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Sara1988

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    Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    This is what piers corbyn said today...

    Extreme cold, blizzards and snow drifts "many feet deep" to bring chaos to England and Wales for at least three weeks - into early Feb

    · WeatherAction forecast issued ahead of all others

    This catastrophic forecast scenario was first issued in detail in mid-December by WeatherAction long range forecasters and is now starting to come true. "Other forecasters are just starting to agree with us three weeks late but they don’t realize how severe this is going to be", said Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeratherAction.com

    "Our solar-lunar based forecast predicted generally increasingly cold and very cold weather from around Sat 12th Jan for Britain and Ireland. Next, waves of major Arctic blasts and blizzards with many feet of drifting snow are likely in places from around 20th with another major blizzardy blast around the begining of February.

    "England and Wales including the South are likely to get the deepest snow, while Scotland and Northern parts of Ireland will probably be very cold rather than very snowy. Some of the SouthWest of Britain and Ireland will probably get rain rather than snow at times.

    · Sudden stratospheric warmings forecast breakthrough

    "There will be fluctuations in the severity of this weather but our confidence in this general forecast is increased by our new breakthrough in predicting major sudden warmings of the polar stratosphere, which in a contradictory way drive blasts of very cold air south.

    "Although there is something of a 'stratospheric warming' developing now 10 Jan", said Piers, "we expect more intense 'sudden stratospheric warmings' and related cold blasts around quite well defined dates to come. We are 85% sure of this general picture and further details of the weather and stratosphere forecasts can be found via our websitewww.weatheraction.com ".

    WeatherAction expect snow amounts to be as bad or worse than the record-breaking December 2010 - which they also predicted.

    "Dr Stephen Wild, snow-expert at Weathernet advises that previous significant snow blasts in the last 10 years before Dec 2010 in England and Wales were: begining Jan 2010, 8-9 Feb 2007, Feb 1996 and Jan 1993", said Piers.

    "These extreme events are entirely driven by solar activity and lunar factors and nothing to do with changes in CO2 which have no effect whatsoever on weather or climate", he added.

    i really LOVE the sound of this, but i don't even know who the guy making the forecast is tbh, so i have no idea if this is ridiculously exaggerated like the papers headlines, or if he has knowledge and evidence to back it up, it does sound too good to be true though it really does

    Yorkshire and Northern Lincs Regional Thread

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by snowflake88

    BBC weather website forecasting highs of 3C here on Saturday.

    wont they still be using old data at the moment though, im sure someone in another thread have said that they are updated with new data every 6 hours or so, so definitely open to changes......heres hoping, fingers and toes crossed smile.png

    although would love some views on all areas of Yorkshire for the weekend by someone a lot more knowledgeable than myself

    Yorkshire and Northern Lincs Regional Thread

    in Regional

    Posted

    OK, so the charts are starting to look like winter, I don't understand them properly just yet, and was wondering if someone with some knowledge on them could say as to where Yorkshire stands at chances for some of the white stuff, as the charts are at the moment, I know they can and will change before the weekend, was just hoping for some sort of idea :)

    Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    the sight of the rain is depressing me already, the last few days have been great, nice frosts, cold, lovely winter scenes through the window, filled me with festive cheer...now i look outside and it makes me want to go back to bed hmmm sooo miserable out there :(

    just keeping fingers crossed for returning to colder conditions before xmas....not going to get excited just yet though, im not going to be bitten again lol

    Yorkshire and Northern Lincs Regional Thread

    in Regional

    Posted

    Just had that shower here woldsowl, fell as sleet onto already frozen ground from this afternoon's rain showers. Just drove home for near Full Sutton over Wolds and Howardian hills, all the minor road's are sheet ice struggled to get up the hill at Kirkham Abbey, was like driving on snow, probably wouldnt of made it if it wasn't for my winter tyres. Pulled the handbrake a few times just for fun rofl.gif

    oh my, i hope it isnt bad in the morning as my partner will be driving home from work....and yes he loves it and his handbrake will also be pulled more than a few times....makes me worry lol

    Yorkshire and Northern Lincs Regional Thread

    in Regional

    Posted

    The slack north-easterlies on the current model outputs would favour eastern coastal areas but the GFS is almost certainly underestimating how far inland the showers would penetrate. I would expect some significant snowfalls for east Yorkshire and light snowfalls for west Yorkshire under the current progged setup, with very few places missing out altogether.

    how about south yorkshire? lol

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