AutumnMists

I just don't understand why someone could possibly rule out no more cold until December ... seems silly

What I just don't want is patchy coverings where the whole area is just a mixture of green and white! Although the moors look very pleasing for a certain covering.

Looks like between a slight dusting - 5cm for most anyway. I like snow depths like that though ... not too mad but not rubbish

I bit of a clearer story on Granada weather tonight. NW England, rather unusually, seems to be the most favoured region for snow outside of Scotland/NI. Snow showers (no real sign of prongoled snow) affects the western parts of the NW increasingly in the afternoon, gradually extending to East and most areas of the NW by the evening. Very pleasing! Disagrees with BBC weather tonight. Anyway ... most of the NW looking likely to have a nice sweet little full day of snow on Sunday ... beautiful. Perhaps the only possible negatives are the temperatures ... at the moment it does look as though they will be just about cold enough for snow but there could be some rain and sleet instead of snow for some. (Saturday starts with rain for all).

hehee, I'm still too young for driving too .... If your ever going to go up there ... watch out for a painful climbing of 300m in around 1.5 miles! Quite a unique place though is Saddleworth Moor.

It wasn't as easy as it sounds though ... I had to walk up onto the moors 520m a.s.l to find frosts.

Cheers ... learning a lot more from these forums!

http://www.tutiempo.net/en/Climate/Manchester_Airport/04-2011/33340.htm Above shows that it rained once from 16-30th with very pleasant temperatures - I remember in April 2011 also being able to have early morning walks on the moors with frosts on the ground regularly due to night lows being reasonably low

Cheers for the model pal - never come across that one before. Would like to see a bit of a change compared to recently; a not so good May (as the model you posted suggests) I suppose possibly gives a chance of a better July and August. The only thing I don't like about a model like the one you posted (in terms of rainfall) is that if we were to have a month with well below rainfall or well above rainfall - it is likely it would affect a good proportion of the UK although the model appears to show areas of well above average, average and some below average. Anyway, my understanding of models isn't so good at all - and i'm sure what I am saying isn't correct hehe

Looked on CFS. Still a long way off though

I do believe early talks are going for a very warm May (yet another early start to Summer like the last two ... let's hope this doesn't mean Autumn arriving in August).

Till a few patches on the moors (490m asl).

When would you say was the last decent Summer? 2006? I can't really remember a good one for quite a while

There is always the chance of it falling in November (11 months of no lying snow).

Thanks very much for the information. I would have thought this weekend will be just about comparable to April 8th 2008 ... with at best an almost full day snow cover on Sunday as apposed to half a day.

Met going for snow for me on Sunday night (surprisingly). Just my luck! I knew any snow wouldn't last that long ... but I didn't know it won't even be awake for it! Anyway still plenty of time for change

Just noticed that on the models too ... certainly something to ponder about. Some extreme uncertainty too it though! One thing that does look perhaps a little more likely is the night time low's for the last week of February and the beginning of March until the model end; some decent agreement and consistency supports the prospects of seasonably cold nights of around freezing temperatures ... hopefully bringing some good frosts at least. Mixed readings for daytime temps

Mehh - suppose in all this weekends possible cold snap will be nothing really. (Except perhaps an absolutely beautiful walk on Saddleworth Moor on Sunday morning which could have a slight dusting of snow or frost). Anyway - heading into the weekend of the 24th and we could see some generally average or mild daytime temps, although in turn some seasonable night temps of around freezing. (GFS) Still looking hopeful for the average/mild temps winding down a little for the turn of the month.

I think it is just important to take in mind that the following do not necessarily affect what we will see in March; - The fact we have had an overall mild winter - The fact this week and next week have/look like they will be mild - The fact March in the past few years since 2009 hasn't offered anything too cold

Wasn't 06/07 free of northenly

No, you can't judge it like that - the famous widespread snow on 12-15th March 2006 came after a terrible wet and mild start to March.

I typical calm late winter night for me tonight ... possible touch of frost if clear spells develop. History shows that judging by the mild Winter we have had ... March looks hopeful for snow! Although the CFS probability charts don't necessarily back this up. The probability charts are also showing for a very warm May followed by the rest of Summer being generally close to average. A long way off but I would settle with that

Yeah, forgot about that one! Although 2010 wasn't as widespread I don't think, here in NW England we got a slight covering on March 30th which quickly thawed (except for the hills).

I remember 10th-15th March 2006 being very famous for snow; typically many places experienced a full few days of typical heavy snow of 10-20cm. Then of course, as you said ... Easter Sunday 2008 was very famous. I remember at the very end of March 2008 with double figure temperatures it looked clear that the snowfall was over for the Winter, but some heavy (albeit mostly wet) snow fell 6-8th April 2008 ... some large accumulations.

20th-25th March 2008 saw widespread snow throughout the UK. I really don't understand what your problem is