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Everything posted by festivalking
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
festivalking replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
2013. SW had a red alert, in the end we had 2 flakes and the channel islands was carnage! -
Morning thought I'd pop in to see the lie of the land. Up to Wednesday I was hopeful that our region could be in with some snow action next week but the weather gods are hinting that low will traverse the M4 leaving most of us on the wrong side. Still can change but.... Anyhow what will be will be chance of wintery stuff via showers on Tuesday Wednesday. If anything my march monthly temperature average will take a battering. 8.1c last year!
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
festivalking replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Come the morning come the pub run hangover. Op drops it. Hence I'm the first post of the day. -
top temperature today 4.3c think from here on in the daily temperatures will continue to nudge up. Sorry for those who did not see any snow this time round. But this winter so far we've had and are having 2 cold spells with snow fall and its not even February yet. In both spells there were huge near misses akin to experiencing a 1978 snow storm. Its a better season than i expected. Hopefully back for a third cold spell before spring hits
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Yeah I concur. Over on twitter Fergie saying alot will be soaked up by the welsh hills. For those in devon and cornwall if you get under a shower it will be decent but many will go without. Tough to forecast and hard on the warnings, 10% of the pop might get effected and be worthy of the warning with the other 90% wondering what the fuss is about
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Another chance of snow fall for devon and cornwall tonight, instead of snow linked to a low pressure system which did cornwall proud last night it would be more in the vein of showers. Obviously hit and miss in nature and might not even turn up at all. Differing weather models suggest differing outcomes. UKMO - yes GFS - yes GEM - No ICON - No Aperge -yes Arome -no ECM - yes (north coast only) Your best bet is look at the radar and then stick your head out the window But what last night events suggest is that Cornwall's best chance of snow is with a frigid polar maritime set up. Nope! The system did not really get to us, the radar suggested something was falling as snow but it evaporated before it hit the deck. Hopeful to see a flake tonight