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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Great to see you posting on here again Nick. I always look forward to your balanced and very informative posts. Unless my memory is deceiving me, I seem to recall the BOM doing extremely well at predicting the cold period of late Nov/early Dec 2010 and also maybe the cold spells of 2009/10. It seemed to model Scandi highs with a very high degree of accuracy, just like the ECM. The GFS on the other hand seems to struggle with the modelling of scandi highs but is very good at picking up Greenland blocking.
  2. blizzard81
    For next week, the models (more specifically the ECM) are showing something very similar (almost identical) to the synoptics of early November 2009 with lows tracking on a south east trajectory through the British Isles and pressure gradually rising to the north east. The great winter that followed didn't really kick in here until the 17th December. I wonder if the same sort of thing happens this year but around 3 weeks earlier - say end of November!!
  3. blizzard81
    The reason is simple, Darren Betts exterminated the duty forecaster and got his wicked hands on the controls!!
  4. blizzard81
    Did anyone see look north weather? If so, what did they say?
  5. blizzard81
    Good point, yes I think they did
  6. blizzard81
    Sorry, I meant are the bbc 5 dayers based on the ukmo 12z? Ha ha, classic!!!
  7. blizzard81
    And which model is he using??
  8. blizzard81
    Thanks for the reply. Yes I have heard other people mention this but I thought it was based on the ukmo 12z raw output. Do you know if that is the case?
  9. blizzard81
    Don't look at the bbc 5 dayers then, very dissapointing Are these based on the ukmo 12hrs output? Was expecting much better.
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