severe snowstorm
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Posts posted by severe snowstorm
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Tiny flakes of snow here but absolutely tonking it down!
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Snow seems 'dry' here. Everything covered with a dusting so far.
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Moderate fine snow falling here!
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What do we think about the prospects for Sunday? GFS says no for snow away from high ground. ICON and Arpege indicate potential for a period of heavy snow in parts of the region. Metoffice forecast not great for Sunday.
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3 hours ago, James M said:
Uppers have been downgraded slightly on the 18z unfortunately. I’m just expecting a wimpier version of Tuesday, so will have to go up on the hills if I want to see any lying snow.
Time to look towards the next spell I think, though we might be waiting a while!
Yes, Tuesday evening was good fun with all the thunder snow/hail, but this week really hasn't delivered snow wise for much of the region as we hoped/anticipated at the start of the week. The most noteworthy thing here this week was the wind on Wednesday night.
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6 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
18z gfs still suggesting tomoreow afternoon and evening as the regions best hope..
Thanks. I guess we will just have to see what happens tomorrow. All a bit underwhelming so far considering we have been under a warning since 11:00.
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Dry as a bone here with largely clear skies. Radar uninspiring, as are the EURO4 precipitation/snow predictions. Are we expecting to see an increase in showers at any point overnight?
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Am i right in thinking that the colder uppers (-6) don't arrive until this evening?
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What wind orientation are we expecting today. Straight Westerly or WNW/North Westerly?
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52 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:
Wind was awful last night, woke me up around 3am.
Quite a streamer through the Mersey estuary and through the Cheshire Gap this morning.
It is cold rain
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2 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Correct but the front has cleared by then,so it will be the wintry showers that are forecast
Once the LP has cleared.
C.S
Ok, thanks for the clarification.
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6 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Airport TAF says rain,then heavy rain,then rain,then snow.
Unless they have had a last minute update cannot imagine that changing
Had no alerts today so I would imagine it to be correct
C.S
Hi,
Your understanding of the TAFs is probably better than mine! Am I correct that the above is up to 23:00 with rain showers or snow possible from 02:00 onwards?
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3 minutes ago, captaincroc said:
That is good news, especially given the airports ASL
Yeah, 69m asl I think. It is only a possibility and does state rain as well. Not expecting snow, so will be a nice bonus if it occurs!
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Recently updated Manchester Airport TAF once again maintaining possibility of snow from 20:00 onwards through the night. Considering this alongside the metoffice forecast surely means they are seeing potential for snow at low levels throughout the region?
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3 minutes ago, frosty ground said:
It's going to be expensive to make a forecast for each area of the NW of England
Numerous times in the past, they have been more specific about parts of the region affected by wind/snow etc. Leads one to assume they may mean the whole region. Not saying it will be the case, just an observation.
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4 minutes ago, I Cumbria Marra I said:
Surprise surprise, coastal cumbria out of the warning again, while north east coast is in? Cba with this anymore
You'll be back for more
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42 minutes ago, Snowmusic said:
Just seen a BBC national forecast and it still looked ok for NW tonight / tomorrow morning. Has confused me now given the model output and general opinions on here!!
I know that the warnings and model output don't look great for much of the region, but the updated Manchester Airport TAF is still holding steady on the possibility of snow overnight. We will just have to see.
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Forecast on five live mentioned potential for disruptive snow in Northern England tonight. Question is, how far South?
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Recently updated Manchester Airport TAF still holding steady with possibility of rain or snow overnight.
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Heavy hail with flakes mixed in.
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7 minutes ago, i luv snow said:
Yes really annoying, waiting all night for the heavier/more organised ppn and it is definitely rain/sleet, not snow.... damn!
Oh well, let's hope the low is a bit further South tonight. As it stands, it looks frustratingly a tad too far North for our locations. Metoffice forecast does still mention rain and snow for tonight with no mention of altitude importance for falling snow. Accumulations mentioned for higher ground. Fingers crossed for a Southerly shift.
Manchester Airport TAF still mentions possibility of snow between 20:00 and 23:00. This forecast is 6 hours old though.
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Rather disappointing. Latest batch of precipitation is delivering rain/sleet. Have warmer uppers arrived, or just modification of the flow from the Irish Sea?
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Yes, the strength of the wind has also surprised me. Very gusty at times. Another intense line of precipitation now entering the region.
About an inch of snow/hail accumulated here.
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Proper heavy snow now, large flakes.
North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards
in Regional
Posted
I wonder whether the metoffice warnings will be revised later? Wouldn't surprise me if they shrink the area to take out parts of the North West.