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Everything posted by festivalking
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True, depends on the wind direction i guess, if it maintains an easterly you should be alright but as you know its such a fine line to get the orientation of a channel low just right for the coast. I grew up over in purbeck and i remember we had a great fall in 1994. Everything was perfect. I think it was the following year or 96 a similar set up to start with had us more snow but the veered quickly to a southerly and it was all over!
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While some well look to the following weekend for what happens next I'm still paying attention to the channel low for mid week, still very much in the balance UKMO det considers the low will hit northern France and miss the south entirely. Quick look at mogreps suggests its not clear cut. Half the 850's go above freezing in plymouth suggesting the low will push further north. A few go above in Brighton. Again look at Cardiff a couple of runs head above 0 with say 40% rising from -10's towards but not above 0. Same for Birmingham. Still a chance the south will get the clear see through typesnow with the purple patch along the M4. As such those discounting the channel low may yet be surprised as its not a done deal by any means.
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Indeed. If you like snow espcially in Devon and Cornwall then you'll really want the latest ECM run to happen. Sadly it won't be exactly like this but shows the snow chances are still there for our region. You'd expect the snow line to get up toward the M4 with even the coasts initially getting in on the action.
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For some in the far south I think we possibily could of had our coldest day and night. Tuesday this week we had 850's around -10 and top temps of 1c, yes a slight warm up at the weekend (5c) and then dropping back to 3c next week. I'd suggest for some this would be up to a 10 or 11 cold snap or spell