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summer blizzard

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Everything posted by summer blizzard

  1. A difficult one for me. I think that the first half of February is likely to be as cold as the second half of January but that we will see a very dry and high pressure dominated pattern for the second half of the month (should still be cold at the surface). Given that 20 days of cold in January will have delivered a CET over 2C below average despite a warm start i will at this stage go for 1.4C, 3C below the 1981-2010 average.
  2. I was quite impressed by the snow last tonight. Quite often (perhaps as a result of hype on here) we are told there will heavy significant snow which then only yields something rubbish like Friday however last night (i was up all night) we actually saw several hours of heavy snow to the point that it covered roads and by 6am there were traffic issues in the city center. I saw an Asda van give up and several cars skidding on approach to the traffic lights around New Briggate.
  3. Parents garden a few hours ago. Given that the drying wire looks to have about 10cm of fresh snow i expect a measurement close to 20cm when i visit tommorow (their were 9cm yesterday)..
  4. Considering i've just seen a car skidding i do expect my parents road to be very trecharous.
  5. Heavy snow in the center for a while now, roads are now being covered.
  6. Just come back so have a progress report. The flakes are small to medium but wet and sticky, city pavements are now very slushy, cars are covered but roads are very wet. Here i imagine that pavements will be covered if the intense precipitation arrives and i suspect my parents will be seeing very good accumulations.
  7. It's not settling yet, at least not to a sufficient degree.
  8. Snowing pretty heavily in the city center now. Went to the parents earlier and measured 9cm.
  9. Frontal movement looks mostly westward at the moment which is good for us, the further west the low center is the further west the main area of vorcity shall be.
  10. Indeed. All we can really say is that 00:00-06:00 looks epic. Not a total loss if not, my parents will get more snow than i do in the city. Only bad point is limited internet access.
  11. Radar image looks good and the NAE looks very good for tonight. Now going to my parents and will take a measurement, the bus back around 9pm should certainly be interesting.
  12. Snow in late 2010 took 26th Nov-2nd Dec. Snow in winter 2010 took 18th Dec-6th Jan.
  13. That one was actually much more even in that it took 6 days to reach 23cm here but included a 9cm and the 11cm snowfall on the 2nd (i think it was the second and not the first). Winter 2010 means Dec 09/Jan 10.
  14. Feb Forecast The first half of the month will feature high pressure retrogressing from Scandinavia to Greenland with repeated northerly and easterly outbreaks producing well below average temperatures and precipitation around average. The second half of the month will feature a much weaker -AO pattern leading to high pressure being dominant over the UK, temperatures will be slightly below average and precipitation well below average.
  15. Being fair it took 19 days in winter 2010 to reach 29cm (and 21cm of that fell in one day).
  16. Whilst i cannot guarantee that we won't get a short mild interlude as per ECWMF i do not believe that this cold spell will come to an end for a good while yet (when it does i actually expect high pressure to sit over us). The aim as far as i am concerned is for 2.4C so that we get a month 2C below the 1981-2010 average (joining Jan 10 and Dec 10) and this looks likely if as expected the models drop the breakdown.
  17. To be honest i feared that tommorow nights event would not be much better than a repeat of yesterday (i.e weak inland) however current NAE predictions (which have done extremely well) do suggest that i will be very pleased. Will be visiting parents tommorow so taking a measurement.
  18. Looking at the radar we annoyingly see a large mass of precipitation just north of Ripon. Looking at the forecast we see the winds expected to change from an E (currently) to an ENE so its possible that we are expected to catch that snow.
  19. Aye, i think rather than a front i'm calling to call this a Wash Streamer now as that's effectively what it is.
  20. Still snowing in Leeds over ten hours on and the increasing easterly element means that there's a lot of precipitation still to come albeit not amounting to much. I suppose the one advantage to this is that if the winds turn sufficiently easterly it could drag in moister air and bigger flakes.
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