CanadaAl
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Posts posted by CanadaAl
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I have a real feeling we might get enough north sea convetion to see some unexpected snow for the south of east anglia. It's happened before and it will happen again, Where i am in the region doesnt look favourable at all for decent accumulations but i have a hunch it will change nearer the time.
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light snow here. Looks like it's intensifying over our part of the region. Anyone know why that would be?
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Snow seems to have made it's way over to west essex too. this could be a nice little bonus
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Odd isnt it:/ but Im not complaining
Wow so we're all in the same boat then? big flakes just started falling and under clear patch on radar. weird :S
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Wow, just looked at the radar, some serious snow coming off The Hague! will probably end up in the north-east though
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IWell yet again Newmarket suffolk seems to be dry alley had naff all week a slushy less than 1cm, north south east and west have it but we dont. To east for frontal falls to west for north sea showers. dry alley niice 1
I share your pain, Don't worry. we will get our turn soon!
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Was never much due in Essex till this evening/overnight ??
You're very right there.. Was just starting to worry due to the back end of that front starting the fizzle out. Hopefully the forecast pans out though. sorry for the moan
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Sorry to be one of those people... but seriously, glad i didn't get my hopes up about today. incredibly disspointing. However, still another 6 hours of forecast snow apparently so can see
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Heavy fine snow here too, wasn't expecting it until around 2/3ish so nice suprise. Can't see it getting much thicker though
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Always a teeny bit annoying when this happens. Snow to my west, snow to my east. But i'm slap bang in the middle! oh well, hopefully might get lucky tomorrow
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Trust me I really hope im wrong and maybe I am. Hopefully we shall know alot more after tomorrow mornings output. I just want members to have this in the back of their mind so if we don't see the snow as the BBC/Met O are predicting then we might have less disappointment.
Just out of interest.. do you think we could see some surprise covective snowfall coming off the north sea off that strong South Easterly? Just a thought
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You mean its colder?
I don't think so, unless it's an extreme microclimate here, it always shows about 4 degrees below, so it does follow current temperature, just 4 degrees below. Very odd
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And just for East Herts/Essex/Cambridgeshire triple point currently:
Sawbridgeworth is -7c
Stansted is -6c
Saffron Walden at -10c.
I'm in saffron walden, That weather station has been kaput for a while, don't think the owner has realised yet!
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Anyone out west seeing these showers?
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Throwing it down here, not settling though. Judging by the members out west, should we be expecting it to settle here soon?
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Just uttering what people have said earlier.... With this premature snow band arriving, will this affect the snow amounts? I might just be far east enough (Cambridge) to get full snow as opposed to sleet. Anyone having sleet instead of snow?
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Doesn't sound a particularly good update from the MO regarding the white stuff for Saturday, have to say this period despite looking 'potentially exciting' I'm still going to need until at least Thursdays 12z to take any real confidence in the weekends outputs.
If the UKMO is to be believed, I'd imagine the 2 big GFS runs tommorrow will lose snow chances for Saturday.
But the thing is, the likelyhood of the GFS converging towards the UKMO outlook would be very slim i would of thought. Usually it's the other way around. It just reminds me of last month when ECMWF and GFS went with turning milder but the UKMO held on. And of course, UKMO ended up going the way of GFS and ECMWF. Obviously in this case milder air is easier to predict but even so, with the cross-model agreement. I do think UKMO might side more towards GFS' and ECMWF way of thinking, after all, UKMO does base itself around ECMWF. An interesting time ahead!
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Is it me or does anyone else think that massive high can't be shifted that easily? I know i'm most likely clutching at straws but models seem to move that high effortlessly east and it's gone by monday. I'm not sure it will be that easy. I'm probably wrong though
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And how many runs did we drool over, last week?
Exactly. Like you said, best not count our chickens!
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I know people will say don't take FI seriously, but that's the second run with an easterly developing albeit temporarily around the 22nd. Already, lighter blues over greenland as opposed to dark purples. Another game of chase the easterly?
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Low splitting at T+72, does anyone know what implications this could have?
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I apologise if this isn't really the right thread to ask in, but would someone be able to explain why the PV transferring over to Siberia is seen as a positive factor towards increasing our chances of a cold weather? Sorry if its an obvious answer hah...
I'm also wondering whether one factor for the current modelled unsettled weather, predominantly from the atlantic, is due to the movement of the PV as it's on its travels?
It has been a trend for quite a few runs now for it to shift location, along with the unsettled outlook in the medium term (for now). Perhaps IF it settles towards Siberia, with not much energy left behind, could we start, or have an increasing likelyhood, of seeing some interesting outputs? (Probably pure speculation I know)
Please don't shoot me if I'm completely off the ball. Very amateur learner here
You've pretty much hit the nail on the head with what i'm thinking too. I generally think that the models are struggling with modelling this energy transfer. Guess we'll have to wait and see eh?
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Already at T+24 showing strong high over greenland and low a touch further west. Exciting times!
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Temperature is -0.5 here now, wouldn't be suprised if we saw at least an outbreak of snow say 10 to 15 mins before turning to rain
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 8th February 2013>
in Regional
Posted
Latest BBC weather does seem to show pittiful amounts of snow compared to before, im sure it's still likely to change