Jonan92
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Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
People are trashing the cold spell of the next week, not the whole winter -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's really bad luck, all the signs pointed to a good outlook but it seems that it's not going to happen as we wished -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ECM backs up the trend showed in the minor models, while GFS and UKMO stand alone now. -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Compare it to GFS and UKMO -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM is a disaster -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
More reasons to worry, BOM following what GEM and NOGAPS showed before -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM makes nosense -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Interesting to see that GFS keeps showing a very disrupted PV -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, but after that it starts closing blocking again Much better this run -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lots of energy going north -
Model Output Discussion 25/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The models divide the northen hemisphere in several chunks. Those chunks are bigger in the GFS than in the ECM, that's why the ECM is more accurate. On the other hand, every model is better in their own place, because they have more information. According to Meteociel: Ces cartes présentent les prévisions du modèle JMA (modèle japonais) pour les 8 prochains jours. So it's Japanese -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS definitely gone nuts -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even in the low resolution the PV is smashed, this is a strong northerly LOL -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Much more clear this time -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
144h -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In this chart BOM shows a smashed PV, big split -
Model Output Discussion 23/11/2012 18Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's amazing to see how the lower resolution kills the worth of the second panel. From this To this in just 24h What i was expecting was that the high pushing up from the east coast of USA would link to the Green High, but the GFS is always biased to stronger the atlantic lows. -
Model Output Discussion: 12Z (22/11/12) And On...
Jonan92 replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amazing charts for west Europe -
Model Output Discussion: 12Z (20/11/12) And On...
Jonan92 replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS and ECM very similar now, both showing the Vortex Split -
Model Output Discussion: 12Z (20/11/12) And On...
Jonan92 replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM showing a possible vortex split this time! -
Model Output Discussion: 12Z (20/11/12) And On...
Jonan92 replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amazing run de controle And it's also amazing how disruptive the PV is shown in the last chart of the GFS Run of Controle keeps being really amazing -
Model Output Discussion 18/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When I see these charts I remember the charts of this year's February. The GFS used to push the Escandinavian high to the east, but as the charts came closer into time, the movement was made to the west, like if it were fixing the eastward it has -
Model Output Discussion 18/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Loking forward to the 12z run of the GFS -
Model Output Discussion 18/11/2012 12Z onwards
Jonan92 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You will have a nice wake up if you have a look into the 0z run of the GFS, it has taken it where it left at 18z and improve it. Almost a very good split at 228h