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AutumnMists

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Everything posted by AutumnMists

  1. I'm hoping though there will be at least a tiny thin covering on Sunday on the hills around me. Let's hope so! After this weekend, all attention turns to late Feb/March. I'm hoping for a repeat of 2004, 2005, 2006 or 2008
  2. Very mild stuff again for next week - this mornings GFS run unfortunately sees no change to cold within the first two days of March. Let's hope today's later runs so some change
  3. There is no mention on the Met Office's monthly outlook of mild conditions.
  4. One thing about this weekend is, of course, the further west you go (Merseyside, Cheshire, WIrral, Fylde), this makes a massive difference in the temperature especially since the weather front itself is likely to be weak in nature. Basically I'm saying this weekend we could see a massive difference between the cold East and the more average west. I'm still sticking to many people near or on the Pennines or other high ground experiencing a wintry feel of some sort.
  5. Nice logging of cold events there! From my point of view I think this weekend might be more in the way of very cold nights (such as -3'c or -4'c) ... whereas the daytime temperatures will be at around 5'c or 6'c with possibly some light drizzle. Still a decent chance for a snowfall occurring in one of the nights or afternoons though I suppose. It may also be necessary to suggest a real icy mix on Monday morning causing some disruption in the early hours .... Let's hope this weekend does have a bit of seasonal character! As for possible cold outbreaks late Feb/early March, I totally agree with you ... the GFS does show signs of decreasing temperatures on these dates ... certainly one to look out for as the last decade has seen some very harsh falls Late feb/early March. All hopes are high.
  6. The British weather is the British weather, it plays a massive part in some of our lives ... I totally understand your feelings!
  7. Yess, looks like a much cooler weekend. In fact, the GFS models are being very consistent for these days, I mean they certainly don't get more consistent than this ... However a decent bit of consistency also features in the prospects of a much more average or miler period next week after the cooler weekend.
  8. A pointless day of weather here in Oldham today, just a rapid thaw of remaining snow and rain showers, 7'C. Still unsure about this weekend, signs point to a confident cooler phase with possible snow, but this will be very short lasting because as we progress through next week the outputs show more average or mild temperatures again (and a lot of rain) . History; in terms of Winters that have had mild starts and cold ends; does show that another cold snap is expected, possibly late Feb/early March I suppose. Despite that me, (and I'm sure along with many others), are mostly eagerly anticipating April and May now.
  9. Despite signs of another short burst of wintry stuff this weekend, lets hope the temperatures this week do give a Spring feel to it. Outputs show next week will be similar to this with mild or average temperatures after the more cooler stuff over the weekend. I'm still going for a much more cooler start to March though (and, as ever for March, mixed) with below average rainfall .. and the prospects of sleet or snow returning ... although as we head through the next month I do expect a gradual trend to milder conditions followed by a typical April.
  10. 2011 very much reminds me of 2007; All winter months average or mild ... a warm Spring ... a forgetful Summer and a wet and mild Autumn.
  11. I'm just saying; the chances of a mild theme throughout the rest of the Month are unlikely. Average seems a good bet.
  12. Highly unlikely, since a mild theme for the rest of February seems unlikely.
  13. The concept of what Spring will bring has been very 'untalked' about recently of course ...Could March be the coldest month of the year? For example ... take March 12th 2005 (widespread snow), or 21st March 2008 (white Easter) or 6th April 2008 (Localized northern regions snow) ... We have seen plenty of times where March has bought some freezing weather. The last few years have perhaps bought an 'early Spring' one may say ... however this year so far has been very different to the last few ... so perhaps the concept of a cold March and a 'Late' start to Spring may be in the picture again.
  14. I do believe however the real severity of this cold snap has reached its last leg - Despite temperatures being low over the next few days. If received upon expectation - rain for many bar the Pennines and Cumbria on Thursday and especially Friday - although early doors on Thursday could see a small period of light snow before the rain sets in at late afternoon. Despite this - the nightime low's look to remain mostly a couple of degrees below 0 - or if not a touch above freezing - for at least 5 days until week commencing 13th. Next week looks mixed and varied, next weekend and the week after looks a touch promising for cold. As for mild, anything above 6/7'C looks unlikely for at least a good two weeks or so
  15. It might be correct - but with delicate temperatures like these just 1'C inaccuracy could play a part in whether we receive rain, sleet or snow. Last Saturday's snow was forecast correctly by Yahoo (phone) and incorrectly by the met office, but monday was the opposite.
  16. Agree very much, although his forecast for winter so far has been in disagreement with others for the majority of this WInter so far, whereas this time, it would appear other forecasts are in favour
  17. Trust me, Post Mid-February is by no means the cut off point for long lasting snow - think of 2005 for example.
  18. Nothing much really interesting to ponder about in Greater Manchester this weekend. A touch below average temperatures looking likely next week, Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday looking just about cold enough for a slight touch of frost from the night. Next weekend and week commencing 30th looking very uncertain from my point of view
  19. Quite a settled night here in Oldham for once this year. Overcast but no rain, lows of 5'C Next week looking boring, highs of around 8 and lows of 5 with light rain and cloud all week. Still windy
  20. February 2009 was a good example of this when most Cities received a rain/sleet mix compared to whiteout.
  21. It's weird because I think my local hills are high (Saddleworth Moor, Rishworth Moor, Blackstone Edge) When really they are not that high. Well that's compared to Cumbria anyway ...
  22. WIndemere/Ambleside are lower Lakes I think, Keswick and Ullswater are in the extreme Mountainous range
  23. Today is mild but more importantly it isn't raining! The rest of this mild spell looks a bit wet though, let's hope not
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