summer blizzard
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Posts posted by summer blizzard
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Here is my attempt.
This weekend will be cool and cloudy for most parts however it will be wet in the east, main wind direction will be northerly and temperatures will range from 15C in the north and 23C in the south.
Next week will be dry for most parts due to the Azores High ridging in from the south west however the north of Scotland will be mostly cloudy and will turn wet towards the end of the week, main wind direction will be north westerly and temperatures will range from 20C in the north and 30C in the south.
The following weekend will see high pressure move over the British Isles and most places will be dry and sunny with temperatures ranging from 22C in the north and 32C, the wind direction will be variable.
The following week will again be dry and mostly sunny however it will be fairly cool with temperatures ranging from 15C to 25C due to the Greenland High absorbing the Azores ridge, main wind direction will be northerly.
All in all, it looks as though summer is returning for August.
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Yes, i use the average CET of 4.5C so i can compare how cold past winters were, as opposed to this one, and i have no choice but to classify anything less than 3C as severe as the official definition of a severe winter is a winter with a CET of less than 3C.
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Yes, i use the CET figures from December to Februrary.
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The results from the 20th century are:
1950 - 5.1C - Mild
1951 - 2.9C - Severe
1952 - 3.9C - Cold
1953 - 3.5C - Cold
1954 - 4.1C - Average
1955 - 3.5C - Cold
1956 - 2.9C - Severe
1957 - 5.5C - Mild
1958 - 4.2C - Average
1959 - 3.6C - Cold
1960 - 4.6C - Average
1961 - 4.9C - Average
1962 - 3.6C - Cold
1963 - -0.3C - Severe
1964 - 3.5C - Cold
1965 - 3.3C - Cold
1966 - 4.4C - Average
1967 - 5.1C - Mild
1968 - 3.5C - Cold
1969 - 3.2C - Cold
1970 - 3.3C - Cold
1971 - 4.4C - Average
1972 - 4.9C - Average
1973 - 4.9C - Average
1974 - 3.7C - Cold
1975 - 6.4C - Warm
1976 - 5.2C - Mild
1977 - 3.3C - Cold
1978 - 4.1C - Average
1979 - 1.6C - Severe
1980 - 4.6C - Average
1981 - 4.5C - Average
1982 - 2.6C - Severe
1983 - 4.3C - Average
1984 - 4.2C - Average
1985 - 2.7C - Severe
1986 - 2.2C - Severe
1987 - 3.5C - Cold
1988 - 5.3C - Mild
1989 - 6.5C - Warm
1990 - 6.2C - Warm
1991 - 3C - Cold
1992 - 4.6C - Average
1993 - 4.7C - Average
1994 - 4.7C - Average
1995 - 5.9C - Mild
1996 - 3C - Cold
1997 - 4C - Average
1998 - 6.1C - Warm
1999 - 5.4C - Mild
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The results from the 18th centuary are:
1700 - 3.3C - Cold
1701 - 3.2C - Cold
1702 - 5.1C - Mild
1703 - 3.5C - Cold
1704 - 3.5C - Cold
1705 - 3.4C - Cold
1706 - 3.8C - Cold
1707 - 4.1C - Average
1708 - 4.5C - Average
1709 - 1.2C - Severe
1710 - 3.2C - Cold
1711 - 4.8C - Average
1712 - 3.8C - Cold
1713 - 4.2C - Average
1714 - 4.5C - Average
1715 - 4.3C - Average
1716 - 0.8C - Severe
1717 - 3.3C - Cold
1718 - 3.2C - Cold
1719 - 3.8C - Cold
1720 - 4C - Average
1721 - 3.8C - Cold
1722 - 4.5C - Average
1723 - 3.1C - Average
1724 - 5.2C - Mild
1725 - 3.7C - Cold
1726 - 3.1C - Average
1727 - 3.7C - Average
1728 - 3.3C - Average
1729 - 1.7C - Severe
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The results from the 17th centuary are:
1660 - 2C - Severe
1661 - 5C - Mild
1662 - 5.7C - Mild
1663 - 1.7C - Severe
1664 - 4.7C - Average
1665 - 2C - Severe
1666 - 3.7C - Cold
1667 - 2.3C - Severe
1668 - 4.3C - Average
1669 - 3.3C - Cold
1670 - 2C - Severe
1671 - 3.5C - Cold
1672 - 2.3C - Severe
1673 - 3.7C - Cold
1674 - 2.5C - Severe
1675 - 2.8C - Severe
1676 - 5C - Mild
1677 - 2C - Severe
1678 - 1.8C - Severe
1679 - 1C - Severe
1680 - 3.2C - Cold
1681 - 1C - Severe
1682 - 3.7C - Cold
1683 - 3.8C - Cold
1684 - -1.2C - Severe
1685 - 2.7C - Severe
1686 - 6.2C - Warm
1687 - 4.7C - Average
1688 - 3.7C - Cold
1689 - 2.7C - Severe
1690 - 4.3C - Average
1691 - 2.2C - Severe
1692 - 1.8C - Severe
1693 - 3.8C - Cold
1694 - 2.7C - Severe
1695 - 0.7C - Severe
1696 - 4.7C - Average
1697 - 1.3C - Severe
1698 - 1C - Severe
1699 - 3.4C - Cold
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I have decided to use todays average winter CET of 4.5C and compare it against winter CET's since 1660.
I will class the winters into several catergories, these are:
Severe - 3C or less
Cold - 3C to 4C
Average - 4C to 5C
Mild - 5C to 6C
Hot - 5C or above
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The problem with snow over the last few years has been that the snowflakes have not been very big due to the air being too dry and warm to allow large snowflakes to fall at a fast pace.
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I believe the reason why people do not mention that winter is because it was not classed as a severe winter, the CET for that winter was 3.1C, for that winter to be classed as severe the CET only had to be 0.1C lower and it would have had its place in the history books, how close can you get. LOL.
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I will look at some historic charts to confirm this however if it is true then it wuld confirm my predictions of a long, hot and dry summer, 1976 had the driest summer on record until 1995.
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This cold spells total is 3cm.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 13:09pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a southerly or westerly component.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 32mph, the strongest winds are in north west England.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 0C in Yorkshire and Ireland and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 6C in the Outer Hebrides and the Shetland Isles.
The lowest pressure in the British Isles is 1012mb in south eastern England and the highest pressure in the British Isles is 1020mb in northern Scotland.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 13mph winds coming from a north to north easterly direction, a temperature of 1C, a dew point of 0C and a pressure of 1013mb.
The wind has veered to the east throughout most of Scotland, however throughout much of England the wind direction is predominantly north to north easterly, it also looks like there is a front in the North Sea from the north of Scotland to The Wash.
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Had a twenty minute snow shower this morning, deposited one centimetre on the bins and other objects but had only just started to settle on the paths, it has all melted now even though the temperature is around 0C.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 22:09pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a southerly component.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 31mph, the strongest winds are in eastern England.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is -1C in Scotland and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 5C in the coastal regions of northern Ireland.
The lowest pressure in the British Isles is 1016mb in south eastern England and the highest pressure in the British Isles is 1024mb in the Outer Hebrides and south western Ireland.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 16mph winds coming from a north to north westerly direction, a temperature of 1C, a dew point of -2C and a pressure of 1017mb.
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Had three snow showers today but only one nearly settled.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 13:39pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a southerly component.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 41mph, the strongest winds are in eastern England.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 1C in northern Scotland, northern England and eastern England and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 5C in Ireland.
The lowest pressure in the British Isles is 1016mb in south eastern England and the highest pressure in the British Isles is 1024mb in western Scotland and Ireland.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 31mph winds coming from a northerly direction, a temperature of 2C, a dew point of -3C and a pressure of 1018mb.
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The temperature has dropped 2C in 15 minutes as the clouds rolled in and small flakes have been falling lightly.
186 metres above sea level.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 21:39pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a southerly or easterly component.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 49mph, the strongest winds are in the Isle Of Man.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 0C in northern Scotland and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 9C in the south west of the British Isles.
The lowest pressure in the British Isles is 1016mb in the east of the British Isles and the highest pressure in the British Isles is 1024mb in southern and western Ireland.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 18mph winds coming from a north westerly direction, a temperature of 3C, a dew point of -2C and a pressure of 1015mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 19:09pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a northerly component.
The wind speeds are fairly high with a maximum of 59mph, the strongest winds are in the Outer Hebridees.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 2C in northwest Englandand the Highlands and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 8C in the west of the British Isles.
The lowest pressure in the British Isles is 1004mb in the Outer Hebrides and the highest pressure in the British Isles is 1024mb in East Anglia.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 8mph winds coming from a southerly direction, a temperature of 3C, a dew point of 2C and a pressure of 1021mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 19:39pm.
The wind speeds are fairly high with a maximum of 33mph, the strongest winds are in the Outer Hebridees.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 0C in eastern Ireland and the Highlands and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 7C in the more coastal regions of the British Isles.
The average pressure in the whole of the British Isles is 1016mb.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 3mph winds coming from a westerly to north westerly direction, a temperature of 4C, a dew point of 4C and a pressure of 1014mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 20:39pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a southerly component.
The wind speeds are fairly high with a maximum of 46mph, the strongest winds are in the Isle Of Man.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 4C in north eastern Scotland and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 10C in south western Scotland.
The highest pressure in the British Isles is in south west England and Ireland with an average of 1036mb and the lowest pressure in the British Isles is in East Anglia with an average of 1028mb.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 15mph winds coming from a westerly direction, a temperature of 8C, a dew point of 6C and a pressure of 1029mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 10:08pm and nowhere in the British Isles is there a wind with a easterly component.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 32mph, the strongest winds are in northern Scotland.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is -1C Humberside and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 9C in south west England.
The highest pressure in the British Isles is in south west England and southern Ireland with an average of 1036mb and the lowest pressure in the British Isles is in the Shetland Isles with an average of 1024mb.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 18mph winds coming from a westerly direction, a temperature of 4C, a dew point of 3C and a pressure of 1031mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 20:39pm.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 33mph, the strongest winds are in north east England.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is 0C in the England, Scotland border region and East Anglia and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 7C in the Outer Hebrides.
The highest pressure in the British Isles is in the Outer Hebrides as 1039mb and the lowest pressure in the British Isles is in south east England with an average of 1028mb.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 16mph winds coming from a Northerly direction, a temperature of 2C, a dew point of -2C and a pressure of 1032mb.
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I have just been looking at charts on www.xcweather.com for 10:38pm.
The wind speeds are fairly low with a maximum of 36mph, the strongest winds are in the north of Scotland.
The lowest temperature in the British Isles is -4C in the England, Scotland border region and the highest temperature in the British Isles is 6C in the Outer Hebrides.
The highest pressure in the British Isles is in central Ireland with an average of 1036mb and the lowest pressure in the British Isles is in East Anglia with an average of 1028mb.
The current wind speed where i live, in Leeds is 15mph winds coming from a WNW direction, a temperature of 1C, a dew point of -5C and a pressure of 1030mb.
Forecasting With Gfs, Or Anything Else!
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Here is my next attempt.
This weekend will be cool and cloudy for most parts however it will be wet in the east, main wind direction will be northerly and temperatures will range from 12C in the north and 22C in the south.
Next week will be dry for most parts due to the Azores High ridging in from the south west however the north of Scotland will be mostly cloudy and will turn wet towards the end of the week, main wind direction will be north westerly and temperatures will range from 14C in the north and 24C in the south.
The following weekend will be unsettled with the winds changing from westerly on saturday to northerly on sunday, temperatures will range from 16C to 22C.
The following week will be mostly dry with sunny spells however it will become unsettled towards the end of the week, rather cool with temperatures ranging from 13C in the north to 23C in the south, main wind direction will be north westerly.
All in all, it will be mostly dry but rather cool, no heatwave in the forseable future.