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CanadaAl

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Everything posted by CanadaAl

  1. CanadaAl
    To think, James Madden will certainly be filling his boots with these charts! haha
  2. CanadaAl
    judging by the steep gradient of the temperate in this graph, could we be on to (dare i say it) A SSW event?
  3. CanadaAl
    Even still.. baffles me how quick people are to jump on whether there will be a slack flow, a NE,E or SE. Either way, it's a week away and the outcome is still quite uncertain beyond T+96
  4. CanadaAl
    And i'm in the middle, BOOOM!
  5. CanadaAl
    keeping my eye on raintoday to see what's occuring, looks like coming in from northwest, some heavy ppn over derby/leicester area. Could be heading our way. temp -1 here at the mo, would assume it to fall as snow/sleet fingers crossed
  6. CanadaAl
    Well good news is we're back to the scandi high scenario, let's hope those other outcomes were just blips
  7. CanadaAl
    oh dear looks like raintoday has crashed under the pressure :S
  8. CanadaAl
    Yeah I wouldn't be suprised if we at least saw a dusting before the snow turns to rain here in the East. clear, -1 here at the moment and falling.
  9. CanadaAl
    So do people think we might be in for a chance of some temporary snow tonight in our area? Even if it's only half an hour before it turns to rain i would be happy
  10. CanadaAl
    It's that secondary low we're looking for, around T+100 so a little bit more to wait
  11. CanadaAl
    I mean, yes there is a breakthrough of that south greenland low (GFS 18z) after T+144 but I'm guessing that is too far off so people are not worrying. Would i be correct?
  12. CanadaAl
    Thanks a lot for this post, i was starting to get concerned with the lack of blocking after next weekend with the GFS,CFS and ECMWF but UKMO is staying strong with that block! So beyond T+1440, not worth reading into too much i should think?
  13. CanadaAl
    I've noticed that the GFS has been starting to place the ridge over western greenland instead of over northern scandinavia. with the ridge further away, Does this bode well for us here in the UK? plus the GFS signals a breakdown around the 7th.
  14. CanadaAl
    ECMWF, UKMO, CFS, GFS... It's all starting to come together folks!
  15. CanadaAl
    Gav's new weather Video: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/
  16. CanadaAl
    I know I shouldnt, but im getting very excited at the trends on the models backing a greenland block around 28nov-1 dec. It's reminding me of 2009 when we had mild, wet and windy through november then BAM! middle of december cold spell with snow. I know i'm getting a bit carried away but hey ho
  17. CanadaAl
    Still looking reasonably cold though, giving us a south easterly feed. could do with that high a bit further north and more circular giving us a colder sourced easterly. Exciting Stuff!
  18. CanadaAl
    Not sure if i'm looking at the right strat page but NOAA CPC's strat temp graph has shown a huge jump in strat temp from below normal to normal over the last day or so, Hasn't appeared in the Japanese one yet though. Will put my ramp away..
  19. CanadaAl
    Hey guys, I'm new to this Strat thread and I was just wondering if someone would be able to explain what MB is in terms of the strat, is it millibars like pressure? Also, which start catergory should i be looking at on this page: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/temperature/? Thanks a lot for the help
  20. CanadaAl
    Yeah that does seem the case, that's why i don't think we can jump the gun over the strat temps. I was told the strat doesn't influence the CFS, so i'm wondering what it's picking up on giving us constant mild runs... Airing on the side of caution i guess.. I believe strat warming is caused by sudden wind reversal occuring at the pole. thus having a domino effect on the strat (I could be completely wrong haha) Watching gav's vids, i do still think it's too early. could go either way.. the met are sticking to their end of nov cold forecast
  21. CanadaAl
    I agree with this completely, I do also think (yes the strat is cooling to record low levels apparently) but we should consider other factors in our favour. Plus the strat is very complex and for we all we know the cooling could stop abruptly. I still think it's all to play for. Even the met who haven't had a great track record but are the most widely known forecast in the uk, are going for a cold end to november. So who knows really
  22. CanadaAl
    Why is everyone like "oh well the strat's done for, might as well wait till next year" when its november 7th! Come on guys, the strat isn't the ultimate deciding factor to our weather, yes it helps if a warming event takes place but we still have other factors in our favour Rant over Edit: Just went on the Strat thread and saw GP is suggesting the long range ECM might herald a change in strat conditions early Dec
  23. CanadaAl
    Loving the new weather porn out from the CFS, blocking from 24th right until early december. Not that far off either.
  24. CanadaAl
    Apologies for going off topic but was 'superstorm' sandy caused by the distorted jet pattern? I.e the system being forced up the east coast as opposed to tracking north east.
  25. CanadaAl
    woke up to a covering of snow this morning here in Cambridge. Sadly missed the shower that passed around 5/6 this morning. Some people put pics up, looked pretty good for this area in October!
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