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Don't worry, everyone - it looks much better for my back yard. Looks more like El (East) Anglio to me, though.

I expect nothing here at all. I'll be posting in the NSC next week.

Poor forecast - went from very good to pretty rubbish. Lovely, sunny start, now overcast.Some breaks, and at leas it isn't heavy low cloud. and it's 21C so feels warm-ish.

I can only take your word for it, but most people I know are complaining about this - there are a fair amount of fair-skinned people in my family who burn very easily and simply cannot handle the heat. They purposefully stay indoors between 12 and 3 to avoid the midday sun. This isn't just elderly people, as there is only one 'elderly' person in my family and that's my grandmother. My mother in particular who is in her 40s (I'm in my 20s) seems to really detest this type of weather, she's a natural redhead with freckles and pale skin. And this is coming from a person who is sad to see the end of this warm spell. I think people have a tendency to view the world through their own view point, and only tend to pick up on things that they want to hear.

You're being very silly now - you're getting angry over something that we have no control over. People wishing for cooler weather isn't going to make it any more likely to happen - and just because they've been spoilt over the past few years with their desired weather preference, does not mean they should sit in silence and tolerate it. If you don't like people complaining about this weather, then you do not have to read it, or even acknowledge those posters exist, you can pop them on ignore. And I can believe that people will complain about this heat and any potential breakdown to cool, wet weather - some people just prefer a middle-ground, say, sunny spells and 22C, which is very pleasant and conductive to outdoor activities, and is typical of the UK in summer.

Well, as much as I don't want to admit it, it does appear that the heatwave will come to an end quicker than anticipated, even the ECM brings forward the breakdown, though still looking hot until Wednesday. Hope we get some fierce storms on Tuesday, otherwise, looks like a period of thoroughly uninteresting weather to come - comfortable, but boring. Oh well, July 2013 was good. August always disappoints in recent years.

Interesting. Seems these places do quite well for extreme maximums, but less well for average maximums - the 33 degrees for Valley in 2003 was preceded by 25C and followed by 18C!

http://www.ogimet.com/indicativos.phtml.en Enter the place name and you will see the max for today. Rosthern near Manchester reached 29.7C. Hawarden reached 30.4C. Crosby reached 29.3C. Castlederg reached 30.1C. Rhyl reached 29.5C. Prestwick Airport reached 29.5C. No figures for Liverpool as the airport station is not a Met one and does not have a WMO code.

NI has reached 30C, but I haven't? More salt in the wound! Next week better deliver. The Porthmadog figure is very impressive btw, considering its location. I wonder what the record is for that place?

Sunny and 24.0C with a NNW wind, becoming noticeable, but then dropping to nothing.

Because it's performed so well so far..

ECM is sticking to its guns this morning, hot to very hot next week, 15C isotherm covering the vast majority of the UK by Tuesday, moving west by Thursday over Ireland (but still covering southern England), with 12 - 14C uppers for the rest of us. No signs of an immediate breakdown this morning from the ECM, but the UKMO continues to be bullish with the possibility of a breakdown as early as Tuesday. Interesting times.

I think you're confused - nobody is saying a breakdown won't occur, in fact, I'm certain most members have acknowledged that already, but certain people are jumping on the breakdown bandwagon simply because the UKMO is more progressive with the idea of a breakdown arriving, as early as Wednesday, when in actual fact, it's the only model to show the breakdown arriving that early, and even then, it isn't full-on raging westerlies. This doesn't mean the UKMO won't verify, but to say the breakdown will arrive on a specific data, and proclaim it as fact, is very silly, and I think you know that. No need for that at all - it will just rile people and provoke arguments, and this time of the year is supposed to be calmer and more level-headed.

Ah, I see - one model shows a breakdown occurring around the 24th, and that means it will happen, and the other models should be completely disregarded. To my eye, both ECM and GFS look warm to very warm, perhaps hot, beyond Wednesday, retaining warm uppers and high 2m temperatures, and only UKMO shows the possibility of a breakdown, which may not even be a breakdown, but a blip in the current weather, and even then, 850mb temperatures are still above 12C for all Great Britain, and it is still dry, with no rain at all bar isolated showers, so I wouldn't expect temperatures to be below average, cool compared to recently perhaps, but not cold by any means. Perhaps you need to start looking at the models objectively - the breakdown will occur, that is a fact, but it is not a 'fact' that it will occur on any given date. You cannot say that - it is very foolish to make such a statement when you simply don't know - none of us do. ECM is rolling out now, so let's see what it thinks.

18C would be below average for the majority of England in summer - coupled with showers, it would feel cold.

I'm guessing that's the Osmondthorpe station on Wunderground - might have hit 30C, but it only updates every half an hour. They used to have a neat little site that gave the highest temperature of that day, doesn't exist now. And on an IMBY note, the latest GFS has left me feeling slightly disappointed, with maximums next week 'only' at 25C, compared to the 27-31C shown on previous runs. The heat doesn't quite make it this far north, even though a SE wind is typically our hottest direction. Hopefully UKMO is correct - would suck to miss out.

Because temperatures of 31C aren't shown to be as widespread as the 12z run, that's all.

The cut off low is later to form so the plume is less intense, but still hot to very hot until the end of the high-res run. Just one run too, so hope people don't get the blades out when they see the 18z.

Could be the warmest day for us tomorrow (all with a SE wind btw).. but I don't think 30C will be breached. Depends on the cloud cover though - could have reached 30C last Friday, but cloud cover ruined it. If we can get clear skies until midday or so, then that would be good.

Your neck of the woods has done exceptionally well over the past 2-3 years - don't forget that amazing supercell storm last year! That'd do me for the next 50 years!

I've made this point before that the Med coast is quite humid during the summer - inland areas not so much. I've also made the point that temperatures above 30C in the UK are rarely accompanied by high levels of humidity - 30-31C with humidity around 30-35% for some southern places today. Has the UK ever had temperatures in the 30s with dews reaching 20C, for exmaple? It's not uncommon to get 20C dew points with 26 - 28C temperatures occasionally, but not above 30C.

Another 2 weeks? Who mentioned that? As far as I can see, the models show this spell of hot weather persisting for another week-10 days, then show the possibility of a breakdown after the 27th, but this is in fantasy island and the run degrades into low-res rubbish. It's too far away to make any call - your calls for a breakdown are premature.

We've had an easterly most of the day and we still reached 27C - likewise tomorrow might be out hottest day of the year in Yorkshire, with easterly winds. One thing I've noticed though is that temperatures just bomb after around 18:00, even if it's sunny. At the start of this spell, it could still be 27/28C at 18:00, but at 18:00, Church Fenton was 25C, after it was 27C at 17:00.

A 'major downgrade' in relation to the fairly sky-high charts we saw yesterday. I still see widespread 29-30C right until the end of the high-res run. Still see no concrete evidence for a breakdown - still way at the end of the run in FI.

Even 33 degrees is shown for Leeds.