[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, Southender said:

How is your DP higher than your air temp?

No idea..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Wheres Steve Murr ?

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Temp plummeting. 

2.4c

Dp 3c

Cold strong wind .

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just popped into the Mods .

Everyone's very happy.

Bitter cold -14uppers coming back in nxt weekend.

Here in S.E we never get above freezing at 2m all week..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Temp 3.8c

Dp 4c

Cold gusty wind.

Raining.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

So here we go folks.

Temp 4.2c falling quicker now.

D.ps still at 5...

Wind getting up..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

17 minutes ago, Whether Idle said:

This is a scan through the 12z models so far available at the time of writing, with approximate snow depth shown for t48 midday Monday in Dover

Model           Depth in cms (nya  not yet available)

Arpege                  13

GFS.                       10

WRF MNM             15

Arome.                   14

ICON.                       6

Euro 4                     nya

mean.                     11.6

median                   13

So I will settle on 12cms on the deck by midday Monday IMBY. We shall see what happens soon

Hoping Thanet gets in on them totals too...

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Extension to the cold.

Check this bad boy cold pool..

S.E Feed. Bitter cold.. 

Heating bill is gonna be a big one this month..

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

4 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

OMG where is everyone? 

Here.

Quietly watching..

Pinching myself at the thought of this being extended into week 2...

Be a very cold continental feed given that paternal.. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just got in.. 

Checked the app to make sure I'm not dreaming.

BBC weather app has now upgraded and extended the freezing cold up till Sat.

Not seeing plus temps till friday and then it's only 1c..

Loving the idea of lying snow for several days not just 1 day slush fest...

Anyway pray to the gods this all happens.

I'm like a big kid today waiting and watching... 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, RJM said:

or 3cm rain

Relax

Canterbury and E. Kent will be fine...

Sleety start but quickly turning to snow by 3 or 4 a.m I reckon.. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

24 minutes ago, kold weather said:

It is because the UKMO is the most NW of the models now in terms of the heavier stuff, which is obviously what the UKMO use.

I expect it to fall inline with the rest of the models for further west tomorrow morning.

Still very snowy for the east of the region regardless. 

I wonder whether someone could compile a list of webcams from some N/Kent/S.Essex locations?

So us who are further west can live the event through the webcams!

No worries.

I will post lots of pics if we hit the jackpot..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

10 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

The updated 1500 hrs met forecast for Thanet and Dover has us in the amber alert for sunday with heavy snow from 6am to 6pm and then has light snow for the rest of the evening !!

My bbc app has us down for 34 hours of heavy/light snow from 3 a.m sunday through till monday late afternoon.

Will more snow Symbols for monday night/Tues.

Starting to get proper Excited..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

BBC app has me down for 29 hrs of continuous light snow.. (Sun 6a.m till Mon lunch time.)

If that happens I will be a very happy middle aged man.

No measurable snow here since 2018 and even then we were only talking 3-4 cm..(my location).

Best of luck to the whole S.E...❄❄

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

12 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Jumped in ere coz if I post this in mod thread there will be meltdowns... via other region members!..     anyway in a nutshell our quadrant @@south east-east anglia are modelled in some data as mild sector geographical... I’ll illustrate why this is an evolutionary trait that is highly likely miss-modelled at this juncture..(later) and in such infer =incursion.. we’ll likely be the firing line points of this incoming flow..... some  notable weather...@ incoming!!!!!!

In English please.

What are you saying regarding snow for S.E ??

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

31 minutes ago, Man Without Beard said:

Ecm T72 - snow supportive air for all but far SW (and yes that includes Margate!)

Thankyou for that..

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

7 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

Gem looks kinky

Yep

Loving these charts.

If only..

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

1 minute ago, IDO said:

From an IMBY perspective the trend is not great. We do not really get a pure easterly and the -8c never reaches us:

Def a shift north on this run and any further correction may see a rain fest. Certainly the Met weekend review suggesting rain for Sunday and maybe snow? Only one run from one model so just one to watch really. Others further north are in for some interesting easterly games.

Yep 

This is not the outcome we worship in the south. The -8 uppers flirt wth us but font take hold until Monday night by which time the rivers will be overflowing again after more rain we dont need.

Just one option on the table but I'm not liking..

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

2 minutes ago, Notty said:

Better on GFS // too

Not better

Rain into Whole of kent..

Pattern has clearly shifted north 100 miles..

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

1 minute ago, Notty said:

GFS // agrees

Still concerning how close the milder uppers over France are..bit to close for comfort.

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

4 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

A nice depiction of one or two streamers there, will undoubtedly change locations in subsequent runs but helps explain the snowfall total above.

Whys it showing rain in East Kent.

Surely the uppers are more than cold enough to produce snow by then even in coastal areas.. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

BBC app has me dry (East Kent)  throughout mon , tues ,weds...

Surely we would see more snow showers on that cold feed across the N sea ??

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

BBC Weather app now has 16 hrs of light continuous snow for manston in kent early hrs Sunday morning through the whole day wth temps around 0c 

Followed by 2 yes 2 ice days..

Cant be right ? Can it ?

Has me dry Tues and Weds 

More Snow Symbols for Thurs..

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Dont know why but I'm just not feeling it about this insuing spell.

If as forcast by bbc I have daytime temps of +1-+3 c I cant imagine any sticking snow . Add to 5hat the 850s that seem to be around -6-7 average then there wont be any ice days either. 

I'm fully expecting cold wet slushy deposits...

Hope I'm wrong and maybe upgrades to come but for 2 days now most models have the lows to close for comfort which for has temps on the ground to high for measurable amounts if indeed we get snow at all.

A true Easterly  would have penetrating frosts wth ice days..not seeing that anywhere in the models I'm seeing..

In case your wondering I'm on the East kent coast...

[Southeast and East Anglia weather discussion]

Bloody typical, the next 2 weeks Is cold Wth N.Easterlys.. we had to wait till April....

Roll on warmth...