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Posts posted by Brightlight
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If the front moves 15+ miles on later forecasts/runs then we shouldn't worry about rain as it'll likely all fall as snow, but is marginal atm but most still suggest about 5cms possible in B&H area but that isn't decided yet of course! currently -1.2C.
Thanks - we are always in the no-mans land and need to just watch and see. METO still saying sleet and temps rising during Sat Night? Maybe thats the air coming off the channel!? Oh how I wish I understood better lol
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also just wondering on teh GFS charts the difference between snow risk and precipitation type - I always thought the snow risk showed the degree between rain and snow as it were, so if its green/yellow, it closer to rain and pink is likely to be snow - so this particular chart suggests marginal? is that right?
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Just trying again for a science lesson :-) Brighton and Hove is always on the western edge of snow predicted for the east of our area - cant see how they know our little lump on the map will or wont be included but hey. I cannot remember the things that effect whether coasts get snow or rain - I think Easterly winds are more helpful for snow and this situation isnt that, so what would determine what might fall here?
I am expecting snow then sleet and not much to settle (although I am on a hill in Brighton, so it sometimes makes a difference :-))
Why would Eastbourne be less vulnerable to rain for instance as usually its snow there, Newhaven as well
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Right guys the NMM now goes out to 48hrs on its 00z run and the news is GOOD from it.
Snow arriving between 7-9pm (though I think its a couple of hours too fast!) and still going strong across our whole area by midnight.
Ever so slightly marginal maybe on south facing coast on the Esturary so myself and Paul may not see quite as much snow as places further inland and west but should still see settling snow.
Can you remind me how the coast effects rain/snow events, I am thinking that here on the south coast (Brighton) we often get snow if its an easterly but maybe not coming from the west? Very hilly here so it varies across the city too, just trying to remember the science! Dew points too - what does that need to be for snow?
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Looks like a definate last minute thing with knowing what will happen - rain/snow and where, looks to me more like a mix except for the far east of kent where it looks fairly certain that early hours sunday through to Monday would see snow! Am I looking at these charts right! :-)
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Roughly speaking:
Yellow warning over Kent and East Anglia Tonight and tomorrow
Yellow warning for southeast Sunday morning midnight to noon - 5-10cm and at low levels
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metoffice Met Office
Weather warnings can be seen through the blog, a PDF file is available towards the end of article 'Wintry weekend' bit.ly/9xFi89 ^SJ
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A friend of mine has just called me,she works for Brighton and hove council,they have been put on high alert for significant snow fall on saturday/sunday
OOOO better let them know my grit bin is full of rubbish not grit!! lol
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MO still showing rain for Brighton, snow inland. The general public sure do need warnings in my opinion, I dont know anyone else that watches weather like me so hope they put some up today, or at least get a bit more emphasis on the amounts or possible distruption according to these charts
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These type of Conditions we are experiencing are Indicitive of 1980's type winters for the younger members who have never actually lived through them. In the Period from 1979 - 1987 we had weeks upon weeks of dry cold frosty weather but when the Snows came they came with avengence! This I later learnt were situations like we have now with a huge block of Cold air priming the ground and the Battleground scenario with the Atlantic trying to come in and Snow events with the Cold winning out, If we had computers and Forums then the unpatient ones would have been the same as they are now, but as Coast said yesterday we never knew anything until the old Tv forecasts picked up on an advancing front usually 1 day ahead Max. I also think we have too much data at our disposal nowadays and the romance has been taken away.
Patience is a Virtue! That is all I am going to say atm
I remember those winters and its how I think of winters! Bright blue skies, frost and then some snow - which i seem to remember never stopped my parents driving around and trains worked too!!! I have been watching all week and in the past I would have said Brighton is almost always the place that the snowline stops at - we used to never get it, but the last two winters have changed all that. Actually hope we dont get snow and iced in like before, but cold, bright blue skies and some snow is great with me (not that I am fussy and unrealistic to think I can choose what mother nature dishes out!! )
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sleety rain then almost some snow about an hour ago here in North Brighton - skies have almost cleared and sun trying to shine
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It ain't gonna settle, but I admire your positivity and it could sleet/wet snow tommorow.
I first thought rain and gales - then no gales - then saw lots of pink nearby on a model chart and thats the moment the word Snow popped up!! Now.....well, its raining,doesnt feel that cold, I will be able to tell if it changes as the gutters leak and the noise will stop if snow appears! and not much of a gusty gale either
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GFS upgrades the risk for the SE and suggests several hours of snowfall, both the air is a touch colder and also the precip is more intense...higher risk of settling snow as well now in this region.
mmmm was convinced that Brighton would get sleet at the most - now wondering if I should move the car to a spot where it could be moved if snow settles
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Raining steadily here, winds are not high and no gusts like the other night, not feeling that cold
Maybe the wind is picking up a bit
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METO downgraded gales and no snow?
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html
infact there are no warnings for snow anywhere? - at the moment
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correction something wrong with my postcode on netweather forecast - just put in Brighton and Hove and it shows sleet and 1degree! No wonder my finger is not feeling on the pulse of whats going on - nevermind the experts having trouble
Normally I'm an "extreme" weather fan, but seeing as I'm flying out of Gatwick to Vegas on Friday I'm starting to get a dreadful feeling about things.
Don't know how accurate this is as it's often wind direction dependant, but think that 50knots + and airports start to close thier runways??
Ooops something is amiss with my signatures.......need to delve in to the software!!
Oh dear - that might be a dilemma, either grounded by the weather or a choppy ride, maybe.....hopefully you can hazard a better guess tomorrow
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Hi Marie & Yamkin
Last nights howling was fairly prolonged and a wee bit scary at 1.30am! The temps for Brighton are 12degrees midnight Thursday and no lower than 4 friday day(at the moment) - I presume the forecase wont be clear for another 24hrs, but I have a feeling it will be wild again too!
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I was just about to try and sleep but I think you might be right, the gusts dont seem to be abating for long and they are strong still, all the doors are rattling! and this isnt as strong as the winds predicted, possibly, for Thursday/Friday,
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completely wild here in North Brighton on top of a hill with the wind coming up from the sea! Calmed down for a bit about half an hour a go but the gusts seem to be picking up momentum again now, worst was between 11 and 12 I would say. Not easy to sleep with the bedroom window facing the tree lined street!
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METO warning for heavy snow turning to rain on Friday is now covering the whole of our area?? The temps say 7/8 ??
London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 6
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Yes, Sleet showing for Brighton and the sun is shining bright at the moment - very very small flakes of snow in the last 1/2 hour. What happens if its sleet /snow/sleet - will it all met or freeze and be a nightmare? Now thinking either rain OR snow might be better for us :-(