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Jonan92

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Everything posted by Jonan92

  1. Jonan92
    Icelandic low leaving the are faster? Previous
  2. Jonan92
    USA always wins
  3. Jonan92
    At last, heights rising now
  4. Jonan92
    Big are of high pressure in the pole (1030hpa)
  5. Jonan92
    WOW Best map ever for Europe?
  6. Jonan92
    Much better run Previous
  7. Jonan92
    Cold beggining to come down from Scandinavia
  8. Jonan92
    Well, those forecasts are based on the GEFS, it if changes so will those forecasts
  9. Jonan92
    Well, the ensembles many times follow the main one, so it's not hard to believe
  10. Jonan92
    Gfs is alone, ECM keeps delivering the same charts, no WAA
  11. Jonan92
    Quite a difference between yesterday and today Yesterday 12z Today 00z Today 12z
  12. Jonan92
    This ensemble is crazy
  13. Jonan92
    I know, I am not saying it's right, just showing that there are another possibilites (small I know), those kind of lows are hard of tracking and you never really know what can happen
  14. Jonan92
    In my opinion the main reason for the first block to fail is the little low north of Florida. It gets attracted by the Canadian low and in consecuence it gets much stronger The three main models see this happening. However, it is interesting to note that Navgem didn't see that happening in the 6z run That would change a couple of thing in short-medium range. It's another possible scenario, althoug one with a low probability. I am sure that it will change in the 12z run, but thought it should be noted
  15. Jonan92
    So far this run looks much more promising than 12z for a nice blocking next weekend
  16. Jonan92
    My feeling is that the main difference comes from some kind of energy from the Gulf. It seems that in the 12Z run from the GFS an unmarked low goes from the Gulf to Canada and interacts with the polar low, making it intensify rapidly
  17. Jonan92
    My mistake sorry CSE = Calentamiento súbito estratosférico = SSW = Sudden Stratospheric Warming
  18. Jonan92
    SSW effects showing up in FI
  19. Jonan92
    Some heights rising next to Scandinavia by 192h is the main difference in the 18z. Maybe the first signs of the SSW?
  20. Jonan92
    Rainy month in the Basque Country. We have had two rainy episodes this month Friday 12 - 19,2l Staturday 13 - 29,4l Sunday 14 - 22,2l Monday 15 - 40,6l Total: 111,4 Friday 26 - 13,4l Saturday 27 - 134,2l Sunday 28 - 32,6l Total: 180,2 We are waiting for the weekend now. We can expect rain, cold and snow at around 300-500m
  21. Jonan92
    In the FI of the GFS we can find a quite strange hemisferical pattern for November
  22. Jonan92
    FI but well
  23. Jonan92
    Can someone outside of the UK post here? If someone is interested in knowing. Arrasate station in the Basque Country, Spain January 289,8mm February 102,3mm (so far)
  24. Jonan92
    Well, this situation has been beneficial mainly for the northen part, the South remains the same A picture of today, the surroundings of my town There is a mountain quite close with mren than 1,5m of snow, the mountain itself has an altitude of 1,100m
  25. Jonan92
    The Cantabric sea lake effect working nicely
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