[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

Hi, hello!

Feels a little snippy in here tonight, not sure if it’s output fatigue, a bit too much seasonal punch or just grumps in general, anyway, as a rule of thumb, when you’re typing that mildly inflammatory/argumentative statement, I’d recommend considering if you’d say it to a person in real life. If you wouldn’t then it might be worth a restyle. 
 

last few nights here have been super nice. Let’s keep The spirit of it eh?

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

Folks, we’re going to see a few people try and derail/troll and goad. Don’t bite if you see something you feel highly allergic to-  just report, block and move on.

good start to silly season tho eh?

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards]

Very decent hour or so, had plenty of lightning in most directions - best one was a corking CG less than half a mile from here, just to the north, proper shotgun thunder and prickly arm hairs kind of stuff. Kids were very excited, the rest has been a bit of a messy MCS cloud to cloud affair, lots of strobing though which has been cool to watch. Expectations were very low on my part for tonight so I’m happy!

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

Currently wet snow here in Brentwood, way too wet to stick but still snow!

[Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards]

8 minutes ago, Lance M said:

There are quite a few towers trying to get going well out in the channel. They look pretty cool glowing orange in the sunset, against a darker background of high cloud.

Yes! We’re in Lymington on a weekend away and I’ve been watching them get so close, anvilling and then swizzling off. I really thought we were up for it about an hour ago, but now it’s just pretty pink and grey

[South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards]

has anyone else got very very fine snow?? It’s been coming down for at least an hour, tiny little pellets, nothing on Radar!

[South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards]

Radar definitely piquing my interest with the shower activity starting to push in. Let’s see where it gets us!

[South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards]

Yep it’s still not the holy grail 50p mega flakes, but it’s coming down pretty hard!

[South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards]

Just picking smallest up from nursery, we had a good 3-4cm overnight here and then continuous little flakes all day, temps -2/-1 ish and the compacted snow although great for sledging has made the roads very exciting.  cloud broke at about 4.30 and now we’re back to a bit more substantial snow, altho still little flakes, the big chunky ones are yet to arrive here. I probably need to step away from the radar for a bit, don’t think it’s what my second work screen is actually for....

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just dropping in - it’s been snowing pretty consistently since about 8am, we’ve got some good settling on the patio and grass, but not quite enough to sledge - we could do with larger flakes- temp is 0.2c, Dp -2. Had some crazy horizontal snow blowing up the road as well.

Appreciate emotions seem to be heightened at the moment, there seems to be quite a bit of negativity creeping in to some posts, so perhaps have a think about what you’re typing and if it’s something you would say to someone in person....

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

32ish cm is my total to beat from 2010 BUT I think although I’m up a hill surrounded by fields, my folks over in fobbing, much closer to the Thames, might actually snatch it all from me.... 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

We usually do pretty well here, but by the time the front arrived, the temp had gone up and although we had big flakes for a while and some fairly heavy snow, it was instantly melting on the ground- I cannot tell you how disappointed my kids are - they got a snow bike last Christmas and have been dying to use it, so sad it’s going back in the garage with the rest of the unused sledges!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Coming down fairly hard here, thank you Brentwood elevation!.

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Hello! Don’t often venture in here but clearly tension is running high and I’d make it quite clear that nobody is ‘in the crap’ are they?

happy to be challenged, but the point of removing a number of posts tonight is absolutely nothing to do with north or south bias, it’s about the model thread being clogged with regional specific discussion which is not in line with the model thread theme.

Again, happy if any of you want to pick this up with me over PM, but let’s not create drama for drama’s sake eh?

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

2 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Ok, so no regional or location analysis of the models allowed in here. 

Will be interesting to try and analyze the UK as a whole.

The rhetoric around ‘I’m so sad it won’t snow in xxxxx’ isn’t model or location analysis though is it?

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

Guys, IMBY posts live in the regionals, please post your locational woe/joy in there.

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

Alrighty as the pub run rolls, let’s not forget a few things:

• the models are not sentient beings and don’t care how you feel. Take the emotion out of it! Objective discussion is the name of the game in here. 

• the people posting on this thread however DO have feelings so can we try and keep it civil, because let’s face it, it’s hard enough out there at the moment, for all of us, so consider if your comment is going to improve or ruin someone’s week

• no Willy waving. Please. It’s not necessary. 
 

thanks!

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

Actually we don’t have favourites ( there’s thousands of you and like 10 of us who all have day jobs) . We try really hard to be fair and reasonable, but there are some hard boundaries outlined in the forum rules which are clear cut. If members can’t self moderate, be kind, respectful or have adult debate then we will make appropriate steps to rectify.

bloody EC has a lot to answer for tonight!

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

There’s no room for personal attacks on here, from anyone, so appropriate action is taken when that happens.

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

We do what we need to do...

[Model output discussion - Into 2021]

Evening folks, just a gentle reminder that we  don’t want you tearing each other down, even if, like me, you are miserable and hungover.

thanks!

[Model Output Discussion - Staying cold into the new year]

If you’ve got a point for a specific member then I suggest you use the PM function.

No need to be snippy tonight, I’ve got gin to drink and I’d prefer to not have to referee playground antics in a semi scientific grownups arena yeah?

[Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas]

Come on lads. Take the personal sniping elsewhere yeah? 

[Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas]

Evening all-  beeb/met commentary typically doesn’t live in here so further posts will  get moved.

what I will say is that we’re all looking at data. Future Data that’s open to interpretation because, well, it’s not happened yet. So calling that winter might be over/ cold spell is up the creek etc etc based on ONE GFS run, one met update, one bbc forecast is pretty futile. Honestly, looking at overarching themes and patterns is much less stressful.

[Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards]

I’m at my Mum’s on the estuary near Fobbing - it’s very black to the south and having a good rumble......