kmanmx

Nope. Should stay as snow until late morning at the earliest. If not forever.

Some heavier stuff not too far away from Leicester now. Definitely staying up tonight to watch it come

You can't see what lasting long ?

Only very light here. Not even enough to make a dusting. What about you ?

An hour to install more servers, not acceptable Netweather IT Engineers ! In other news. Snowing lightly.

Weatheronline has 18z dewpoints out to +9hrs ?

Okay lets not ramp too much, as exciting as it is, lets be realistic. MetO strongly disagrees with these amounts. NAE has overdone it in the past. It may not all fall as snow.

Precipitation accumalation by 6pm Saturday. In MM.

Insane precipitation totals. 25 to 40mm for central midlands. Holy crap. Unfortunately, it's more marginal that 12z. Dew points slightly higher, 850HPA temps about 1c warmer. But who cares, it's nowcasting time.

While trues, gaps in the precipitation do have a habbit of aiming towards Leicester

Well it wouldn't be a proper snow event if it didn't skirt around us, would it ?

Everyone seems to be from West Mids and talking about snow. Any Leicester/Derby/Notts folks ? Anyone ?

2.1c, should be closer to 1c by the time precip arrives. Very good news to see snow reports quite far south in the midlands. Looking very good everyone I for one will be staying up as late as I can manage. Hopefully there will be enough snow to prevent me going to work, otherwise i'm going to be very tired tommorow !

My temperatures seem to be quite favorable compared to others on here. Actually am expecting it to be turning to snow pretty quickly, with an initial session of sleet. Sorry..IMBY I know. Nice to see reports of snow in Birmingham, looking good for those even further north.

Local weather station is predicting 30mm rain Friday and 32mm of snow Saturday. If that all falls as snow... Dew point -1.7c here Temp... measuring right now with my poultry thermometer!

It's 0c for a large majority of tonight through quite a bit of the midlands. Surely at worst that means it's very icey rain ? Snow seems more likely to me. Everyone is being very negative in here. It's snowed on many occasions at 3c outside, and yet its 0c pushing 1c tops and people are worried. Dew Points arn't *that* bad either. 850's not great, but oh well. Two out of three aint bad. Unfortunately for you it's 3c and isn't getting any colder.

This, totally.

Maybe I am optimistic but i'm expecting 3 to 5cm by the time I wake up tomorrow

Probably the latter ! Doesn't help that it's not really in the media. If you havn't watched the forecast you'd have no idea.

So would I considering its due to hit Midlands in about 12 hours MetO really downplaying this ? GFS, NAE, even UKMO predicting WAY more precipitation than that much more widespread. It makes no sense. The only explanation is that they expect alot of it to be rain.

Hmm, yeah, GFS seems like a bit of an upgrade. I'm not sure we'll see the amber area change too much. Perhaps enlargened a little. I expect more of a change to the yellow warning.

If you analyse NAE, what it's done is shrunk the size of the 0c area in the center of England and enlargened the 1c area. It's changed snow to rain in these area that it's now put up 1c. It seems to think it's very cut and dry. Those areas that remain freezing remain in snow (like ours, right in center of england), those that increase to 1c it's turned it all to rain. It may be coming to that conclusion on more than those variables, but it would seem that is what is the deciding factor. In my opinion, it seems a little bit unrealistic for it to change to totally rain with just a 1c rise in temperature above 0c. Could happen I suppose. It's changed the size of the snow area from most of midlands during late Friday afternoon to only very central parts and very north mids being snow. Precipitation amounts over all have varied a little, some places less, some more. Still a lot coming so don't worry. As for the changes in areas that it thinks will be raining, read above. Thats my take on it. Probably wrong, but never the less

Not really, it's just shifted precipitation accumulations about a bit. That will happen with every run right up to the event. It's pretty much one of the hardest things to get right anyway.

Optimism! this looks better than that january event, and that brought 10cm. If everything goes perfect and a shed load of luck, maybe 20cm locally...15cm more comonally. Of course, 10cm more likely. But trying to be optimistic

Ah yes. Totally forgot this was over Fri and Sat.