mattyk1985
-
Posts
157 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by mattyk1985
-
-
Looking at the NMM model there are still fairly large amounts of Cape around into the early hours, does that mean in some areas storms could go on through the night?
-
Does anyone rate my chances tomorrow? lol
-
No cb's, everything dying on approach, dont know whats causing this but it always seems to happen? Tomorrows potential seems to be similar to today so least it will be nice and sunny here tomorrow.
-
Soon as showers are hitting most of Lincolnshire they are dying so they have no chance of getting up here with the end of the summer fastly approaching its getting a bit frustrating. Been plaguedin the last hour with high cloud is not helping either.
-
Disappointing here just 2 distant rumbles heard and a heavy shower that lasted all of 10 seconds, storms in this area at least have seemed non existant for a long time.
-
Lots of sun here with lots of Cb's expecting something later.
-
Cape buliding here from mid afternoon according to the charts so im hopeful.
-
Is the activity expected to die off by dusk?
-
Storm just blew up out of nowhere over Hull
-
Showing quite bit and ties in with the precip
-
Certainly some uncertainties later this re: a thundery breakdown. Other than some isolated thundery showers/storms near the CF over central areas on Thursday, Friday *may* have some potential. A moistening airmass across England and Wales *may* destabilise ahead of the CF moving SE - as per GFS - which brings a thundery low up from the SW ahead of the cold front shifting SE across England later in the day - which looks to push the heat away by Saturday.
All depends on how quickly the upper trough moves SE. ECM and UKMO more progressive with the trough and seem to nudge the thundery low further east than GFS at this point - with the near continent stealing the fun from the SE, though some thundery rain/storms shown near the CF for central parts.
Im no expert but looking at the latest run it appears that the GFS is starting to side with the ECM and UKMO.
-
Potential pretty much looking non existent compared to what It was showing. Its still early and lots of swapping and changing is to be expected.
-
So, are we to expect some cracking storms next week then? I've looked at a chart or two ( still much to learn but I've learnt so much while I've been here) and from what my inexperienced eyes can see it looks quiet. I guess one should wait for updates.
Its quiet up until next weekend on Friday and Saturday there is a fair bit of potential around but because its quite a way out its all subject to change.
-
Anyone got any charts/models to post here? Looking pretty silent.
Latest ones are not out yet. Last run was good for this area for Saturday. Regarding Friday I may travel to Peterbor depending on how things look nearer the time.
-
I would be up for this too :-)
-
Ha! Good luck telling that to some on here.
Apologies if I came across as rude, by the way. I'm just tired of the fact that an 'elitist' culture has made its way onto a weather forum. Members fawning over others who they regard as godlike in whatever area of meteorology is being discussed at the time. I literally cringe when I witness it.
But, I guess that's the society we live in.
I like reading your input as I do everyone elses. I find this forum very helpful and I have learnt loads while Ive been on here.
-
you guys r just being unreasonable would you rather the olympic opening ceremony to be a success or just so you can go see your little storm yyaaaay!
Well although the Olympics are alright, storms win everytime.
-
Huge downgrade from the latest run at least its still there though and its bound to keep swapping and changing.
Few decent looking clouds about here right now, looks like we could get a shower.
-
Quite a change with the 18Z GFS run as you'd maybe expect - sees an abundance of CAPE over in France on 26th! On the 27th, still quite "nice" CAPE values in southern parts. (SB)CAPE present at 00Z even. Does look like a bit of an eastern shift though from the previous run. Guess we can expect such chopping and changing at such timeframes...
Needless to say, this is going to be an interesting one to watch unfold...
At least its still there which is good, as we get to a day or two out it should give us an idea where the likely areas are(if any).
-
Did notice when the 27th was around 372 hours out the GFS did display alot of cape for most areas of the UK and now its back. Fingers crossed. If it does come off though I can imagine it would be downgraded a bit.
-
If it does come off I would like it just to etch a little further north :-)
-
GFS Showing potential for some nasty thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday. Long way off but something to keep an eye on.
-
lucky so and so ! Safe to say most of us over the past few years have been starved for night lightning ! Im famished put it that way!
Any lightning would be fine by me. Do miss the night time storms though but im grateful its not happening here tonight as I'm up at 430 and I wouldnt go to bed because Id be watching it lol
-
I thought things would have started calming down by now, but the radar still looks quite impressive especially in East Anglia.
Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 4th August 2012>
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Southern Lincolnshire lol Havent had anything of any merit in these parts for a long long time, and dont think that will change today lol