feb1991blizzard
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Posts posted by feb1991blizzard
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13.4c and 58mm rain please.
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11c and 95mm please
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Quite, and i still don't think its perfection (its good) for bringing cold to uk, i must admit i've come to the conclusion you need a far and wide split with a ridge from Canada to Scandinavia with poleward flux to override everything and guarantee a belter, although didn't 2013 deliver with a wave 1 initial setup? if anyone's got the geop. height charts from 6th -13th Jan 2013 for 10-30mb, i'd like to see them please.
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Yes, split vortex signature showing up nicely now, a few more runs before the nosediver flatliners show in quantity on the graph.
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In fact tell a lie, that would be something special once every 10 years in Jan in SW England.
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ECM 12z joins the party.
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I think effects will start to show in the modelling once the split is within the reliable, its D10-15 now.
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One things looking sure now, this one is properly going to destroy the vortex, every GFS bar one of the last 5 or 6 (to varying degrees) does this and its ticking down, it starts at D10 now and eps mean showing it as well.
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Respectable GEFS, nothing -10 and blizzards yet but steady as she goes for the opening gambits of spring, setting up something more cold and snowy as we get further into spring.
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Yes, just to add insult it blows into a full blown low at 240, only one result from here, the same one we've had all winter.
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It would have been without that shortwave near Iceland.
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I don't think it will be the outcome but if we could get a proper cold pool it would still deliver snow, i remember snow in may in Kent once in the early 90's, yes it wouldn't deliver as good as Early Dec.
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April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
My EWP is going to end good but i've done garbage in the CET, its been the other way round this year so far up until now.