It is a massive downgrade for the east mids / e anglia , if you look at 6am sat , the heaviest ppn has shifted 100+ miles west .
Dont know how to attach charts , still learning.
I would ignore what the met updates , my opinion is they are a million miles out .
Those met updates have been saying snow for my area since 6pm last night with some heavy snow inbetween ,guess what nothing lol
I thought i would post Ian f latest post from the Model discussion thraed .
Update: MOGREPS now agrees with EC on scope and onset of blocking with longevity well into trend period (10-15d): cold & frosty; dry/largely dry for most with exception of E districts initially & showers tending to migrate progressively to more central districts with time.