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Everything posted by Floatylight
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Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Floatylight replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Don't write anything off just yet.. -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Floatylight replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Never seen anything consistently modelled long-range in winter. That's why long-range forecasting is not accurate. And forecasters describe as having low confidence. Because cross model consensus doesn't happen a long way off?? Only in the shorter term do they start to singing from the same hymn sheet. That's why nobody in there right mind who knows what they are talking about really makes any statements of fact untill only a few days out. If even then. To say somethings not going,or going to happen 7 days out is nonsense. Particularly with these set ups. Models never get to grips with them. You really don't know untill you look out the window if I was honest. Far too many on here ,making statements and it's just too soon to be making that call. -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Floatylight replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Cannot believe the utter tosh I have read on the mod thread today. Daft lot calling it a day ,or nailing everything on so early on. We surley know by now the models struggle with these set ups time and again. Luckily I have been on here long enough to know who to take notice of and who talks utter twaddle. Have to say it's been exciting model watching this year leading up to Christmas. And it's not over untill I start to sing Enjoy! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Floatylight replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Your not wrong.! -
Love to go to the highest pub in Britain. Get snowed in Does anybody here actually travel to get there snow fix?
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Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Floatylight replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hello! BBC just said wintery showers possible on Thursday... -
Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Floatylight replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If you see any cold in fi ,then it's in fi and too far away to take notice of. If they see the Atlantic rev up in mid Dec on the models it's a given? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
Floatylight replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I always believed the ecm was the pub run?