mrmonopoly

I have to be honest here, but this cold snap has been nothing spectacular here in south wales. Yea we had a lot of snow for 1 to 2 days of the whole winter, but this is nothing out of the ordinary. Here the snow has almosst gone anyway with the sun being out. yes its been cold, but its been cold and mostly sunny which is actually what I like. The adlantic weather is awfull here. It just misserable and damp. Everyone here keeps talking about the East side of the country and the midlands but what about us welsh folk. Surely the breakdown would occur here much faster than the east side if the adlantic is pushing in. Whats the mean charts saying about wales as a whole. I would imagine the temps here increasing a lot quicker and to more a degree than the east. I really dont want this break down to occur and hold hopes like everyone else because I love the sunshine even if it is -10 outside. This is going to sound mad , but we have had snow for about 2-3 hours the whole time and its been light. We probably had about 1-2 CM maybe I was very unlucky.

I have been reading with a lot of intrest and all compeling arguments. What i would like to know if possible lets just say the adlantic does win, does that mean back to normal for the rest of the season as its only early feb still a good 6weeks left of winter yet. What do you think the chances of another similar setup occuring in feb because thats forecast a below average CET also. Personally being in wales I hate the Adlantic weather, damp cold misserable rain constantly. Least with snow and ice it feels fresh, looks nice, and its something away from the norm. Hell the adlantic destroys our summers so its like 340 days of the same thing differant day.

You might get some here the DAM is 530 so snow chance here is very unliekly next week.

Whats going to happen on sunday then. Is this the break down thats comming?. IM on the coast and it looks like its going to start to get warmer towards next week for me. So it probably be sleet or rain

Thats what I thought I could see. Something has happend because everything that should have happened didnt, wonder why these new lows are forming

No 2 miles into the valley by port talbot

No I think you find the eye is to the east and south of bristol. Looking at radar loops that stuff comming in is a lot further west than it should have been. Done see how its going to be hours of snow fall tho as its moving pretty fast. I am more intrested in the swirl thats in south of england right now as that looks much heavier as it swings over london is that whats comming our way tommorow. Or have we lost our resident forecaster. Id really love a diagram if possible. Snow stopped here about 30 mins ago We got about 1/2 a CM i think a sprinkling

The low is shifting south now, I can see another mini swirl forming just comming into land from the channel is this the centre of the main low or another one forming like this afternoon

The stuff thats comming is not that heavy is it. Only little green mostly blues. Snow stopped here now, got about 1mm around the place.

Thats what I thought I could see about an hour a go. Jack can I have a job haha

So whats the change, can anyone do me another diagram the other one was fantastic

Maybe that other mini low that was not expected has started to change things

I told you guys it was moving west I could see it. Snowing in port talbot now only the really fine stuff tho

I agree I think the low is moving slightly west at the moment looking at the radar. It was moving east but its stalled and only slightly moving west but it is. Only needs to come across 30 miles or so and that changes things big time for everyone. I am actually filled with a bit of hope now.

Jack I been watching the Radar is it me but it looks like the low is moving west again as it starts to wrap or am I seing things because thats what I want to see. Actually I think the low is comming towards us west

Jack I been watching the Radar is it me but it looks like the low is moving west again as it starts to wrap or am I seing things because thats what I want to see. Call it a hunch or a feeling ( I usually get it storm chasing and its usually right) That low is going to swing further west for us.

So whats happening now is not actually the main event? , can someone draw a diagram about the actual MAIN event thats got everyones knickers in a twist.

Id say OIIIIII! Council Gezzzerrr NOOOOOOOO! I pay my tax now switch on my light

He aint heavy hes my brotherrrrrr lmao. I know lets try reverse psycology I DONT WANT IT TO SNOW I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad I WANT TO WORK!. see if that works

Honest answer I dont know, if it stays where it is, whatever is in the midlands will feed down into us. If you watch the radar for last 3 hours you can see its only moved about 20 miles or so. Its now realling starting to pull moisture in from channel now, and its started to feed the low percep even furhter. I THINK what the models are saying is, as it sinks down the wrap around will swing across and catch the border of wales. People want it to swin gmore west so the arm covers more of wales as it does so. I personally would like to see it swing round more, but hopefully yank more down from midlands. The band over the north is going to move south west over pembs and out to sea as the other low moves down pulling it with it. Wouldnt it be awsome if the lows swung around a complete 360 and caught us a 2nd time hehe. Jack am I correct in my explanation

Thats because the low has stalled and everything is wraping around it. The low looks centred over bristol at the moment and in last hour or so its hardly moved. The percep comming in is on the hook swirl if that makes sence so the percep on one edge is just sat over pembrokshire and is being feed in a staight line with shed loads more behind it. Its strange to see percep moving in that sort of fashion it dont happen often because it usually comes across from west to east instead of from north east to south west. Pembs is going to be in the fireing line for hours and hours by looks of it. Thats why we in swansea are getting nothing is because we are inside the centre if you like where its dry with all action on a circle around us.

Both me and you mate always seem to be in this big white section on the radar while everything else wraps around us lmfao the shield is up and holding good

That north bands doesnt look as if its going south now just seems to be stuck there but moving west I think my best chance is from newport area if it comes across far enough

Is it me or does the band over north wales lowering in percep amount seems to be fading out on 5 min radar

Looks Brilliant for a lot of people. You chaps in the East enjoy IM not going to ask for snow now, as it sets you up for a fall. Its typical tho aint it. I wont be awake at 3am preying. What I didnt think was if we all cross the 7 bridge in a max exodus, and we all sorta like blow at the same time we could cause enough of a ripple to bring it further west and then follow it down the M4 with some fans or summin