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georgiedre

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Posts posted by georgiedre

    Meto Uk Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    27 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Monday 4 Jan - Wednesday 13 Jan

    Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

    Wednesday 13 Jan - Wednesday 27 Jan

    Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    It says it was updated 16.00 today....... its only 14.50 now hahahaha

    • Like 1

    Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, sebastiaan1973 said:

    ongoing wave activity a couple of days after the onset of the SSW and negative NAM at 150 hPa means downwelling. You see it already at the EC oper output. So Domeisen can write about not downwelling, we see at EC it does. So, I wonder what's going on.

    It's 2020 anything is possible.  What's your take on next stage if you could make an informative guess 

    Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

    It’s not even the weather!  It’s what the weather could be, or maybe not. One day  to forgive your hobby to spend time with your family when many cannot should be cherished. Enjoy it, and then come back to the output tomorrow. Believe you me, it will probably be even better than today. So much potential on show. 

    I sense a bit of a ramp here ..

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