049balt
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Posts posted by 049balt
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Truly excellent Tamara. Love reading your analysis.
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It has been fascinating reading the thread over the past week, we have become so used to Summer weather that we seem unable to accept what is just around the corner. This is the model discussion thread and suddenly we won't believe what those same models are telling us, that Summer is over, and possibly for some time. Of course the "Oracles" are here to hold our hand and claim there is no need to worry, Summer will be back in a jiffy. Lets wait and see..
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Looking at the models it is looking like some terrific Autumn weather on the way, might just take us into October.
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Yes Tamara, definitely your best post and most helpful. A very valued contribution.
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Time for another update from Tamara?
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Where can I get long range/seasonal charts?
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Thanks Tamara. Keep us updated.
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A very warm outlook indeed.
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Magnificent Tamara.
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16 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
The Gem 00z ends with warm high pressure centred to the east..I really think after the week ahead we will see above average temperatures widely as the MO are again indicating which is very good news.
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Great to see your posts Frosty.Looks like a we are in for a taste of Summer, at least for a while.
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Tamara, haven't heard from u in a while, have you any comments on prospects for September.
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Maybe Tamara would give us her take on events?
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A lot of talk in the media of the Summer of 76, what were the highest temperatures during that Summer?
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2 hours ago, Summer 1976 said:
The easterly wind looks lighter on UKMO this morning with the Hp a little closer to the country from Wednesday.
BBC talk about "Omega Block" last night and getting warmer as a result,
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I think we are on our way to some better conditions, at last,
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Still hope of better weather two weeks out.
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Where has all the rain gone!
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Is this the Azores High that we all been waiting on, another week of Winter to go and then.
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35 minutes ago, stodge said:
Evening all
Plenty of interest in the night's output:
GFS 12Z OP at T+168:
ECM at the same time:
GEM at the same time:
The worry for those looking for warmth is all three models head the same way into FI with colder air pushing SW from Scandinavia on synoptics which, if ever shown in January, would crash the Netweather servers !!
To be fair, late April/early May is a time of huge contrasts - it can be very warm and sunny or the opposite and at the moment we're heading full pelt toward the opposite.
BUT we aren't there yet, it's still some way off and newer signals could emerge in the next few days...
It doesn't look that bad for the West/ Ireland. cool and dry.
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GFS 850, not that bad for the West.
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13 minutes ago, Singularity said:
We've been hard pressed to get the 850's below -5*C across such a large area around the UK in the depth of the past few winters!
Simply incredible, and not great if you have a week off in the final week like my old man does! I fear some (unusually) grumpy conversations may be on their way.
Thats a long way off, lets hope April ends better than this chart suggests.
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Dry theme continues.
A very warm outlook indeed.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Methuselah Tamara is a great miss on this thread. I loved her indebth analysis.