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CWT2012

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Everything posted by CWT2012

  1. CWT2012
    People get things wrong Piers Corbyn and Jonathan Powell have been forecasting snowmageddon all winter which would bring the country to its knees, one of the most respected posters on here apparently made a long range forecast months ago that SSW would give us a winter similar to 1947/63 yet what we have had has been a fairly routine winter, yes there has been the odd snow event but nothing unusual compared with a routine winter so i do not hold a monopoly in terms of predictions going pear shaped
  2. CWT2012
    That was when there was incredibly heavy snow in the Cherbourg Peninsula, 90mm an hour blobs, I thought that that would move NE up the channel and reach UK mainland around Brighton/Eastbourne area, instead it just burned itself out Ulltimately the weather is going to do what it WANTS to do no matter what any wind directions or models are computer programming it to do The Met Office comment was again one of my early posts on here when i had no idea how the inner workings of the Met Office worked. I have every right to compare myself to the experienced forecasters in their EARLY days, I bet Dave, Steve, Roger when they were inexperienced snow fans starting out on the road got the majority of stuff wrong, if not all, with experience and practice they got better and became the legends they are today with years of experience. I bet Tony McCoy when he first started having riding lessons fell off his horse many times, i bet when Phil Taylor picked up his first set of darts that he missed the board entirely with his first ever throws let alone got a 180, I bet Ronnie O Sullivan when he got his first ever snooker cue and a table for christmas that it took him ages to get a break in double figures let alone 147 But how did they become experienced? a god given gift? no, through making predictions like the rest of us and learning from their mistakes over months and years
  3. CWT2012
    I have only been around for 2 snow days before this weekend so this is my 3rd snow event prediction, sure I have not got any of the 3 right but then again look at the big names on the board when they started out. I bet Steve, Roger, TIETS, BFTP etc got many things wrong in their early days as amateur forecasters/snow enthusiasts before they became model experts. I didn't know a weather model from a tin of baked beans and have relied on good old gut instinct, enthusiasm for snow mixed with bits and bobs i read in the model thread.
  4. CWT2012
    The Thames streamer just didn't happen, it was not unreasonable a few days ago to think it might, the conditions were there for it, ENE wind, the right uppers but it just didn't happen sadly, I don't regret my prediction as 2 of the most respected members of the board Roger J Smith and Steve Murr were very enthusiastic about the idea. Roger even predicted a foot of snow so it wasn't just a snow enthusiast like me that called the Thames streamer
  5. CWT2012
    I dont think we will get much in our area tbh, Kent and S/SE Essex could well get hit hard but i don't expect to see nore than a dusting when i open my curtains in the morning tbh, but never know
  6. CWT2012
    There is even some reds on the Belgian mainand, those make UK some people will be waking up to a winter wonderland tomorrow, very heavy blizzards
  7. CWT2012
    Unless a trough develops at short notice i don't think London area going to get much out of this cold snap and even FI doesn't suit our region so I think that is it till next winter for any significant snow that sticks around more than a day. Just hope things start warming up soon, any GH Lettuces off and we get a scorching summer with thunderstorms
  8. CWT2012
    Things just didnt work out The prediction was reliant on a thames streamer, we had the right ingredients, an ENE wind, the right uppers, we just didnt have the convection, i would say we were quite unlucky. onions happens
  9. CWT2012
    The odd burst of dandruff here that's about it Just need a Thames streamer to set up otherwise this weekend is going to be a non event
  10. CWT2012
    Lmao, yeah I am all or nothing, love snow to the point of obsession but despise cold weather Many an early winter morning spent at W Croydon station waiting for a train on a snowless morning feeling mightily micturated off at how cold it is
  11. CWT2012
    You and your lake effect, you just about get the most snow in southern half of uk :o Nobody wants cold without snow though, ECM great for NW, Scotland, maybe the W Midlands but not for us Can't believe anyone wants to freeze half to death with no snow falling Snow or heat please
  12. CWT2012
    Yellow or even amber warnings will be going out shortly, surely
  13. CWT2012
    The estuary is exploding into life more and more by the minute, could be a few inches IMHO for favoured parts if this persists and intensifies
  14. CWT2012
    The key to everything is a Thames streamer, without a Thames streamer can't see more than an inch or two by the end of the weekend outside of Kent but the conditions for a Thames streamer are in place this coming day or so, just what is lacking at the moment is the convection
  15. CWT2012
    The beast from the east is more a tame furry rodent at the moment but today was never forecast to be a big day Saturday was meant to be the main day Fingers crossed
  16. CWT2012
    Thanks, yeah he was always my favourite, when snow was on the way he loved it, real sparke in his eye when he mentioned snow
  17. CWT2012
    What happened to Rob McElwee? he was a bigger snow ramper than me and Yamkin, miss his forecasts
  18. CWT2012
    Not for us it wouldn't though, the NW and north Wales would get several feet of snow from that chart but on the precip we were shown as getting rain/sleet so would be no use for us
  19. CWT2012
    I was talking about the chart I have just quoted JP's NAE for 6am Saturday Showers stretching all the way to holland and heading down the estuary
  20. CWT2012
    THIS is the Thames streamer chart I was talking about
  21. CWT2012
    The NAE for overnight Friday into Saturday
  22. CWT2012
    That looks like a massive Thames streamer, shower train stretching all the way back as far as holland, several hours of light to moderate snow to the London, south Essex, northern Kent regions, with that shower train I would be surprised if there is not a widespread 4-6" for areas within its path Exciting times ahead
  23. CWT2012
    Still no weather warnings on the met office site, I would imagine they will be going up today or early tomorrow for this weekends snow Given most of the south east is going to have lying snow of varying depths and only hardcore fans read the models a lot of people will be caught unawares
  24. CWT2012
    It's not about this statement as such more the fact that with each update the level of precipitation for parts of the region has increased, update 1 was no snow then it was a few flurries in eastern coastal regions then it was 1-2cm in favoured parts, now it is up to 10cm in parts of Kent with up to 3-6 in other parts, it is really the fact that EVERY update from Ian in last 3 days has increased the potential snow depths Given the fact that this has happened there must be a better than outside chance that he will upgrade the potential even further. His subtle hints at a S London Thames streamer this morning are further green shoots of positivity
  25. CWT2012
    The snow potential from Ian F is upgrading all the time, couple of days ago nothing, then flurries, then 1-2cm now up to 10cm with 3-6 widespread Given the fact Ian F is talking up the snow levels with each update I think he will upgrade the totals again too He also said there will be a S London Thames streamer which will be good for Croydon, Epsom Downs, Banstead, north downs like Woldingham etc for deep snow potential Good times ahead
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