poseidon
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Posts posted by poseidon
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Could see decent elevated convection further north from stansted airport - may be that cell Cambridge way. Not much of note round here currently and the cloud keeps cutting the heating off.
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Dark young CB now gaining height just east of here, blocking the sun. Maybe an indication that with a bit of insolation things could get interesting. It looks a bit lonely though at the moment. Rest of sky full of Ac cas.
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Sky completely covered with ac cas now.
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2 minutes ago, bybo1999 said:
I think they bring their forecast out at about 6am
It's been pretty random in the past and is often out after 11pm.
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Yay, slight upgrade from the met office for this area, showing showers all day, They were progressively taking them away until now.
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9 minutes ago, Jcweather said:
Just looked outside. Not as much instability as I might have expected, but still quite a bit of cirrus around
Fair bit round here, few miles north
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nice patches of mackerel sky appearing now.
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2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
Not overly impressed with the NetWx SR either. There has been a lot of chopping & changing, so we'll have to wait and see!
looks like the Kent storm tractor beam is on full power.
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Euro 4 does not look encouraging for late afternoon/evening surface based storms in the south. And even early morning elevated ones are sketchy. Will be interesting to see which model(s) come out on top. Possible Thursday evening organised storms in the Midlands?
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Storms already kicking off in the Bay of Biscay.
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ECMWF also showing "rain" moving in from SW overnight Thurs/Fri. Met Office have "Possible thunderstorms Thursday in central parts. Turning warm and humid."
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GFS showing bit of a plume starting Wed but looks to stay mostly on the continent currently.
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1 hour ago, Jcweather said:
Been raining heavily for several hours now, but suspect that's all it will be.
Estofex not showing anything for uk tomorrow. Looks like next chance will be Friday afternoon.
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56 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:
And to think people down-south only a week ago were moaning about the lack of storms forecasted for that predicted (but failed) thundery breakdown.
The storm today wasn't up to much. The number of storms in this neck of the woods seems to be massively down on previous years. However, on the plus side we've had an amazing Spring/summer so far, best for quite a few years.
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Was in stortford this morning and caught the edge of the storm going to duxford. Few cgs and rumbles, torrential rain. But nothing terribly exciting, all elevated presumably.
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Still a bit early, but slightly worrying eastward movement showing today for next Tues/Wed.
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9 minutes ago, Squall said:
South east looks as if its being going of with a bang
Not round here, the lower half of EA got pretty much bypassed. Just messy clouds and sun this way.
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1 minute ago, CreweCold said:
I don't remember things being like this when I was a kid. I can remember consecutive years of memorable storms and a few night time events chucked in for good measure too. Never known anything like the period we are in at present. It's an effort to get anything.
It cannot be normal to be going whole 12 month periods without any thunder surely.
2015-2017 seems to be following the same pattern around this way, we have very hot periods with extreme cape etc but with impossible to break capping, under high pressure. The severe potential just doesn't get realised.
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Estofex is out and very uninspiring. Looks like the heatwave will go out with a whimper,
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Potentially a reload next week.....
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Just noticed this little feature appearing on satellite in the last few minutes....
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Woh, massive flash and really loud thunder out of no where. Local cell seems to have developed. More lightning now.
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Looks like lightning activity dying down north of London.
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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Getting dark round here as showers approach. But I'd prefer the showers to s*d off and let the sun come out for a prolonged period as this looks a bit like the all too frequent plume scenario at present when u have a day of white milky cloud and nothing happens.