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Posts posted by Vince Coombes
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Want snow thesedays one must relocate to the middle east ,i note the gfs 240 has most of Spain under the snow hatchings......something odd is going on.....
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35 minutes ago, Buzzard said:
Been in the darker shadows all evening on the radar, not one flake of snow though, I suppose possibly Luton airport might get a bit.
This has been well over hyped though.
Indeed another clang of the nail into the coffin fuelled nonsense of a winter
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March 1993 this aint ,rain started 5pm at 8 degrees and hour later all snow and temp of 0 morning time 5 inches lay ...and that was a front coming in from west
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9 minutes ago, chillyblast said:
Heavy flakes here now! not settling yet though.
Dont despair it is snow here but does turn to sleety rain at times.small sugar dusting at the mo.
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2 minutes ago, shotski said:
Ppn over us at the moment but mostly evaporating before it gets to the ground.
Here in Aylesbury ,not getting excited and feel the way of the pear may happen here later.
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22 minutes ago, Nick L said:
Euro4 now drags the precip for tomorrow night east. It's a good 200 miles east of what GFS shows. ECM and ARPEGE in the middle. The ridiculous uncertainty goes on.
You never know the unthinkable may just happen ,falling and settling snow in AYLESBURY. #shocking
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4 hours ago, fergieweather said:
Bear in mind much yet to be established re developments next week, despite some weirdly hysterical/quasi-suicidal remarks otherwise. We continue to expect marked model swings in near-term. Importantly, note some incipient EC support for the UKMO assessment from this morning, which suggested potential MJO-driven shift could appear now away from Atlantic to Scandinavian blocking. This early notion *may* yet have legs. Neither EC32 nor GloSea5 strongly assist us here: given (interestingly) mixed/indeterminate signals (or effectively none at all, in a very vacant-looking set of EC32 parameters by later Jan!), which is in stark contrast to their more bullish prognoses across the winter weeks already past.
Cheers for now.
Edit: Clusters 1+2 of 12z EC 500hPa T+360 herein to illustrate UKMO rationale
Great post ,had wondered where you had gone ,a very valued member ,no spin saying it how it is.
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29 minutes ago, Weathizard said:
After seeing those fax charts I'm even more confused now... I can only assume th MOGREPS and other restricted models we don't have access to are going against the messier evolution that has been predicted today by the GFS/ECM.
They do my friend Tom C on TWO saying that 22 out of 23 mogreps runs continue the cold into next weekend .good to be back in the madhouse..lol.
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On authority it was a supercell had the classic flying eagle shape on radar. From here in aylesbury it was a spectacle to behold and guess I won't see many like that if at all again in my lifetime awaiting raw video from a friend of a friend .hail was in excess of 3 cm in Tingewick , BUckingham
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Has the plume now passed over .
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I'm so glad I'm not the only one who had noticed that cock up.....16.4c in south west London now.Dull and dry.May get some drizzle later to add some excitement to a day that was,according the bbc/met a few days ago ,going to be 24c with sunny spellsand 'big' showers as they call it. Very poor forecasting, very poor!
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Without any doubt Lincolnshire for the very best action.....and that area of the north sea that has absolutely no problem when it comes to storms
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ECM on the tease AGAIN.....
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Problem is THEY are always right in that area .just can't get my head around how they have absolutely no problem crossing the north sea yet even the short 26 miles (shortest point)hop across the channel kills them .staggeringly unbelievableSadly, the ingredients are in that area for storms... Was thinking I was going to miss the rain all together being in the gap. But now the gap is filling!
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I note the north sea has no problem sustaining storms again....I honestly give up
Aylesbury
Bucks
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Well the old saying if anything can go wrong it usually does when it comes to thunderstorms in the se .something has happened in the last 15 years that prevents imports .I remember the 70's and 80's and the allnighters and the customary 4am wake up calls .thank god I have them memories coz I would of gone nuts by now........
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Cheers fella interesting times I feel .though one would expect the real biggies in a few weeks time .a repeat of 07/06/1996 would satisfy me for another 10 years.lol
Aylesbury
Bucks
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Thunder storms are becoming the new snow! Plenty of promise, then it all goes pear shaped and we are left with nothing!
that's my thinking aswell either that or they are all up north or in northern ireland.AylesburyBucksThunder storms are becoming the new snow! Plenty of promise, then it all goes pear shaped and we are left with nothing!
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So JP no storms or mcs's moving north from france then ?
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No updates from JP :-(
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Indeed very foggy outside can't see more than 4 streetlights ahead so I think that's 120 meters. Take care .slow down.
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Shocking .108 mph on southcoast met office. Wakey wakey .no red warning .sorry 109mph higher than anything on Wednesday .
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Wind has picked up here now .whole trees swaying now in aylesbury
South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - 18th February onwards
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Vince Coombes
Typo
Engineer called as snowshield faulty....its fine snow here in Aylesbury ! I dont believe it .lol.