su rui ke
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Posts posted by su rui ke
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Is it just me, or can anyone else hear the soft sound of hairs being split?
Considering you can have hail at any temperature, no (I can't hear it).
Anyway, the very mild NW Europe and cold Middle East are part of the same story - the jet stream has huge loops in it again.
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NOAA has currently has 2013 as seventh warmest for the January-October period. I've been trying to estimate how high up or how low down the rankings this year could end up but it's difficult to find data all quoted to the same degree of precision. Given that the overall averages for some years are the same to two decimal places, that can make things difficult!
I think this year could end up as high as fifth if the combined anomaly for November and December is greater than about 1.3C. In the other direction, 2006, 2009 and 2007 were only a few hundredths of a degree cooler than 2013 has been to date so we could also slip below those months if November and December are relatively cool compared to the last few months. According to NOAA,the monthly anomalies since the start of the year have been 0.54, 0.57. 0.58. 0.52, 0.66, 0.64, 0.61, 0.62, 0.64 and 0.63 (all relative to the 20th century average).
The November figure should be out within the next few days.
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We still have our patchy light snow cover from earlier. The nice thing is that it's such a cold, dry airmass there's no watery rubbish in between the patches. I'd rather have this than heavy, wet snow!
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Go and look Southwest to see the brilliant apparition of the planet Venus "the evening star" and the new crescent Moon - exquisite!
Thanks, I might have missed that! Yes, that's a beautiful sight.
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It's been snowing for most of the past hour here and there's now a complete covering on the grass. This is much more than you'd normally expect from a northerly here. I guess it's the strength of the flow?
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It also says on the network rail twitter they're closed due to flying trampolines, bawbag Mk2
I know it seems funny but in many countries people take simple precautions to avoid that sort of thing. (I got used to typhoon drill when I lived on the south Chinese coast!)
Certainly windy here but by the sound of things it's considerably worse up the road in Perth.
Has anyone seen any snow yet?
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Thursday morning rush hour through the Central Belt could be dreadful
TV forecasts are also starting to hint at something serious for Thursday but they're not giving any details just yet.
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This thread seems a bit more active than the 'China' one so, as it's all related, I think I'll continue posting here.
I found the temperature records for 11 July to 9 August for Hangzhou posted on Wunderground. Hangzhou is about 100 miles south west of Shanghai. It might help to give an idea of how recent conditions compare to 'normal'. The hot weather has been so persistent that heat 'wave' doesn't really do it justice!
The long-term average maximum temperature for this period in Hangzhou is about 33C. In order, for the 30 days in the period I mentioned, the maxima were:
39.5, 37.9, 34.4, 36.6, 35.2, 36.4, 37.7, 36.7, 37.7, 36.2, 35.9, 36.5, 39.6, 40.4, 40.3, 40.3, 40.5, 40.1, 39.8, 40.5, 39.6, 39.0, 32.6, 33.5, 37.0, 40.2, 41.0, 41.2, 41.2, 41.6
Only one day (2 August) possibly recorded a maximum temperature belong the long-term average - I don't know the average to one decimal place so can't be sure. For the record, the lowest minimum during this 30-day period was 23.3. The highest minimum was 30.6 on 9 August.
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The 41.0° is a new Japan record and Tokyo recorded its highest night minimum of 30.4°C, but according to the Korean Meteorological Agency their record remains the 40.0°C at Daegu on 01/08/1942 - http://web.kma.go.kr/eng/biz/climate_01.jsp
For more on this heat wave (and extremes in general) see Christopher Burt's excellent blog on wunderground - http://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/show.html
In particular the Chinese city of Hangzhou has matched or exceeded its previous record of 40.3°C twelve times this year.
The local news here in Ningbo (in Zhejiang, same province as Hangzhou) was highlighting a temperature of 44.1C a couple of nights ago. I assume that, as they were giving such a precise value, it meant another record of some sort had been broken. It might be a record for the province - I'll try and find out. I suspect the Chinese national record is still held by somewhere out in the Xingjiang desert. That's a completely different climate from 'China proper' though so not really comparable.
Here in eastern China the heatwave is easing slightly although there are still large areas experiencing temperatures above 35C and a few spots still above 40C. If anything, areas to the north of Shanghai have become slighty hotter over the last few days. Widespread warnings are still in force.
There is severe flooding in Heilongjiang in the northeast - this has also been affecting N Korea - and a severe typhoon about to make landfall in Guangdong. The national weather forecasts here can make ours look a little dull sometimes!
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I'm in Ningbo just now and, yes, it's hot! It's surprising how you do get used to it after a few days though - of course, having air-conditioning makes a big difference. Most people seem to be coping by not going out in the afternoon if they can avoid it.
This is forecast to be the last 40C day. Maximum temperatures should drop by a few degrees over the next few days. That's still above the August average of around 32C though.
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I don't mind the haar if it breaks up around mid-morning and doesn't return until the evening - or even the odd day with haar during a fine spell. It adds a bit of interest and reminds you that the North Sea is there. But day after day, when everyone else is enjoying real summer weather? No thanks!
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Another very wintry looking morning here - and it sounds like that goes for a wide area along the east coast. Judith's 'wintry flurries' have proved to be quite potent!
Even if we get no more snow here before the end of the month - which I think is unlikely - this is already a memorable spell for March.
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There's no logic to it is there.
To be fair, I do have a little bit of elevation (100 m or so) - seems to be enough under the current conditions.
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It's not letting up much here although I think all the accumulation happened overnight. I'll try and make a measurement in a wee while but with the strength of the wind that could be difficult! It's strange that Perth, for example, hasn't done better out of this. It does look a bit damp around the edges at the moment but that's to be expected during the daytime in March - other than that, it's all snow here!
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Radar looking more lively again ...
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Not much happening here at the moment although a bit more snow comes through every now and again. I was trying to think of similar events this late in the winter (or early in the spring, I suppose). Didn't the famous winter of 1979 go out in style with yet another heavy fall around this date? I seem to remember that it was mainly the east coast, especially the Borders, that got hit then too.
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Quick post as in late due to road chaos on the A90.
Defo the best event this winter. Several inches lying. Second fantastic breakdown. Can't understand why no upgraded warnings....???
Some great charts showing up later next week. All FI but constant trends from UKMO and ECM. UKMO on its txt 2 to 4 weeker has not budged from cold spell for the last week or so.
Yes, a good event with proper lying snow (without slush) in the centre of Dundee for the first time this winter - of course, that's changed this evening. There was more snow in the parts of the city away from the river on 25 January, however. I measured 18 cm that day as against 12 cm at 6 pm this evening. One of the notable features of this winter in this area has been the contrast between conditions near the coast and those just a few miles inland. That difference always exists, of course, but this winter it's been even sharper than usual.
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Why does my post keep showing '33' when I edit it to '3'?!
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Moderate fine snow here - as it has been most of the morning. It's still lying on all surfaces, including the roads. I'm guessing there's about 3 cm on the grass.
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This next band looks like it's fragmenting a bit as it comes east. Hope it clears through quickly so that we have the chance of a slight frost.
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Have to agree with the earlier comments from the Dundee/Perth areas - probably the best frontal snow event in years here. Even the snowfalls in the long cold spell of 2009/10 were more of a wintry mix and didn't produce as much lying snow.
It's pretty slushy down near the river but I measured 18 cm in the garden (at about 100 m.a.s.l.) a little while ago. Would anyone like to have a go at explaining why this event succeeded here when so many have failed?!
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Deffo pepping up su rui ke, could be in for some hefty showers here in Dundee soon....
Definitely if that big shower brewing just north of St Andrews hits - some red pixels in there!
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Have we got a trough forming out there at the moment - between about Arbroath and the border?
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Best part of this spell here now I would say - got a heavy snow shower going through that, for once, is lying on all surfaces!
2013 one of warmest on record
in Climate Change
Posted
The NOAA figures for November are out and the anomaly for November is a huge 0.78C. That makes it the warmest November in the series and by my reckoning the sixth warmest (relative to its own average) of any month in the series.
The anomaly for the year is now 0.62C. Another 0.62C in December would probably make 2013 the fifth warmest year on record. Something around 0.86C would be needed to put into third place.