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CWT2012

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Everything posted by CWT2012

  1. CWT2012
    Looks like the streamer the met office forecast for 4pm has arrived in the estuary, fair dues to them calling it spot on Spot on, just a bit late but the streamer has started
  2. CWT2012
    Yeah once the leading edge of the snake started dying I knew it was game over but even John Pike was ramping and he really knows his stuff so we were just unlucky with the snake and the dew points I guess
  3. CWT2012
    I would bank any snow even if it only exists for a short time but am not as excited as I was for last Fridays event for example as I knew that would stick around but I will definitely be curtain twitching overnight tomorrow night yes
  4. CWT2012
    Can't see where this Thames streamer is going to come from, certainly not for the midday forecast by the NAE Channel, North Sea and estuary look calm as millponds
  5. CWT2012
    Blink and you will miss it affair, anyone who wants to see heavy snow will have to lamppost watch overnight as it will be gone the next morning, would rather see 4" fall that sticks around for a few days than 8" that is gone the next morning
  6. CWT2012
    Last night was fascinating stuff, watching the potential Thames streamer set up and build in the small hours, even had the ENE wind for it in the estuary but the Belgian snake refused to play ball, if the snake had cooperated the totals would have been a lot different today
  7. CWT2012
    The snake lost its leading edge but it has been back building in Belgium so if the reformed snake gets going from Belgian soil to the estuary things could still work out but it's looking marginal for 2009 style Thames streamer now IMHO
  8. CWT2012
    The leading edge of the snake seems to be fading but it is catching up with a blob of intense stuff so that might spark the snake into life plus the back edge still seems pretty potent so everything to play for
  9. CWT2012
    She will suck up moisture in the estuary and intensify surely?
  10. CWT2012
    Feb 2009 didn't really have strong precip, it was just around 10hrs of moderate steady snow Think all depends on the snake really, the snake ending up in the estuary is the difference between 2-5cm across the region and 20cm+
  11. CWT2012
    A red alert for the streamer was issued at lunchtime and it really got going 7-8pm and lasted till about 5am Classic event but there was warnings put up in advance If tonight is 2009 revisited then warnings will be issues soon surely
  12. CWT2012
    Thanks, ENE, perfect wind direction Only concern for me is there has been no met office warning put up for this, if a foot of snow is going to fall 2009 style then surely the Met would have alerts out even this time of the night for disruptive snow
  13. CWT2012
    What is the wind direction in the estuary? is it the legendary ENE? wondering what the chances are of a repeat of Feb 2009 tonight
  14. CWT2012
    What's your guess for our area in terms of inches if everything falls into place?
  15. CWT2012
    Precip is light at the moment but if things pick up I think those that went to bed might just be in for the shock of their lives when they pull open the curtains in the morning :o
  16. CWT2012
    Feb 2009 pt2?
  17. CWT2012
    Well I never, forward the radar to 1am-1.30am and there is a band of snow from holland making it's way right in the direction of the estuary, with ENE forecast for later in the night maybe I am being wildly over optimistic but am starting to think of Feb 2009 again although amounts will be much less unless it really peps up in the estuary
  18. CWT2012
    Wow the whole of west London seems to have burst into life too in the last 20 mins, light precip but has come out of nowhere so must be some disturbance bringing all that into life. Not to mention the stuff kicking off in northern France and the estuary stubbornly clinging on, things could be getting interesting
  19. CWT2012
    Things might be getting interesting again, the crocodile is back and heading for the estuary, build up of precip in northern France again, winds forecast to go ENE again, clutching at straws I guess but never know streamer wise
  20. CWT2012
    The main band is still doing it's level best to fire up in the estuary, it's not giving up the fight, if it keeps going until things go ENE there is still everything to play for
  21. CWT2012
    Just as I say that the crocodile band dies :/
  22. CWT2012
    I am very interested in that shower train that is making it's way down from holland, it's narrow but it's intense, like a big long crocodile, if that meets with the main band things could get interesting as that's heading straight for the estuary
  23. CWT2012
    We will need an ENE though? a straight easterly wouldn't bring us into play?
  24. CWT2012
    Definitely pepping up in the estuary big time, needs an ENE to bring about another potential Feb 09 but the way it's tilting and firing up in the estuary can see north London and east London getting a good fall
  25. CWT2012
    I would love to enrol for the storm chase thingy but would never get the idea past my wife so it's an idea I have to knock on the head but it looks amazing
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