Allseasons-Si

Plenty of lightning now from this new storm out to sea heading east towards San Vincenzo,Tuscany,Italy Bagno Venere Talani - San Vincenzo (LI) - WhatsUpCams - LIVE streaming WWW.WHATSUPCAMS.COM

The ECM ens are out and the op is a warm-er outlier towards the end and pressure drops a little and probably from the trough setting up shop to our S/SW latest cpc shows this... still warm though as we would be on the right side of the trough pumping warm uppers from the SE but becoming more unsettled with perhaps showers/bands of rain and thunderstorms,i think it would be a perfect setup for most people,we have had a long warm dry spell,now i want to see some action?️

Here's the ECM mean from 96... and ends as expected just like this mornings 00z with trough to the SW of the UK with a Scandinavian high building.

Yes,in winter seriously though,you are right

Cracking run from the ECM and here at 240,lovely jubbly

GEM finishes with this at day ten... i will drink to that.

Perfect then please everyone "DO NOT TELL ANYONE"

Well i think most of the gefs ens went to church this afternoon and are singing from the same hymn sheet including the op

Well the gfs is miles better than the 06z if it's warmth and thunderstorms you are after....like me just need them to drift off the near continent day ten i know so no pressure

Yes and looking at the eps and gefs at day ten you'd think so,in fact they both look similar ironically with a trough/low parked to the SW of the UK,this would fling up some warmer air from the SE with the potential for thunderstorms so some confidence of this scenario building but it's still ten days away just to add that the gfs op was a cool outlier......"again" but there is plenty of optimism from that set with the mean toughing +10 uppers mid month. London.

I am trying to message Ivan on that Hvar cam to fix the cam to the NW.

^I think that cam is facing N/NE judging by the latest strikes Meanwhile,a new storm is developing to the NW of Hvar Croatia.

sl.mp4 sl.mp4

There is this one on the Slovenia/Veneto border looking W/NW. Webcam Soča River - Solkan - Building the bicycle bridge WWW.WHATSUPCAMS.COM LIVE streaming on Soča River in Solkan webcam - Building the bicycle bridge - GECT GO / EZTS GO Gorizia / Nova Gorica / Šempeter pri Gorici in fact,new strikes over that cam now.

The latest from cpc shows +ve heights in the Atlantic linking up with the Scandi heights with -ve heights to our south nudging further north to our SW in the extended,it looks mainly dry for the north but increasingly unsettled to our south/SW with the possibility of drawing up some warmer air from the S/SE,it could be a loaded gun this for some action in the way of plumes from the south with thunderstorms.

I wonder why anyway i was trying to make a post and it all disappeared before i knew that Polar Maritime was starting a new thread i was replying to your post about how weird the ECM looked from 192 it shows the Atlantic high pushing NE and building into Scandinavia forcing the trough/low to undercut from the Atlantic with thundery potential,theirs that word POTENTIAL lol the mean at day ten shows a similar outcome there has been so many scenarios up to day ten that i have little confidence until we get this low from 120 sorted because it's just meandering around like a duckling that's lost it's mother

North of Turin. Live Cam Graian Alps WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM Panoramic view of Graian Alps from San Maurizio Canavese

Why!,was today suppose to be an event? As i said last night,just a few sporadic lightning flashes and that's what we got,there may be a few more in the SW and near to southern coast's.

Yep,just like popcorn going off in a microwave will be keeping an eye on Barcelona later,and a few other places.

@Mike Poole^ i am glad that you posted the NH views,i usually do...in winter What i see there is that the hp cell to the east looks like flexing it's bulging red hot muscles ...and sorry if i keep on banging on the same drum but if this trough/low drops to the SW/S then you have to look east/SE for the warmth the gfs op/control and some of the gefs ens have been showing this for the past few days if not several days now blimey it's like the winter model thread in here at the moment it's been that busy ha! ha! only the select few only usually post in here in summer,i suppose that we have been very lucky with this prolonged warm/hot spell that there was plenty to talk about,not to forget the lock down as well of which i think that it has brought us closer together in this nice friendly environment so cheers gang and have a few on me

I would say along the the M4 into the SE through tomorrow afternoon for some heavy showers to break out with some sporadic lightning. BBC Weather WWW.BBC.CO.UK Latest weather conditions and forecasts for the UK and the world. Includes up to 14-days of hourly forecast information, warnings, maps, and the latest editorial analysis and videos from the BBC... UK weather forecast map - Met Office WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office 5 day weather forecast map for UK including weather warnings, temperature, rain, wind speed, cloud, and pressure.

So here is CW's take on tomorrow then. Day 2 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 03 Jun 2020 - 05:59 UTC Thu 04 Jun 2020 ISSUED 20:20 UTC Tue 02 Jun 2020 ISSUED BY: Dan Upper trough will continue to extend southwards across western Europe during Wednesday, its axis over the British Isles. The associated cooling and moistening of the mid-levels will in part aid in showery outbreaks of rain developing fairly widely across England and Wales during the day. This will be accompanied by extensive medium- and low-level cloud. Pockets of weak elevated convection may exist, embedded within areas of showery rain, and could produce the odd isolated lightning strike. However, the main focus will be linked to any sufficient cloud breaks that can develop to aid in surface heating across S / SW England and S Wales and yield 200-500 J/kg CAPE. Given the slack surface pattern, areas of low-level convergence may develop and this will provide the primary forced ascent to generate deep convection. Big concerns exist over saturated profiles and extensive cloud cover. Shear is also likely to be fairly weak given the location within the trough axis. Hence, even if deep convection does indeed develop, showers may struggle to maintain themselves for any length of time with pulse-type showers likely (although outflow may aid additional development nearby). This, combined with hints of a slight warm nose in the 500-600mb layer may also serve to restrict the depth of convection too. All in all, this does not bode well for much in the way of lightning activity, unless sufficient sunshine can significantly lift surface temperatures and be able to force parcels higher than the 500-600mb layer. Current thinking is a few scattered heavy, slow-moving showers may develop during the day - which poses a risk of localised surface water flooding - but the risk of lightning is rather limited. Given the low cloud bases and low-level convergence present, a few funnel clouds may be possible. Model guidance also varies in location of the most favoured areas for heavy showers to break out too. As a general rule, a zone from S/SE Wales and across southern England / southern parts of the Midlands is at risk, perhaps moreso close to coasts where low-level convergence will be maximised, but pinpointing specific areas where heavy showers are most likely, and then on top the aforementioned concerns over lightning potential, negates the need for a SLGT unless confidence in either aspect increases. Convective Weather WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.

Who cares if it's going to rain and what the actual temps will be on Saturday because it's not the end of the world or summer come to that,the greenery needs a break,a break from all this dryness,we do not want hope-pipe bans,forest fires,danger to wildlife etc etc!,we can live with a bit of rain so chill There is still a lot of uncertainty as to regards to how this low/trough will end up,fl is always from 120(day 5)> in my view. i am looking for so eastern promise from day ten,watch this space.

The ECM mean from 144... All looks static to me with a low/trough over the UK then heading towards the SW later on and perhaps warming up from the S/SE.

Beautiful warming up by day ten with an ongoing risk of some cracking storms,not overly hot but it will feel humid where the sun breaks out... it's day ten though