Scandinavian High.
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Posts posted by Scandinavian High.
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1 minute ago, bluearmy said:
Of course they are - the 00z ec said so ……..
if they used gfs ops then they wouldn't be
Best model ecm they go with.
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17 minutes ago, Nick F said:
Classic snowy easterly set up at T+168 on 12z EC, especially SE England - similar to 12z GFS
South east England looks to get hammered
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What do they mean Throughout this period the risk of wintry hazards continues to be greater than normal ///////////is it going snow or not.
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2 minutes ago, kold weather said:
Great runs this morning.
Only slight concern from the GFS ensembles in particular mainly for the SE is there is a number that struggle to get the cold air in, instead the LP ends up a little too far north we end up in a airflow that may not be supportive of snow whilst the cold stuff flows in over the rest of the country around that LP.
Very double edged sword that evolution though, as it could also bring a pretty large snow event.
Fine margins indeed!
Well if ecm says I’m getting snow I’m happy with that
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3 minutes ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:
Just a little bit of snow then
South east England looks to get slammed with snow..
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So as folks have said a move towards ecm. And Watch ecm later come out with a snow fest .
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So if ecm is right does that mean yesterday’s meto update is a bust.
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Well after seeing ukmo and gfs this morning was thinking going dust down the sledge after seeing ecm I’ve held off for time being
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4 minutes ago, Continental Climate said:I'm with crewe here we have had quite severe downgrades in the last 48hrs. There is no point in sugar coating this. The usual places will do quite well but those in the south and west will likely miss out here as the 850s have went from -12 to currently -8. I hope I'm wrong but don't think I will be.
Some folks are never happy this possibly coldest spell of winter coming up if we don’t get -20 uppers so be it you don’t need them sort of uppers for uk freeze.
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I wonder if mr crew cold will join the party and also IDO
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6 minutes ago, Snowman. said:
lol
SE and EA can't moan anymore anymore if that come to be.
850s vs lowres 2M temps, in these situations 850 temps aren't everything.
South east England buried
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4 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
A lot of snow for the east on the 06z GFs for next weekend. If the GFSp and GEFS agree I’ll not be too worried by the ECM ...
I’ve been waiting for cold easterly I just hope us down in south east is white not wet..
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Wind chill next Saturday .
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A lot as said ecm is not that good. we had very good update from met office today Surely they are quite confident or can they get completely wrong . I don’t think it’s that straight forward with easterlys. In 2018 did models pick easterlys up then drop and bring them back or did models run with it with no dramas.
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2 minutes ago, Don said:
Hmm, suppose I have seen worse.....
Exciting update if you want snow.
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9 minutes ago, KTtom said:
Quite an update!
Very good update.
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I would like here from ido on very snowy charts .
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I wouldn’t worry to much 10 days out the weekend isn’t nailed on yet you no ecm will be different in morning
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With higher pressure over north of uk much dryer weather . possible snow risks further south .
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3 minutes ago, weirpig said:
Parra show -12 hitting the east of England at 228 ive seen worse charts Then ....
And that’s what I like see uk in freezer south east England will definitely be Cold enough for the white stuff..
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Scandinavian High.
I wouldn’t worry to much about snow in south east when we Get to weekend it could look very different still lots of changes to come snow predictions anyway