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Polar Maritime

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Everything posted by Polar Maritime

  1. NASA last week confirmed their prediction that the current solar cycle 24 is likely to be the weakest since 1906. Intriguingly, the current solar cycle shows a striking similarity with solar cycle 5 which was also very weak, with the same double peak as the current cycle, and ran from approximately the mid 1790s to around 1810. Solar cycle 6 was weaker still and stretched from around 1810 to the early 1820s. Solar cycles 5 and 6 were so unusual that they were named the Dalton solar minimum after meteorologist John Dalton and coincided with a period of increasingly cold winters and poor summers. This type of climate is a result of a jet stream that’s positioned further south than normal – caused, it’s thought at least in part, by the behaviour of the sun. The mechanism as to why weak solar cycles may affect the position of the jet stream is poorly understood. But a more southerly positioned jet stream is the reason why the UK has recently seen a return of cold snowy winters and a run of poor summers. Should solar activity continue to mirror that which was observed from 1795 to 1820 then it’s possible that our weather could be similar too. http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/posts/Rare-solar-cycle-has-cold-implications-for-UK-climate
  2. Thanks for that,very interesting ! I will post it in the Solar thread as relevant there to
  3. LONELY SUNSPOT, QUIET SUN: The sunspot number has dropped to its lowest level of the year. Solitary sunspot AR1841 sits all alone at the center of an otherwise blank solar disk. It is quiet and poses no threat for strong flares: NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of M- or X-class solar flares during the next 24-48 hours. If the forecast holds, the sun will continue a spate of deep quiet that has lasted for more than a week, nearly-flatlining the sun's x-ray output.http://www.spaceweather.com/
  4. A cool breezy night with light showers with an overnight low of 5.4c. Currently; Light showers,overcast. Temp 7.2c Dp 4.7c Wind W/N/W 8mph Rain since midnight 2.8mm
  5. A cold day for the time of year with a max temp of 8.9c. Heavy showers all day with breezy N/W winds. Currently; 7.7c Rain today 14.9mm
  6. Another breezy day here to, a max gust of 28mph, which is very normal.
  7. A dusting of fresh snow on the summit this evening and currently snowing down to the rescue shed at 2,800ft....
  8. ALL QUIET ALERT: With the Sun's disk almost completely devoid of sunspots, solar flare activity has come to a halt. Measurements by NOAA's GOES 15 satellite show that the sun's global x-ray emission, a key metric of solar activity, has flatlined: The quiet is unlikely to break this weekend. NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of M- or X-class solar flares during the next 24-48 hours. The quiet spell is a bit strange because 2013 is supposed to be a year of solar maximum, with lots of flares and sunspots. Supporting this view are data from NASA-supported observatories which show that the sun's magnetic field is poised to flip--a long-held sign that Solar Max has arrived. Nevertheless, solar activity is low. One possible explanation is that and we are in the valley between peaks. If so, solar activity could surge again in late 2013-2014. No one can say for sure, though. Researchers have been studying sunspots for more than 400 years, and we still cannot predict the behavior of the solar cycle. Continued quiet or stormy space weather? Both are possible in the weeks and months ahead.http://www.spaceweather.com/
  9. Wind starting to pick up here 29mph so far.
  10. Does the movement of the table not help.? Just a thought..
  11. ALMOST-BLANK SUN: 2013 is supposed to be a year of solar maximum. Indeed, the sun's magnetic field is , a long-held sign that Solar Max has arrived. But if this is Solar Max, it looks a lot like Solar Min. The face of the sun is almost completely blank: A careful inspection of the solar disk reveals only two sunspots, very small and quiet. NOAA forecasters estimate no more than a 1% chance of M- or X-classflares during the next 24 hours. In fact, this is Solar Max, the weakest one in more than 50 years. Long spells of quiet and spotlessness are punctuated by occasional flares and CMEs. At least one researcher believes the ongoing maximum is actually double-peaked, and we are now experiencing the valley between peaks. If so, a surge in solar activity could be in the offing in late-2013 and 2014. http://www.spaceweather.com/
  12. Since cycle 14 according to this...http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
  13. Yes Frosty, a very unsettled period coming up which will be a shock to the system, after the settled weather we have had over the past weeks/months.
  14. VERY QUIET SUN: The face of the sun is nearly blank. There is only one tiny sunspot and it is not flaring. NOAA forecasters estimate no more than a 1% chance of M- or X-class flares during the next 24 hours. http://www.spaceweather.com/
  15. ECMWF sending the low much further South on this run..
  16. A breezy cloudy night with clear intervals, An overnight low of 7c. Currently; Dry breezy, patchy cloud. Temp 7.8c Dp 6.8c Wind N/W 2mph Rain Since Midnight 0.2mm
  17. Yes T.M some showers brushed my location. After the brief fog had cleared by 9am, long sunny spells until lunchtime when isolated showers, some heavy and blustery persisted into the evening. Temp 8.5c. Max temp today 15.2c Rain today 2.9mm
  18. Had mine on over the weekend as dropped to 3.5c during the night.
  19. Another dry, cool night with fog forming in the valleys. An overnight low of 3.4c. Currently; Dry with light winds, Fog slowly moving up the Valleys, im just on the fog line now, with deep blue sky's above me. Temp 3.6c Dp 2.6c Wind S/W 1mph Humidity 94% Rain Since Midnight 0mm
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