beatpete
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Posts posted by beatpete
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nice piece about 1982 on the bbc today..... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-42615172
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Really looks like it's going to be an epic year for the Alps. Hellish rd conditions on 30th resulted in lots of tourist stuck between resorts and airports and as a result flights cancelled or delayed. I was going to celebrate New Year in Le Corbier but arrived in early hours after a 46 hr mini break at Gatwick. Barely stopped snowing since and 20-30 cm forecast tonight, 40 cm tomorrow. Not great conditions, white out and increasing closures due to avalanche risks. End of week look great though. Pic from one of the few breaks in cloud. Looking forward to a snowy UK on my return, no doubt the mods are bang on
Have a great 2018 all -
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On 29/12/2017 at 19:37, Law of averages!! said:
Yes I agree totally on the jet I've never said otherwise in about the 8yrs I've followed this forum, that's why we get more than our fair share of mild winter's... but even that's down to patterns, drops to our South and stays there... helps us no end for cold ( I know other things have to fall in place as well ) but stays to our North, normally game over
I'm ending this topic on GW, you have your beliefs... I've got mine
Fair enough, I am slightly disappointed you could not back any of what you said with actual fact or stats and no hearing something on a TV program decades ago doesn't count as scientific reasoning, you then quoted trumps recent ramblings, so it must be all true!!! We definitely not going to agree. Have a good new year. ?
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Stuck in Gatwick, flight to Alps for new year skiing cancelled due to too much snow, aggggggghhhhhhhhh.......
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13 hours ago, Law of averages!! said:
Sorry met office, HAHAHA... Yes 25/30yrs is not wrong, hardly any if at all snow is not wrong in my neck of woods at the foot of the pennies in Shaw Oldham and that's late 70s early 80s till 2007 and we've had more in that period since 2007!! One part of climate change/GW... if the lungs of the earth the rainforests of South America, Africa over to Asia if they have had an effect, what about the VAST FORESTS of Russia, Canada and maybe Sweden, Norway, Finland that have been cut down in the last 50yrs or so wouldn't that have an effect on the arctic into EUROPE and UK... were once stood VAST wind breakers that sent winds etc into the arctic or into EUROPE, just a thought... it may have
What about the Antarctic... hardly any melted, in fact it's grown in some parts, is that climate change/gw
You've lost me... The vast forests of the northern hemisphere haven't been lost in the last 50 years, since 1900's they have been managed as commercial plantations, still cover cira 70% of the land and have never been as important as Rain Forests which are the true lungs of the planet. I'm not sure they have ever been regarded as wind breakers.
Yes the Jet is a primary driver for the UK, but what impacts the jet? and is the jet as important for other locations?
May i suggest that using 1976 in isolation as a base is always going to skew your view and does little to further your point. Dec 2010 was epic for cold, the rest of that winter was not exceptional. I am am intrigued by the winter prospects in 18/19 and 20/21 due to low solar activity, but i would not dispel increasing evidence that the planet is warming as a whole and that the climate is changing as a result.
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5 hours ago, Law of averages!! said:
Yes I understand the sea ice, I've looked... but even that peaked, so it should going back up!! Like I said things I've read, say it peaked 12yrs ago... so the retreat may, MAY have stopped?? And again it's patterns... how far can we go back about 100yrs, to look!! So if it as peaked, it'll gradually come back... so if we're about to go back in solar minimum, it should come back... plus it's not going to be the same every WINTER etc, even in winter's say 200yrs plus ago it must have been similar or even worse... even this generation wouldn't know and wouldn't all that fresh water have an effect on us, not just else where in the North hemisphere... plus if you believe in GW or climate change that's your choice, I don't... we all have opinions right or wrong
Ged
peaked 12 years ago, i don't understand?.....the last 6 years have all been less than the median... http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2017/10/
5 hours ago, Law of averages!! said:Oh and 99% of what I've read... say not, so I'd 50% agree, 50% don't agree or a bit less
99% of your reading choice is not represent the scientific consensus, The planet has more CO2 than any time mankind has been around and is warmer globally. For our country there is possibility it may become colder in winter, so agree with @tight isobar climate change is perhaps a better description, of course you may argue that it's not man made, but the climate is changing. Its probable that the solar minimum impacts weather but its just one variable, temporary in nature, and its impact on a warmer planet is unknown. With respect saying we've had 25-30 years without snow is wrong, and citing the fact we've "not had a summer like 76, if my memory is right went from the beginning of May till the beginning of October... nothing like it sinc" as evidence is ridiculous; it is probable that its the second warmest jan-oct since records began in 1910
"analysis of the Met Office’s figures indicates that the first 10 months of 2017 were the second warmest January to October period, behind 2014, for the UK since records began in 1910. This appears to be part of a trend, with the eight warmest years on record so far having occurred from 2000 onwards. This is a clear sign of the impact of global warming on the UK. Over the same period, the UK has experienced five of its six wettest years on record, which is likely to be another consequence of global warming, as a warmer atmosphere can hold more water, leading to more intense rainfall. Climate change is making the UK warmer and wetter, with higher risks of heatwaves and flooding due to heavy rainfall"
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11 hours ago, Law of averages!! said:
I love this site and it's forums... but there's a few things that get my BILLY ( goat for those that don't understand, lol )... those who say the reason we don't get winter's like we used to, because of global warming!! Haha, it's not real... even the scientists argue and doubt each other and if it is true ( yawn ) didn't it peak about 12yrs ago, again according to the scientists?? We went nearly 25/30yrs with hardly any SNOW, with one scientist saying before 2007 will we SNOW in UK/ EUROPE again, LMAO what an an idiot... it's what the weather does, what history we can read about weather... like on here, tells us it's patterns but since 2007 we've had a good run as for cold n snow... which isn't to bad and 2009, 2010, 2017 so far seem like the winter's of 70s... time will tell
P.s... on global warming, yawn... I've mentioned this before, a professor John Hanson of NASA in the 70s called for global cooling and by the 80s was saying global warming?? Strange... also what's strange is, does global warming only affect EUROPE... what about North America, must be global cooling over there!! And we've not had a summer like 76, if my memory is right went from the beginning of May till the beginning of October... nothing like it since
P.s.s... those who believe in GW... need to check what the yanks do with haarp or harrp lol... that's more believable
What a strange statement, 99% percent of scientists agree global warming is real, and it impacts will be global, have you not seen the arctic sea ice records?!!
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Festive greetings, just had a snow shower here, plenty on the hills, this morning....
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I see the welsh ski season has opened
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Well what a start to winter, 3 snow events in South Wales already. Today it seemed unreal to be witnessing rain as the ground was frozen solid with 12 inches of compacted snow, Makes you realise just how difficult forecasting is in our location. A few pics from the upper Swansea and Neath Valleys from the past two days, both places with virtually no snow at the lower end, and an amazing amount further up. How lucky are we to live here?
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heavy rain has just turned to heavy SNOW!
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On thursday i promised the kids sledging this weekend.......i am now a God
and i promise you all a 50 mile shift south......
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Good morning, what a great start to winter....
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snow in Pontardawe, enough for kids to make a few snowballs, happy days.....
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upper swansea valley
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like that line setting up in SW, any notice? it took the ferry....
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1 minute ago, sausage said:
so were looking at such amazing wintry synoptics that look as though once again they will provide us with nothing much in the way of snow again. what do we have to do in this country to get allround snow!!
???? do you have a chart for that
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Looking great, slightly worried at this rate of SW correction, by Sunday it will miss uk all together, Mon looks amazing too atm
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3 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
Yes why is chris fawkes tweeting about disruptive snow and then the beeb wheel out an absolutely abysmal forecast for snow fans.
If thats right there will be hardly any snow..anywhere.
Detail impossible at this range?
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Potential? on the last day of Autumn....
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looks ok to me sub -5 from early hours ....but will see....although 06z it slower with uppers
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Latest fax, Pembrokeshire Dangler, Wednesday
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Not mine but by a friend Alyn Wallace
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43 minutes ago, karyo said:
Large eruptions can certainly affect weather patterns. I am watching the Mount Agung eruption at the moment. So far, it is not a large eruption but this can change quickly.
Seems a change is likely, Mount Agung: Bali volcano activity prompts 'red warning' http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-42126284
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Have a great 2018 all 
Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
@andymusic saw your post to c in mod, here's a few pics i took, a couple of days ago in Alps (before the most recent dump), turning into an epic year for snow, (and terrible for skiing atm, lots closed due to avalanche risk)