[Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks]

17 minutes ago, Turnedoutniceagain said:

METO confidence for Sun/Monday's event is high

And just like that warning for south east England get in there

[Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived]

So are channel lows of the table now for south of uk .

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

Im disappointed I no cold is here for awhile it makes change from wet westerly pattern really wanted snow from this only chance for me is frontal system or showers from east great charts lack snow is disappointing.

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

1 minute ago, TSNWK said:

lovely - no roundin' there and way south.

Does it provide any snow for south or just stay dry cold.

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

7 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

The snow risk seems to be further South according to the BBC.

Yep I think going be south m4 event uk staying on colder side.

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

11 minutes ago, radiohead said:

UKMO definitely the most interesting at 168...

Nice to see all snow south east on that.

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

Delete

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

I don’t think non models have right solution regarding low could end up being m4 south event then sliding in to continent. 

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

Wasn’t we looking north for cold big shift to Easterly winds all the better for south east

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

Southern England blizzard like conditions.

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

No break down here low south west struggling to break though maybe snow south and south west.

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

6 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Where is bluearmy man!!when things are looking good he isnt here!!!cmon dude need you on board!!!

Waxing is sledge  

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

3 minutes ago, clark3r said:

Really interested to see how the ECM pans out this eve, met office outlook was poor for southern uk stating rain or sleet but I don’t really follow them anymore. This Low is going to be interesting too, I believe it will stay south and be much weaker.

Rain and sleet in south with very cold temperatures I think they have that wrong 

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

1 minute ago, clark3r said:

I remember last Christmas was looking odds on for snow and cold, then something similar to what the ECM has done on the last 2 runs happened and it ended up being mild. We need models back track tomorrow.

Yep remember that looked like many was going get white Christmas then all went belly up.

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

1 minute ago, Met4Cast said:

I wonder if we'll finally see the Met Office climb down off the fence they've been sitting on in terms of the longer outlook given last nights EC46 + overnight ensemble trends, quite clear that we're heading towards a protracted period of below average temperatures now, the only question is how cold. 

I've noticed Mets beginning to ramp up the messaging re: colder weather on Twitter in the last day or so.

Yes will be interested to see what they will right up yesterday’s update was slightly backtrack with rain in south snow on hills 

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

1 minute ago, TSNWK said:

That suggests they are going with this mornings ECM?

If that’s the case I must be jinxed it happens every winter hopefully great runs this evening.

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

I just hope everything goes well this evening met office updated manly rain now in south later next week snow on hills .

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

22 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

The ECMWF 'take' on what may happen 6-10 December

Hi could someone explain please not sure how read these charts thanks 

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

Cracking charts wouldn’t be nice for it to full in to place for Christmas hope for the same tomorrow.

[Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter]

Low to south west just sitting like washing Machine why not sliding Southeast into Europe.

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

6 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

That’s a beast waiting to our East! 

It would be magical if the beast unlocked for Christmas Eve onwards .

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

1 minute ago, Jackski4 said:

What do we want? Stonking 12zs 

 

when do we want them? NOW 

Exeter don’t seem that interested or are they holding fire.

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

33 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Upcoming spell of cold, snowy weather? When? Where? I must have missed that.

 

I haven’t seen any posts stating we are in for  cold and snow just potential blocking what could happen in December .

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

Unsettled start December looks to be fading away replaced dryer colder conditions met office have done u-turn again 

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

17 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Looking at the ensemble suites & ignoring the dets there really is no support for cold into the UK in the mid-extended range. A brief period of below average temperatures this weekend/early next week but beyond that quite a strong signal for a return to above average conditions right out into early December.

So all in all.. a very grim outlook for snowmantics. 

Yes not looking good for snow for uk at moment any chance of sudden switch frosty outlook