suxer
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Posts posted by suxer
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Indeed
I'm sorry but what are you saying ?
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Scary on Portland !
Very strong gusts
wow your exposed down there moley,bad enough here in yeovil...three fence panels gone and more to follow by the looks of it
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This is just thursdays...
Screenshot_2014-02-12-16-10-15.pngHas your App ever been right ?
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Its been snowing steadily now for a while. Got a bit of a covering on the roofs and grass. However, one sure sign that the snow has arrived is the pointless wastes of oxygen that come up from Plymouth in their cars, where the stereo is probably worth more than the car itself, doing donuts in the car park opposite my house! Plebs....
anyway, nice to see some snow!
Any photo's
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Countryfile forecast earlier was'nt overly inspiring,couple days of frosty mornings and sunny days will do thou(if we cant get two foot of snow)...
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That is exactly why I try to ask simple questions, S. IMO, why is that? is a perfectly valid question to ask...I do see a two-, maybe three-day cold snap - nothing in the models really goes against that assumption...? I might well be wrong, if that is the case, then so be it...Would you prefer that I asked the very same question in ten lines, as opposed one?
You rarely ask simple questions, more so sarcastic comments..
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Why have i got 0 warning written below my avatar ?
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There we have, what?
There we have, what?
Most of your posts are one liners with no model input .
Do you think the high pressure will flatten ala GFS (one or two day cold spell)or ridge further north ecm(three or four day cold spell)?
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What a crisp ,sunny ,gorgous day....infinitly better than wind and rain,hopefully same again tomorrow.
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zero chance,i like your sense of humour20+cms of snow for Stroud on the ECM 12z from Friday to Sunday OMG, lol.
http://www.yr.no/pla...troud/long.html
Not dissimilar for Bristol.
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Dont need the rugby quote thankyouGFS 12z ensembles trending colder later on, op does have some support from the control and other members for another cool down (after next weeks) around the 25th..
PS:17-3 to Wales!!!
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HIRLAM, not a model to be snubbed, keeps most the precip offshore of southern England on Monday, though keeps snow showers across E England from Northumberland down to Kent:
http://www.aemet.es/...pc2=sup&opc3=pr
Forecasters' nightmare come Sunday night through to Tuesday morning.
Thanks for that nickHIRLAM, not a model to be snubbed, keeps most the precip offshore of southern England on Monday, though keeps snow showers across E England from Northumberland down to Kent:
http://www.aemet.es/...pc2=sup&opc3=pr
Forecasters' nightmare come Sunday night through to Tuesday morning.
some people thrive on this info
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Its amazing we've been following these synoptics for days,were only 48/60 hours from T Zero and we still have to be wary....Surely no last minute change now..Bye the way i always rate your assumptions and views nick..I wonder whether the Scilly Isles might see their first snow for a few years, also the Channel Isles could well see some significant snow.
Looking at Ians post I think we can see the orientation of the precip is going to be in a semi circular fashion,hence its not a west east orientation.
Interesting to see Ian also mention an all snow signal, you don't always get that uniformly from these set ups, so for coastal areas less marginality helped by the low sea temps at this time, and of course those low dew points.
Given that its more than 48hrs away I'd still be wary of getting too excited, especially in the low margin for error areas.
These set ups are always liable to last minute changes.
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lol,GFS has yeovil for 20 mm of precipatation on monday all snow.....
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should get a greenland high by next xmas maybe?6-10 day means not publishing properly over on Raleigh WX for some reason, but needless to say i'm fairly pleased with the following EPS mean progression:
Still that signal persists within the ensemble means for heights towards Greenland
SK
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HoorayyyyyyyyyyyyyyWet snow now falling here on Somerset/Devon border...
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Sleety mix in ilminster ,,,,,getting there
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Wife had that on facebook...god i hate facebook....I had to share this. As soon as I saw it I thought of you lot.
In wintry temperatures, fill balloons with water and food colouring. When the water has frozen, remove the balloon and you have giant marbles!
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Nice westward shift would be good for more of us..NMM12z output is interesting for some of us, the hi-res output shows light to moderate snow pushing up from the South East to affect Wilts, east Dorset & Hampshire...as has been posted earlier, one to watch!
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100% Agree,to much over analysing every detail....What a terrible pub run.
Just show why folk should never really comment until the run is well underway, even it is bloody tempting to do so.
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Kneejerk18z isn't going to be too nice for us, but hey ho. Quite happy to wait until tomorrow before looking into the models to deeply again.
No point looking at every run with precision.
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Always in the distance thou,mondays event already being downgraded,sorry everyone heart says snow head says no..bottle of pinot says yes..Something to maybe cheer some of you up, in FI, but still, nice to see
http://www.meteociel...&ech=186&mode=2
Oh, and quite cold uppers here of -44444444 just slightly north of us, always a good sign
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Just seen Darren Betts news 24 forcast,has us down for 8c after the snow/sleet/rain pushes through.
Edit:on monday -
All these snow risk maps show us the cusp of snow most times please post when were all in the pinkThis run drives the front through quicker than previous runs;
A couple of snapshots for basic guidance;
NMM or NAE?
I don't know of an actual, current observation.
some people thrive on this info
Model Output Discussion - 18z 31/10/15 onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted