Ninman
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Meanwhile the AO has taken a holiday to Blackpool to go on the big dipper!
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1 hour ago, snowangel32 said:
Glad the East mids are seeing snow now. But they won't make it past Birmingham. Birmingham is officially the most Snowless place this Winter.
If only! I've only seen a couple of flakes before it changed to rain. Maybe Mansfield or Chesterfield has had snow but Nottingham hasn't
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I've been waiting all day for a snow shower, and then one finally arrives but turns straight to rain!!
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Didn't someone say this winter would be a winter of discontent? We'll we have certainly been discontented with the model output so far. This was a very good call!
I wouldn't like to make a call for the next 4 weeks. Looking at the latest output, it looks like a slow move back to westerlies of some form, but the way this winter has panned out, we could well see an imminent flip to something more favourable. The background signals are still currently in our favour, so we still could end up with something decent, but until the models have agreement at 5 days out for a cold spell, there is nothing to get excited about.(unless of course you like the emotional soap opera, the GFS that is aired 4 times a day. It's performance for best story line will beat anything eastenders comes up with, and no tv licence is required!)
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A few very light flurries in Nottingham. Seems to be more showers coming in from the east on the radar so I'm hopeful of a light dusting. Showers could crop up anywhere the further east you are
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It looks possible for a few snow showers to move inland from the east today, although patchy and light but better than nowt!
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Hopefully the east mids can get a dusting from streamers from the north east overnight
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-5.2c in my garden this morning, very frosty. Then a thick layer of freezing fog descended around 8am. If you can't have snow then this is the next best thing!
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GFS looks good for south Midlands - north midlands look to get a couple of cms from it, but looks light on its northern edge
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ARPEGE also has a wintry mess/mix down the spine of England on Saturday, just in case this week's drama isn't enough
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2 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:
Yh Hiralm is pretty nice, 12z about to start soon will there will be a shift North or South but wich one. Shift South and it's a dusting at best from flurries. Shift North and it's 5cm plus again. Heart says North but head says South on the past results. Place your bets now
Just for entertainment value (if nothing else!) it will shift further north and then be further at odds with the lower res models. Then the likes of GFS/ECM etc will move it north on their next runs. Tomorrow, it will then come to a nowcasting scenario, where it will actually end up in the English channel.....that would sum up this week!
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I'm pinning my hopes on the HIRLAM for East Mids for a dusting of snow
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Snowing in Notts now...just as I'm heading out!
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Still raining in Notts. Could be very icy tomorrow morning as temps look to drop below freezing overnight.
According to my weather app radar it should change to snow in around an hour
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4 minutes ago, Storme said:
What part of Notts are you? I am between Leics and Notts city centres and on the boundary between the 2 counties.
Carlton, so east of the city centre
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Its got heavier in Notts now - can see a few cms accumulating from this - of rain that is
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Just had about 5 seconds of sleet...hopefully it will turn more wintry as the temps start to drop.
I think the main event is Thursday night - lampost watchers get ready!
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Light rain now in Nottingham. HIRLAM has it changing to snow around 4pm. Interesting the WRF NMM model shows snow streamers through the night from Cheshire through the Midlands on a NW/SE flow, so could be a few more flakes falling.
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2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
Funny how the front is getting heavier as it pushes east of me.
Great....send it down the A52 to Nottingham and I'll pick it up with a truck load of salt!
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A few spots of rain in Nottingham with the ground fairly dry. Not convinced we'll see any settled snow. Looks like it will be mostly rain with it turning to wet snow before the band dies out. Thursday/Friday looks more promising
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9 minutes ago, snowray said:Thanks I look forward to that update tomorrow.
Anyone notice this on the FV3, quite a bit of snow there looking a possibility on Thursday/Friday on the front edge of that first low that undercuts.
BBC seeing something similar but on Saturday:
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Currently 6c here...not really a cold snap now. Its just an average Feb day!
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had a quick dusting at around 7pm, lasted about half an hour then stopped and had nothing since
!!Yes, very dissapointing! The dusting has now also melted :-S
!!
Model output discussion - late November
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
P18 will do..
From a developing ridge
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To a wedge with undercut...nice!
Chefs are starting to bring their dishes to the table for Christmas dinner..could be a good feast on the menu!