ANOTHER CME IMPACT: For the second time in 24 hours, a CME has hit Earth's magnetic field. The impact on Feb. 20th at ~0300 UT re-energized a subsiding geomagnetic storm that sparked bright auroras on the19th. As Earth's magnetic field reverberates from this second blow, auroras are spreading around the Arctic Circle and possibly down toward lower latitudes. http://www.spaceweather.com/
  3. ECM is still showing a colder end to the run.. And GFS at the same time frame are not a million miles apart showing a much colder pattern towards the end of the Month.
  4. Arctic sea ice is melting twice as fast as previous climate models predict, decreasing from 52% to 48% between 1979 and the present day. Researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, studied 30 years' worth of satellite observations taken between 1979 and 2011. They said the decline of the Arctic sea ice has been documented by satellites over the last 30 years and observations show a darkening of the Arctic seen through passive microwave observations. According to the report, researchers found a strong relationship between Arctic sea ice and albedo – the ratio of reflected radiation upon it. http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/climate-change-arctic-sea-ice-melting-twice-fast-models-predict-1436926
  5. "No single factor is likely to be the whole story, and there is much more to be written in the tale. Lyons and coauthors, along with research groups from around world over, are focusing current efforts on the timing and drivers of oxygenation in the late Proterozoic" And more to come by the look's of things, it's certainly an important time in Earth's history and could lead to many other questions.
  6. Im sure met said signs of extreme weather events to come, the jet is still way South in places just not over us, we get the extreme of the storms and America get the extremes of the cold.
  7. If that's what the models are showing, people forecast it or it happens then so be it, Why the need to ban the term?
  8. I expect a cold one again this year, will place my guess next week.
  9. Kind of ties in with that link you posted yesterday, where scientist found a certain Sponge could live and grow on only 0.5% of the Oxygen first thought needed..
  10. The posters that called for a pattern change (most of which are long term members with lots of experiance) were correct at the time of posting, when these signals where shown in the models, thats why other members liked there post.It is the Model Output Discussion after-all... They were not forecasts !
  11. Fantastic shot! I cant wait to get up there in 2/3 weeks climbing, my last attempt around Christmas was impossible due to Hurricane force winds on the Hill.. So much snow on the mountains now which is also fantastic for the Ski Resorts, They had sold out at Glencoe by late morning yesterday.
  12. What would Lovelock do now, I ask, if he were me? He smiles and says: "Enjoy life while you can. Because if you're lucky it's going to be 20 years before it hits the fan." http://www.theguardian.com/theguardian/2008/mar/01/scienceofclimatechange.climatechange
  13. Or maybe this ! wind turbines are sucking the energy from the natural flow and strength of the wind which is altering the weather patterns. this is the reason for our bad weather we are experiencing. you can not have something for nothing for every action there is a reaction its got nothing to do with global warming as yet. north america takes 100 billion klhr from the wind it must have some affect on us. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79463-windturbines/#entry2934058
  14. Also regarding the Jet Stream, "They are talking about it as if it were a new phenomenon, when it isn't. It just happens that the location this winter has been to such as to bring LPs on a more southerly path, just as it did in summer 2007, when all the floods occurred then." Quote from OldMetMan.
  15. "For proper evidence-based science these days one has to step outside the hermetically sealed bubble of warmist group-think and look to that array of expert blogs and websites that provide the data necessary to thinking straight." Here we go then..http://www.davidicke.com/headlines/ I don't know where to start on this one... another rag of twisted truth. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/10639819/UK-weather-its-not-as-weird-as-our-warmists-claim.html
  16. New research suggests that the main system that helps determine the weather over Northern Europe and North America may be changing. With the UK, the US and Australia experiencing prolonged, extreme weather, the question has been raised as to whether recent patterns are due to simple natural variations or the result of manmade climate change? According to Prof Francis, it is too soon to tell. "The Arctic has been warming rapidly only for the past 15 years," she says. "Our data to look at this effect is very short and so it is hard to get a very clear signal. "But as we have more data I do think we will start to see the influence of climate change." Prof Francis was taking part in a session on Arctic change involving Mark Serreze, the director of the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado. He said the idea that changes in the polar north could influence the weather in middle latitudes - so-called "Santa's revenge" - was a new and lively area of research and somewhat controversial, with arguments for and against. "Fundamentally, the strong warming that might drive this is tied in with the loss of sea-ice cover that we're seeing, because the sea-ice cover acts as this lid that separates the ocean from a colder atmosphere," Dr Serreze explained. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-26023166
  17. Mat Collins â€@mat_collins 1h@Rick__L I said that the models don't tell us much about how the jet stream is affected by climate change. I don't disagree with Julia
  18. Its looking lovely up there in Glencoe this morning apart from a few Snow showers blowing through, a busy day ahead i would of thought for the ski patrols.. Avalanche risk is considerable, with massive cornices in places. Significant areas of fresh unstable windslab exist on West through South to East facing slopes, mainly above 750 metres. Those exposed to the Westerly wind are now wind scoured. Older deposits of windslablie on West through North to East facing slopes. The avalanche hazard is Considerable.
  19. Clear blue skys and light winds, and i can see the Sun ! Going to make the most of it today outside. Temp 1.4c Dp 0.3c Wind Chill -4.1c, N/W 14mph
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