Gorky
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Posts posted by Gorky
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Snow has eased off for now and I've popped out and measured depth of 16cm (middle of the patio table which shouldn't be too sheltered). Higher drifts by the walls obviously. Already got a slight thaw on the house but hopefully just the right side of marginal to keep the snow for a few days and hopefully get a top up. I have a bit of height to my advantage and am 2 miles in land so that might help!
(Ruler has a little over 1cm gap between the end and zero!)
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Hammering it down here right now again. Visibility down to about 300m
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Me rikey very much!! i can see a yellow and orange Atlantic Swan on that chart getting ready to fly in a north west direction
Nice run but it's a shame the Atlantic seems to start winning at about T1074
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The guy was a legend and the Sky at Night is probably responsible for my unhealthy fascination with all things astronomical. That show has been a part of my life since I was a little kid (And I also used to love Gamesmaster
). Whilst I may have lost a little respect for him with a few of his comments in his later life, he ultimately managed to push science and astronomy into the public eye like no-one else and the world needs more of that sort of enthusiasm directed towards science and less towards the dross that pervades the current TV line-up!. Unfortunately, for every Patrick Moore or Brian Cox, there's 100's of vapid reality stars and that's a damn shame. -
Euro is great for me but the GFS still seems a little warm for my liking. Purely selfish but I like to see -10's at 850mb on a solid easterly. if the GFS came off, I'd be getting a lot of sleet with the warm sea moderating temps somewhat. Much less of an issue for us on the coast with a Northerly as today proved though!
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Very good day here for the snow lovers. I'm about a mile and a half inland near the hospital and woke up to the lightest of dustings. Walked to work (right on the coast) and by the time I was halfway there, there was a good covering on all roads including the main A64 down Falsgrave although not snowing at the time. Drivers failing miserably to handle the conditions as usual. Within 10 minutes of walking into the Town Hall, a colleague entered completely white from head to toe. It looked like it was night outside the snow was so heavy for a while. Good snow showers for most of the morning and although down by the coast, the majority melted towards late afternoon, it's frozen over back at home so driving conditions tomorrow should be interesting! Models look interesting for the next few weeks for sure! A few of my colleagues from Whitby are going to be spending quite a bit of time homeworking I think!
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Looks as good as it has ever done. Would be surprised if this isn't a Super Typhoon again at the next update.
Edit:
Latest ADt estimate:
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.3 / 917.7mb/149.0kt
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Latest sat fix is showing a pinhole eye apparently, though I can't actuAlly find an up to date satellite image to confirm that.
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 NOV 2012 Time : 123000 UTC
Lat : 4:14:41 N Lon : 143:53:27 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.7 / 978.1mb/ 82.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.7 4.7 6.8
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :<10 km
Center Temp : -28.0C Cloud Region Temp : -78.6C
Scene Type : PINHOLE EYE
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Completely agree - fantastic pic that one.
I half expect to see a Grain Elevator in the background and a 200 car BNSF train passing through the shot. Definitely something you'd expect to see on the prairies rather than Norfolk
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Getting the odd faint rumble around here... Storms for the third day straight and some interesting looking charts towards the end of the week. Happy times...
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Here's a shot of the beast from when I'm guessing you were almost under it. It was taken around the time of the reported tornado although we stayed back some distance to admire it's structure, and missed the tornado... not that I'm particularly unhappy with that decision
Might add a few more photos later from this day once I have them processed in Lightroom-
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If you look closely... say 20 miles the wrong side of the storm.... you may see me.. D'oh!!! Quite happy we didn't punch through given the hail core size though! Not a fan of explaining dents to the car hire people! Our complete lack or data in the entirety of NW Oklahoma just killed us on a couple of days
Seiling Public library and their free wireless was our second home I think! -
Can't say I was over there for many of those storms, looking at the dates. The LP in Nebraska is beautiful but the rest are pretty unexciting considering it's made CNN! They could be any old plains storm really... Nice shots regardless though... really managed to capture the mood of the storms a lot better than I ever could
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more thunder here, albeit more distant. gorky are you in scarboro? (mobile netweather doesnt show locations)
Yeah.. Not gonna be walking to work today. I'll take my chances with traffic chaos instead I think
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Near constant thunder woke me up this morning. Not looking forward to the trip to work with reports of the main road into town closed due to downed power lines on the news... :o
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A colleague is best man at a wedding on Friday and just asked me if it would be nice in Beverley at lunchtime. Almost didn't have the heart to tell him that wellies and waterproofs are going to be the required wedding gear looking at the models... :/
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Note the patch of lightning free air between the two active areas... there's me!
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Well.. the storm s died out less than 10 miles from my house! Gutted... Got some interesting shots from my camera set up pointing west of the convection as it passed to the north. Lots of low scud and a bit of rotation evident but it all passed north of here towards Ravenscar and Whitby :/
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The supercell that tracked just south of Sleaford was a proper Classic Supercell imo. Flying Eagle presentation on Radar even having increased reflectivity in the hook echo. (I'm not gonna scream debris ball as in most cases I think it's a different mechanic which causes the increase in reflectivity in this area of the storm). Reports seem to indiate it was on the ground from Swarby to Ewerby at the very least with the radar looking pretty good from South of Grantham so I'd be unsurprised if it was on the ground before then. Not sure if it's the same storm as the one which dropped the big hail in Leicester as there were a few storms following similar paths today..
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I've been keeping a little bit of an eye on things for the last week or so but not a huge amount due to a family illness and then a broken computer. Models have generally been pretty poor but the GFS seems to be coming around a bit at the moment.The last couple of runs have had plenty to like in FI, especially from the 23rd onwards although the big thing plagueing the runs is the generation of some tropical lows in the Gulf. These stop decent moisture return and really muck up the models. The GFS is somewhat notorious for generation a lot of spurious tropical systems, so I'm hoping this isn't actually going to happen. This mornings 0z has this feature much weaker in FI and the outlook is much better. I still think it will be quiet for this week but with chase opportunities for those wishing to put in the miles. I wouldn't actually mind for it to stay calm until after the 20th so I don't have top make a choice between seeing the eclipse and going storm chasing
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Had a cracking storm come by Scarborough about 45 minutes ago. Unfortunately I was walking home in it. As torrential as I've seen in a long time. It soaked through my coat, though my shirt and trousers and even my underwear was wringing wet by the time I got home :o I could pour water out of my shoes I was so wet... Not fun given the smell of sewage mixing with the floodwater as the drains were bursting
I guess this was the culprit
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Personally I'd prefer the types of patterns with the Jet stream well north before a trip out. Get the quiet period out of the way, and with a northern jet stream, you don't tend to get the gulf scoured of moisture so frequently. Moisture tends to pool across the plains and everything is primed for the first trough to ejected into the plains. Meanwhile, severe is often still possible in the northern plains, and over the Great Lakes/OV with NWerly flow events.
I know I'd be more worried if things were really active right now before flying out as we'd probably be missing the best of the action!
Dave - Here's the netweather GFS US run
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=usacharts;sess=
Cheers
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You can be quite close if the car in front is kicking up some spray, to the point that the rainbow is mere metres in front of you... but yeah. you're never gonna catch it
Here's a vid cap from one of my EXTREME RAINBOW CHASES over in the states
/end Reed Timmer mode/
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Have one colleague who's decided to work from home due to snow up on the higher parts of the moors. It was even a touch sleety in Scarborough this morning walking to work. Not a nice walk in though it certainly woke me up
). Whilst I may have lost a little respect for him with a few of his comments in his later life, he ultimately managed to push science and astronomy into the public eye like no-one else and the world needs more of that sort of enthusiasm directed towards science and less towards the dross that pervades the current TV line-up!. Unfortunately, for every Patrick Moore or Brian Cox, there's 100's of vapid reality stars and that's a damn shame.
Might add a few more photos later from this day once I have them processed in Lightroom
Yorkshire & Lincs Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z --------->
in Regional
Posted
Back to rain and sleet here on the coast. Driveway is still clear and I think we've lost some accumulation so far due to a thaw. I guess we had it good earlier in the week but I was hoping we'd be on the right side of marginal here...