cerneman
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Posts posted by cerneman
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Happy Mothers day to all the Moms, Hope you get spoiled today........
And lets hope Mother nature will spoil some of us in our region,,,,, -
3.4c this morning with drizzle blowing in strong wind, Been down by the river and already the windchill is uncomfortable, just happy to get home out of the chill.
Yesterday was early spring, today already feels back to mid winter, Every winter I tell myself that living 8 miles from coast is far enough away for some snow,
Today telling myself 8 miles might be close enough to coast to get some overnight snow from the low in channel,
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Looks like Radar watching tomorrow night, Radaritis ; inflammation of finger joints,caused by constent tightly crossed fingers whilst watching radar,TBH, model watching the past 24 hours including the latest hi-res output suggests that there is an increasing chance of a lot of people in here being disappointed if it's laying snow they're after....Everything seems to be trending south from my viewpoint, maybe a lucky few along the south coast might see something, and up over Dartmoor.....North of a line Exeter - Southampton looks pretty much dry.......Still, that's the viewpoint from the model output, what happens in reality remains to be seen....I'm not trying to dampen the mood in here, just trying to be realistic
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Been plesent day with sunny spells,,, Group of 15 people managed to complete the Cerne Valley walk in nice dry early Spring conditions, They rewarded with views of Roe Deer and Buzzard circuling overhead, Turned wet now but still mild late afternoon,
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Gibby gives first class easy to read overview of the charts, AWD [southwest region] also gives clear chart summery, These guys put lots of time and work in the production of there updates, These forums are lucky to have the benefit of there excellent insights,,,,,There are many other contributers who also spend many hours giving there views and I thank them all,.............Great deal of my work includes foreward planning for outdoor events, I find this forum invaluable,,,,@snow is falling. U might be able to read charts how ever there r those who can't read charts and that's where gibby does an excelent job. Maybe u should do a daily summery.
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Lovely afternoon here,Sun out and reasonable temps, Large group people out on guided Cerne valley walk, There is walk booked next week with hopes of being connected to Red nose day, Don't think many people will turn up for that,which would be shame,,Hard to believe what's coming to be honest.
Lovely day at the moment,sunny, quite pleasent
To think that in 36 hours time i could be in the middle of a blizzard,INCREDIBLE .
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Fully agree,but nice see snow falling this time of year, and after the days of slate grey skies we recently went through,be change for something more interesting,,,Lets hope areas that have missed out, will see some falling snow,,,,Wildlife will be little confused,but will do my bit to at least help the birds, Hedgehogs came out of hibernation,but think they be ok,I'm looking forward to this event but sadly, i think accumulations at lower levels will be pretty poor.
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Noted that Met office removed yellow warning for Sunday night, Still in place for early hours Monday, Take that as being good sign that they firming up on timing of snow,,,,,,
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BBC forecast is changing, but in our favour,,,Thomasz Scahfenaker just gave a peach of forecast for South West, Fingers crossed,,
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The times this winter been told in good spot/ sweet spot,,,,If had all come off, would have had major outbreak of Acne,,,worth noting that this warning is really only for south coastal counties currently....nothing really from a line north of Taunton - Salisbury - Winchester.......still, these warnings are all based on model output, and we all know that subtle variances right up to T0 can have a huge effect on who has what
As it stands at the moment, I'd say you're in a good spot
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Think remember that MULL,,,We had no warnings, no prospect of snow, I watched it on radar getting closer to region and started snowing here about 11pm, The Snow even moved into Devon,,,,Met office updated warning after that midnight when been snowing for over 1 hour,,If I remember we went from no warning straight to Amber, Think was 2009,but might be wrongI do however cling on to a memory of a couple of years ago when meto and NAE + all forecasts had it totaly missing our region with GFS going against this only to find that as front aproached it was clearly battering our whole region
Think it might have been 2009 but not sure.Last min northward shift covering the whole region would be lovely.
Saying that they all trended south so lets wait until 12z
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Nice bright morning with Temps 9.4, Some high cloud with blue sky popping up,
Sunday evening into Monday is yet another scenario that we will just have to wait and see what develops,,,At least we have some interesting weather for next couple days or so.
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You enjoy your new car my dear, .Nice to fulfill a dream,,,,,,,,,It's taken me 43 years to get my gas guzzling vehicle of doom and I'm going to enjoy it!
After Tuesday, or so it would appear!
Cracking post AWD. You're a superstar
Don't listen to remarks on here. People only envious [ not like me]Anyway you won't have to worry about paintwork fading in the Sun till the Summer
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Have nice break and enjoy the SunReading Ian's latest post in the Mad Disc thread seems there's a defo chance of snow for some of our region.
Although not in UK from tomorrow hope some cop it on Monday/Tuesday.
Ironic that i've waited 26 years for a snowy channel low to reappear and when one might turn up i'm on hols off the coast of Africa!
I hope it upgrades and turns into a 'South West Classic'!
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Should have got yourself a SKODA,,,,,Cold ,snow not make any difference, Don't work whatever the weatherNO! NO! NO! I am properly tantruming now, throwing my toys out of my pram and causing such a scene the neighbours will call the police in a minute.
I don't want any bloody snow, I've just bought a new (to me) Alfa Romeo, yes an Alfa, a gorgeous piece of Italian lushness that I have saved for for ages and I need to be able to drive it and set free my inner petrol head, I cannot do this with sodding snow about.
Please, someone, tell me the snow won't happen.
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Can your super computer show if poor old Cerneman could have little snow in back garden please? Don't mind wrath and expletives directed in my direction. Will just turn computer off for week, till fuss calms downJust for fun....
I've looked at all the model output, with their variances and parameters. I've fed this data into my dual core laptop super computer using my secret algorithmic deciphering software, and have after hours of painstaking coding have managed to pinpoint the northern extent of Monday's snow....It will run along the hard shoulder of the southern carriageway of the M4 causing ajpoolshark to chortle away to himself....It's western extent will be 1.7 meters the wrong side of TwisterGirl81's fence line near Exter & it's southern extent will be 3.7meters north of Mapantz's garden near Wareham causing an explosion of wrath and expletive language rarely seen in this thread
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T-1 minutehaha
As it stands now, that wouldn't be a bad shout! I will refrain from getting to excited though, until at least T+1 minute
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Apart from snow risk for Sunday into Monday, I more concerned with the projected cold and windchill, Snowcover would help eliviate damage to young crops etc,
Maybe persuade my Postman not to insist on wearing his shorts all year round,,,,,,,That would be bonus
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Fully agree on subject of proposed deer cull, I will fight that, Enhance word satire, Proposal needs to be brought to public attention.Not funny, please be respectful that there are some people here who don't see animals as peices of flesh, very bad taste.
Anyway back to the weather, I'd say we are definately going to see snow and I thing the southwest is going to be hit hard! You heard it here first.
Hope you right about the snow, but we been here before,,,,,,,So fingers crossed
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It's ok, plenty of deer on field, Venison and chips for Monday [ Save having to have cull ] Hows that for Bit of hard hitting satireThey need a bit more beef on their shelves.....
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The Dorset Echo put Snow warning for county in there paper,,,,,,That will spark off stampede to Tesco,,,,
Stampede meaning,, Is act of mass impulse among herd animals or a crowd of people in which the herd[ or crowd] collectively begins running with no clear direction.
Only difference is direction will be Supermarket shelves, It happened last time paper mentioned word Snow
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Last seen off Lands End, Being towed towards The Lundy Island,Oo er I feel bad now.
Only a week or so ago I suggested somebody should blow the IOW up, so we can can a good easterly down here.
Oo er, somebody took me seriously.
After reading your comments the residents decided not wanted,so being towed to attach to Lundy,
How will you live we your guilt !!
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Yellow warning time again for parts region
Bet these guys thought they out of work, Now official winter over
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"Mommy If it snows,can I have day off school"
"Wait and see darling, You know how forum members get over excited ! "
And lets hope Mother nature will spoil some of us in our region,,,,,
South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 08/03/13 ---->
in Regional
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