Jonan92

Is this realiable? I am amazed by the differences between the two years GFS 500hpa 2012 2013 850hpa 2012 2013 ECMWF 500hpa 2012 2013 850hpa 2012 2013

Well, that depends of the are of the Basque Country The data I gave before is from the station of Arrasate/Mondragon (light blue), that station is the closest to my location. However, it has only been working for 15 years more or less. On the other hand, I have information of Donostia/San Sebastian (top right - dark blue) since 1928 and the wettest years on record are the following: 1979 -------------- 2206,3 1930 -------------- 1974,1 1931 -------------- 1909,5 2008 -------------- 1909,5 1960 -------------- 1876

I hope you don't mind if I show you some statistics of my region, the Basque Country, in Northern Spain. I was want to show you how wet this year has been so far In a station near my location the data is the following one: January ------------ 421,9lFebruary ---------- 418,4lMarch ------------- 151,7lApril --------------- 182,4lMay ---------------- 152,8l June (9th)---------- 74,5l So far this year: 1401,7l Previous years 2012: 1166,7l2011: 1115,3l2010: 1201,6l2009: 1311,5l2008: 1591,7l Amazing! And we are quite near of the UK

7th GFS run in a row showing the same

Lol, crazy ensemble in this run

Well, this map doesn't show anything nice Strong vortex and zonal

ECM's run is awful in FI

I know, but if you see that more than 50% of ensembles show heights rising to our west, it should mean something, maybe GFS is picking a background signal already

You should have a look at the ensembles of the GFS t384h... many of them show blocking in the Greenland area

No more vortex in Canada

Has anyone noticed in the GFS the slowdown of the atlantic in the early hours of this run?

The east coast of the USA will have a huge cold, amazing

Because of that High the low moves to the east and the green area moves towars Greenland Because of a low in the east cost of the US, the high starts to rise and breaking the jet

GFS in this run shows High pressures building in the east coast of the US, that's new.

Just for fun PV chunk over Europe

Interesting map of the CMA at t216 Hard to believe

This is a Deja Vu, similar to what happened in December

Black hole in eastern USA That's a lot of energy for the atlantic lows

Just showing what the CMA shows at t144h, another possibility among others (shown by ECM, GFS, UKMO, GEM...)

CMA

FI is in 96h I would say

I don't know if we should trust the CMA or not. At least, in 5 days, we will know how accurate this chinese model is

Step back from ECM? I can't buy that as long as it develops high pressured to the north. Interesting again the Chinese modele, the CMA

Remember what the CMA was showing yesterday? ECM today

What a change!