Chris.R
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Everything posted by Chris.R
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Latest runs of GFS and WRF are really starting to increase the risk for back edge snow on Tuesday night as they keep the precip going after the cold air starts to under-cut.
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Snow line perhaps 20 miles further south on 6Z. Still going right direction.
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Day 10 Yep SST at Crosby today is 6.2°C, this is 1.2°C below the long-term February average.
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Much better GFF 0Z. Wednesday night event much better angle now... Would be a big snow event before turn to ice pellets and then rain. The snow line for Friday and Saturday is further south as well. 18 Z had it north of the border, now it's Around Carlisle. Like to see further southerly corrections on that.
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Rob 79812010 Yep December 17th 2010... Best snowfall in my life. 25 cm in Crosby... Ice flows on the Mersey estuary... Banks of ice on the beach feet deep.
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Out for a walk in Freshfield today on the Fisherman's Path. Cloudy but dry there though was sunny at home when I left.
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Sunny
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Day 10 can't remember about the warning but it was when we had snow all day but it didn't settle, and then did overnight then Melted in next day's sun.
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Ooooo gfs 0 Z
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Day 10 I can't get the highlight post quote "selection thing to work at all. I am using a weird accessibility tech thing though. Anyway 9th March 2023 was region wide I think, remember that frustrating 36 hours?
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Day 10 Boundary even further south on 6Z. So far that not much precip
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Candlemas today. Always like Candlemas as it reminds me that spring is around the corner. Maybe we have some more winter to enjoy first though.
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Day 10 Yep looking good. Will be high-risk high reward but should be lots of fun.
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Had Worse indeed
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Day 10 Now that's more like it.
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I don't like that antibiotics thing... Just means loads of people will take it when they don't need it and more people will be immune to it. In principle it's great though. anyway, raining again, there's a surprise.
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This evening doesn't look anything of note away from mountains. A bit of heavy rain and a bit breezy. Can't see anything convective or wintery.
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Big fhoen effect at Rhyl
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Only 7°C here. There is a very potent inversion overhead, boundary layer is colder than expected and it's not being mixed out by the inversion as expected. May help tomorrow with bringing possible sleet/snow down to lower level than predicted.
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Perhaps snow down to 100 m in Cumbria tomorrow and 300 m further south especially in very heavy precip. Quite a sharp temperature gradient aloft. Either way a long period of precip to come
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Ok well GFS at 240H has gone from +9°C at 850 to -6°C on the next run so maybe we can't actually say what's going to happen at day 10 lol
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Chance of brief sleet/snow above 300 m on the back edge tonight and in post frontal showers. Apart from that very mild for the foreseeable especially so after day 5 on GFS.
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Didn't seem too bad here. I am very sheltered by houses and have a ridge of high ground to my west.
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In New Brighton currently for a walk and it's really windy but nice and sunny. Big waves.
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Not that bad here. No damage. Nothing out of the ordinary. Protected by the high ground to the Southwest.
