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Everything posted by Peter H
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Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Scandinavian high gone again today and the latest model runs don't look great after next weekend's all too brief "cold snap". The Met Office have also dropped "the possibility of extremely cold weather" from their 6-30 day extended outlook. This winter is rapidly running out of steam and fast becoming yet another relatively mild, frost free, snowless one, yet again. Fed up with continual mild and snowless winters. Fifth one in a row now. -
Which Winter month would you like to see a repeat of?
Peter H replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep, about three weeks of snow here from Monday 13th January into early February. Probably one of the best since 1962/63 and not really repeated until 1978/79 and 1981/82. It's reckoned the cold winters of the early/mid 1980's were due to the Mt St. Helens eruption. -
Which Winter month would you like to see a repeat of?
Peter H replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
This is the sort of winter you'd want to see repeated: http://myweb.tiscali.co.uk/mtullett/1962-63/ -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I see the Scandinavian high is back on the latest runs from next Monday after having been gone since yesterday. We're now rapidly approaching the half way stage of the winter and we haven't had anything remotely cold this winter and no snow at all. If nothing changes over the next three weeks it's another mostly mild, frost free, snowless one. You can forget about February which really is more like a Spring month in these parts. I hope those latest model runs are correct, but it'll probably be back to a westerly scenario in the morning. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, but Easter week was the first week in April that year, and I clearly remember driving to in heavy snow which didn't lie. Don't remember anything about th previous March being cold, but the preceding winter was exceptionally mild and snowless, a rarity back in those days. We had a fantastic summer that year with a persistent high pressure over Scotland. It's odd. because no one here mentions it, but it was a better summer than 1976. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Easter 1975 was in April and it was a snowy one, although the snow didn't really settle. We had a fantastic summer that year. The winter of 1974/75 was exceptionally mild. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Models flipping about all over the place after next Friday. All agree on a plunge of cold air at the end of next week, but this afternoon they had a Scandinavian high and bitterly cold air over us at the end of the run. Now we still have the Scandinavian high but with the milder air winning out. This morning the high was to the south of us and we had mild south westerlies . There does seem to be some really cold air over central and eastern Europe, and the US but we seem to be stuck in this mild segment in the middle. Here's hoping. -
Which Winter month would you like to see a repeat of?
Peter H replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
1962/63 for a start. Also, 1968/69, 1978/79, 1981/82 (and the following three winters), 2009/10. 2010/11 would have been good had it not ended on Boxing Day. My dad went on about 1946/47 which only began late January. Mum tells me about the winter of 1939/40. Most of the winters in the 1960's were all cold. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I don't know why some weather forecasters say "at least it's mild". I absolutely detest this weather in winter. Today is simply depressing here. Mild, wet, cloudy, and very dull. We've had this sort of weather pretty constantly for several weeks now. To be honest, I've pretty much given up hope on this winter delivering any other than this right through until the end of February. The GFS models now go up until the end of December and they're dire. Some long rage forecasts to 11th January, almost the halfway stage of the winter and they're not much better. Not a hint of anything remotely wintery. Roll on summer, which I hope is better than last year. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
After a strong blocking high throughout most of October and November, I was optimistic about this winter, but it's all changed now. Those clear crisp sunny days were the frost didn't lift all day was what ii remember winters were like when I was young. We always got at least one or two snow events throughout the winter. A snowless winter was unheard of. Now they're common place and snow during the winter is rare. What has happened to our climate. The winter of 2009/10 was what all winters were like when I was young. I have the dreaded feeling this one's shaping up to be yet another snowless frost free affair. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Our switch started the Friday before. It was bright, cold and frosty up until then but cloudy and relatively mild since Friday the 25th. Winter has gone pear shaped after the really promising start. Temperature yesterday was up to 16C here -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks like December 2016 is pretty much a right off as far as cold weather is concerned. Charts are dire now, right up until the 24th. Heck, even the BBC have said there's nothing remotely wintery on the horizon.. I hope January is better, but I'm not optimistic, despite the long range "winter forecasts". Oh to live in somewhere like Edmonton. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep, here's a very good summery. Oh for a winter like that one again. http://myweb.tiscali.co.uk/mtullett/1962-63/ -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nice photos. December 2010 ? The last time we had any significant snow here was December 2010, 6 years now. That's a long time to wait. There was lying . snow on Christmas day here that year -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
Peter H replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
November was good in parts. Some really cold, bright crisp days when the frost didn't lift, but it's been mild, cloudy, and frost free for the last 7 days. Next week looks set to turn really mild eventually, with temperatures up to at least 13C. Yuk, Not another one. The latest model runs don't look too good either, with nothing remotely cold, even up to the 18th, a week before Christmas. December has gone pear shaped. Even the BBC have dropped the "plunge of cold air mid month" from their long range forecasts. One can only hope the second half of December and January will be better. -
It's at this point I forget about looking at the models. Winter's over for another year and what a stinker it was too. Pretty much mild, snowless, and frost free throughout. The mildest on record in England and Wales, so it can't get much worse than that. We're still long over due a string of really cold winters, unless the climate in the UK has changed. 2009/10 has really been the best one over the last 10-15 years or so, along with December 2010
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I can't remember any winters in the 1960's that didn't have at least one snow event, and I recall a significant snowfall here in early March '64. Then again, there was a major snow event on a north westerly here in late January 1973 after a mostly very mild December/January and no one on these forums seems to remember that.
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I can remember snow in the winter of 63/34. All of the winters in the 1960's were a hell of a lot colder than this one.
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It's strange but even though the charts look good for this weekend it's not translating into anything cold or wintry. For me, winter is over at this stage of the game. Looking forward to summer and the brighter evening again. Fed up with "winter" (if you could call it that) now.
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I think at this stage winter is pretty much over bar the shouting. Next week looks particularly mild now, after the models kept us going for a few days. Overall it's been another mild, wet, windy, and completely snowless one with very little in the way of frost. Yet another stinker. Here's my early prediction for winter 2016/17. More of the same
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Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Peter H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models have all reverted back to a mild theme next week, after keeping us going for several days. Even though the end of this week looks good, it's not really translating into anything particularly cold temperature wise. -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Peter H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, latest runs look very interesting indeed, especially later this week and after next weekend. Some cracking synoptic charts on there, but they did that the week before last and it never really translated into anything in the week gone by. -
Models over the next couple of weeks looking good now, especially towards the end of the current run, and that's even before the main event in mid-late February. Some snow forecast here over the next 24 hrs too.
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Well, BBC long range forecast seems to think the jet will be further south next week, with the possibility of some wintry outbreaks at times. Snow at all levels forecast here on Saturday as well, though milder again by Sunday. Met Office and the BBC both running with the colder theme mid month, so it'll be interesting to see what develops.
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Interesting. This evening's long range forecast did hint at a SSW event in the second half of February and colder weather developing. Nothing on the latest model runs which now go up to the 11th, other than brief incursions of cold air between lows.