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Jonan92

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Everything posted by Jonan92

  1. Jonan92
    OMG Look at Greenland
  2. Jonan92
    Cold pool going down from Siberia
  3. Jonan92
    Embedded in the low that rises the high, you can see it southwest from Iceland,
  4. Jonan92
    Amazing
  5. Jonan92
    It's interesting to see almost 8000 people currently watching the ECM at Meteociel
  6. Jonan92
    Lovely map at T168 for the Basque Country, that's snow at sea level here
  7. Jonan92
    You should see the bactracking of the GFS in this run From this (18z) To this (00z)
  8. Jonan92
    The main difference is a drift to the east for the cold
  9. Jonan92
    144 is out and as I mentioned that low doesn't go above the block this time
  10. Jonan92
    I would also mention that at 120h the low that appeared at 144h at UKMO seems to be souther than before, and doesn't seem to go around the top of the block this time
  11. Jonan92
    UKMO GFS Day and night
  12. Jonan92
    I would say that they are big differences, the tilt in those lows are day and night
  13. Jonan92
    Big differences between UKMO and GFS at just 96h
  14. Jonan92
    Ensemble moyenne at 240h on the 23th of january 2012 OP What happened in the end
  15. Jonan92
    Well, if my memory is right the index is determined with the GEFS forecast, so it should be no surprise that it matches what the GFS shows
  16. Jonan92
    The main issue is the low next to Azores and how it interacts with the cold air from the north. This time it gets closer quite quickly and due to the interaction with the cold air it deepens fast and stop moving east. In the previous ran it took more time to interact with the cold air, giving it mroe time to move east, closer to Iberia.
  17. Jonan92
    Bad looking UKMo at 120h
  18. Jonan92
    It's going to link the polar low with the atlantic one...
  19. Jonan92
    ECM seems to be better than this morning and yesterday Yesterday Today Much closer to GFS
  20. Jonan92
    There has to be an error in the control run 180 192 Where does that low come from?
  21. Jonan92
    So... it's snowing in the Basque Country and Navarre, just at 200-300m altitude. The expected snow level was 800m, but due to the heavy and continous rainfall temperatures have been falling all day. Radar image (the same since the early morning) Vitoria-Gasteiz (540m) Aramaio (333m) Amaiur (282m)
  22. Jonan92
    It should be noted that at 144h ECM is completely different to UKMO, GFS and even GEM ECM Ukmo GFS GEM
  23. Jonan92
    Amazing run in FI
  24. Jonan92
    GFS stills models the warming going on til the end
  25. Jonan92
    Looking much better this run, more effective WAA into Greenland due to a better tilt in the low Previous Much more amplified this time
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