snowblind
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Posts posted by snowblind
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What I don't understand is with the models showing 850 temps of between -10 and -12 across us tomorrow coming from the east how come the met office is forecasting highs of 3 tomorrow? I would have expected highs to be 0 at most. Maybe they're just overestimating as they tend to do in cold spells
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If we can't get an ice day with 850s that low I give up.
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1 hour ago, Rob 79812010 said:
So much to be positive about about in the models. Beeb monthly update is very encouraging. They still mention effects of ssw in feb
Interesting read and very well explained I thought.
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19 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:
NNM for Monday
Looks very light but still time for upgrades
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43 minutes ago, sundog said:Don't give up on us GFS
RIP David.
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32 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
The tears in the rain are falling in the MOD thread this morning
Inevitable really when looking at charts 10 days away. How often do they verify?
Yesterday everyone was onboard the polar express now it seems to have hit the buffers and the knives are out. I think I might stay out of there for a while.
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7 minutes ago, DOdo said:
I think they are playing it safe at this early stage. The main theme is, its going to stay cold any mild intervals will be brief.
Either that or they're all still on their Christmas hols and no-one has bothered to update it
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MAD thread in full ramp mode. Difficult not to get caught up in the excitement. The most spectacular charts are still 9 or 10 days away so plenty of things can go wrong before then.
All that seems certain is it will be pretty chilly early next week maybe frosty depending on cloud amounts. After that wouldn't like to say.
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37 minutes ago, Icebox said:
Never... the first and golden rule.
I never mention anything anymore, except to scoff at all the rumours that inevitably get trotted out. I then act surprised if it does actually happen and have to take all the 'i told you sos' on the chin.
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I don't think the wording has changed at all for days. Very unusual.
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From what I can gather in the MAD thread the signal for the SSW has been lost or the reversal is going to be at 70 degrees north and not 60. I seem to remember this happening a few years back and it didn't do us any favours in terms of cold weather.
They now seem to be chasing a cold spell which looks similar to the one forecast before Christmas that never happened. Difficult to tell what is actually going on as there are some overly optimistic and some equally overly pessimistic posters in there.
Meanwhile the actual weather continues windy and mild.
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Very mild outside today. It was a bit windy overnight but that has calmed down and there was virtually no rain and there is even a bit of sunshine now.
It's a comfortable 18.6 indoors with no heating on. Whilst not very festive at least this weather is keeping the heating bills down.
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7 hours ago, slater said:
Indeed. I was out in the sunshine in a t-shirt it felt pretty pleasant out of the wind.
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11 hours ago, Sparky68 said:
Mad thread ramping up again for a cold Christmas.
And the rollercoaster has plunged off a cliff this morning. It's a stomach churning ride at the moment.
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All doom and gloom in the MAD thread this evening.
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4 hours ago, Sparky68 said:
Was 2c when I got in the car this morning. See the mad thread is ramping up again.
Would love a bit of this just once, 2 weeks ago
Just looks like a few days of cold, very windy unpleasant weather just before/over Christmas before it warms up again. Can't see any snow for us, maybe on hills up north but not here. Looks like nw winds not n or ne so no good for us.
That lake effect snow looks incredible.
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1 hour ago, Vikos said:
Overall, the route is rather mild‘ish than cold in terms of winter weather conditions…
next stop of hope would be a ssw somewhere in January, but we all know how long it takes to deliver any goods (if at all)…
we have to face it, December isn’t a winter month any more, last one was 13 years ago and was peaking out in a series of mild winters…
December has never been a particularly wintery month in my part of the world. In fact growing up in the 70s and 80s I don't remember much in the way of snow before Christmas. December 1981 was the notable exception with several snow storms and snow on the ground from early in the month until just after Christmas.
December 1978 saw a lot of snow between Christmas and new year but not before.
I think there were a couple of cold Decembers in the 90s and early 2000s but they were more frosty than snowy.
In fact snow has been more common in December in more recent years 2009, 2010, 2017 and 2022 all had decent falls.
For me it's the lack of snow in January and February that is more marked now.
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Aaaand not such a good update today. Toned down quite a bit from yesterday.
"Later next week, in the run up to Christmas, there are indications of rain and showers developing more widely. There is also a chance of winds switching to more of a northwesterly direction, allowing conditions to become a little colder, with a risk of some wintry showers developing in the north. However, at this stage there is little sign of any widespread or severe cold and wintry weather."
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Last bit of the 17th to 26th sounds like an encouraging update.
"It now looks probable that there will be at least one short-lived colder interlude next week, with a period of north or northwesterly winds that could bring some snow and ice, especially in the north."
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Another hard frost last night. Today looks like being the last really cold day. East of England met office forecast talking of rain, sleet and possibly snow tonight, although there is no warning for our region so I guess they aren't expecting any snow to amount to much.
Rain for Sunday and Monday and temps about 5 or 6 for the rest of the week rising to 10 by Friday but that's a long way off. So looks like a cold week coming up but not much in the way of wintry weather. Looks like a lack of frost after tonight as well with too much cloud around.
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Yes, that worked. I had to change the DNS from sky to the Google ones, 8.8.8.8 primary and 8.8.4.4 secondary. Maybe sky blocks it for some reason.
Thanks again.
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38 minutes ago, The PIT said:
Plug into your pc and set it back up. That's what I've done in the past.
Thanks, I'll give that a go.
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33 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Looks like Cambridge way to me.
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Just now, Jackski4 said:
Seems that all Exeter do these days is play catch up!
That's the trouble with issuing long range forecasts. The further ahead you go the less likely you are to be correct. Then you have to change it everyday to keep it semi accurate. The way the models change it doesn't seem worth going more than a week ahead.
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There seems to be a snow and ice warning down the east coast covering parts of this region. It just about covers where I am. Reading the warning it seems to be mostly for ice. Might see a few flakes falling, if lucky.
UK weather warnings
WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK-
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SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on
in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion
Posted
Very fine snow just started