Alan Medlock Valley
-
Posts
157 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Alan Medlock Valley
-
Indeed it goes back to the earlier point, elevation helps and is in most cases the be all and end all. -
Ssshhhh don't say that to the Scottish Ski Industry
-
A good snowfall there in 2010 in Birmingham - looks quite deep nearly halfway up car tyres >>> and also here too looks quite a moderate to heavy fall>> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8hVC1bhCNfs&feature=related
-
It is a certainty, like you said yourself last week about how Leeds city centre being at the lowest point in the city doesn't get as much snow as built up areas in the suburbs just a few miles away but higher up. Look at Glasgow too, they very rarely have huge amounts of snow there yet look how far North they are and built up. The reason is it is only about 20m asl.
-
Have you measured the urban heat potentness in certain cities? sometimes when you have no sun for a day even that can influence urban heat levels especially in Winter with our weak sun and even more so in high areas where cold air aloft will help. Snow does fall much more in a higher urban area than a lower urban area.
-
A North Easterly from the Wash would certainly penetrate to Birmingham. Also Leeds and Bradford is a large urban area but you say you do well for snow yet your not high up but Birmingham is. You can't say somewhere that is built up but at 200m is not going to get at least some decent snowfall at some point either.
-
Model Output Discussion 12z 18/10/2012
Alan Medlock Valley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Rather unsettled and cool or cold for the most part http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Aberdeen_ens.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Manchester_ens.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png -
Yes located far inland but far from coastal influences i.e slightly milder conditions to moderate snow so surface cold pooling would be good for Birmingham and hence in theory more snowfall, also the height of most of the city will definitley help, houses won't be a huge concern but only if you get enough height (150m and above) then your laughing in most of the UK. I think Birmingham has just been unlucky in recent times when it comes to huge snowfall.
-
Model Output Discussion 12z 18/10/2012
Alan Medlock Valley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes we have had cold zonality in the 80's which delivered snow for Northern and Western areas. -
I am actually surprised Birmingham hasn't done better for snow over the past few years considering 90% of the city is ideally placed between 100-200m above sea level, infact I think the Dudley area is about 200-250m. I would of thought the city would do well from an Easterly, more especially a North Easterly with slightly less land for the convective showers to travel plus no high ground to block any degradation, also as already posted from a front approaching from the SW bumping into cold air in place.
-
Haha this place definitely puts our upcoming cool spell into perpective, but good for the long term snowpack, a bit chilly??http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/24959.html
-
Model Output Discussion 12z 18/10/2012
Alan Medlock Valley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The absence of Steve Murr and a couple of others reflects the slightly poorer model output today. But let's face it it is only October - we still have a considerable amount of time so no need for people to be downbeat or induce wristslashing. -
Incredible charts thrown out by the Met Office earlier, a very interesting week to come.
-
Model Output Discussion 12z 18/10/2012
Alan Medlock Valley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Spot the UK - http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma/runs/2012102012/J168-7.GIF -
I reckon you would do very well for cold and snow in your location, it's a double whammy - your high up and are in a valley, so if we got the perfect set up you could get some extreme snow totals and low temps and as a result it would be difficult to get out of the valley.
-
And so do I, I live in a valley with the river flowing just a 2 min walk away from my door. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm
-
Meteorology is indeed fascinating, the weather effects nearly everything that we do. What we wear, how our bodies react to it and many other aspects, great stuff.
-
I never said they hadn't had any. Still October is early snow especially what is projected next week
-
Wonder which weather station they go off? has to be an official one, not an PWS.
-
You might be best just waiting a few more days for the forecast to be a bit more accurate, anything can happen between now and Friday.
-
Now -1C in Altnaharra. 7.2C here at my weather station, big difference between Northern Scotland and here, but to be fair if I had clear skies it would be lower than 7.
-
Me neither until a few months ago, Altnaharra weather station is on the bank of the river just to the North of the village at 81m - a potent frost hollow like here, But Braemar is much higher at about 300m so I think Braemar will get a good few inches, if the charts stay as they are that is! Infact it is 0C right now in Altnaharra according to the Met Office http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/he/altnaharra_latest_weather.html
-
I think at this stage the strongest winds will be reserved for the far NE, still things may change.
-
Ignore it, obvious computer glitch. They'll sort it out.
-
I reckon elevated areas like Braemar could get some early snow if the current charts come to fruition, Maybe even Altnaharra might get some even though it is relatively low down at 81m, but has the benefit of being in the far North inside those projected -8 uppers, we shall see. Hopefully an interesting week to come.
