feb1991blizzard
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Posts posted by feb1991blizzard
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No - if anything its worse, snow / rain boundary further North.
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Big improvement ECM although not quite perfect yet.
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Yes - miles better than GFS 18z although not liking 120 - 180 ish range on any runs now,
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UKMO 72 pukka
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7 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
It manages to ensure that the high pressure belt to the north doesn’t advect any cold into the UK .
That is what you call a North based -NAO!
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what's the ext eps mean like please?
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Yes, my post was basically saying that its a high between Scotland & Iceland, a uk high would be central pressure around N England / N Midlands.
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Its a Scolandic high.
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Not liking either the GEM ens or GEFS, they're not bad but a definite downgrade.
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Hello - is it me your looking for says GFS after a poor Icon.
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Terrible charts - no blocking advertised - erm......... just a 3 wave pattern thats all with the vortex in tatters.
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Make no mistake if anything spectacular happens on a weeknight, i'm there Granby & tory club, don't care if i have to sleep on Saddleworth moor in blizzard conditions.
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Eps also an absolute stunner, cold all the way on the 850's graph, greater longevity than recent suites, as showing on Mike Poole's clusters post.
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Yes - you couldn't make it up, its done everything to deny us a decent cold spell for 75% of the run, the GFS is now going to give us an absolute snorter of a protracted cold spell for the rest.
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Mind you nor has the UKMO got a clue either!!
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It just hasn't got a scooby has it, its just blown up a ridiculous potent shortwave that wasn't there on 5z.
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Problem now is nothing important in the modelling for a few hours until the end week 2 ens come out.
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GFS looks like it will start its usual micro staged move on this run.
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GEFS starting to trend GEM ens ish towards end, everything falling into place.
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It's a snorter but i've news for you - oh yes it can with snow charts, it can be wrong with snow charts on the analysis chart.
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Just now, sebastiaan1973 said:
For the week of 19th February, an increased warming compared with earlier this week.
Was just going to say that - not great with the height chart 19th feb, losing low Europe anomaly but a major SSW now looking more and more likely, need it to really hurry up and have an almost instant effect on the trop though as time running out..
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Daniel*
Normally i would agree but the ens are trending the wrong way too.